AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Prediction 12 April 2026
🔊 Will Heerenveen's impressive run in the Eredivisie continue? The team remains unbeaten in their last five matches. However, on Sunday, they face a challenging away game against AZ Alkmaar, who boast an impressive home form with a six-match winning streak across all competitions. The teams are neck and neck in the standings, with AZ holding a slim one-point advantage. Will the clubs switch places in the league after their head-to-head clash? Let's evaluate the odds in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):
- ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 9 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen:
- played 44 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 14, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 95 against 73;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.55, in the 2nd half - 2.27;
- average total goals in the match - 3.82.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - Shakhtar Donetsk, away team - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
AZ Alkmaar have been delivering consistent performances at home, boasting a streak of six victories across all competitions. Notably, they have an identical winning streak against their upcoming opponent on home turf. The team possesses significant attacking prowess, averaging over 1.5 goals per game. Despite losing 2 out of their last 5 matches, it's important to note that Alkmaar are competing on two fronts, battling in the Conference League playoffs while maintaining their position in the European qualification zone in the league, currently sitting in 6th place.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heerenveen, away - Heracles Almelo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Heracles Almelo):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 14 vs 4.
Heerenveen are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches, achieving a perfect result in six of those games. The team have climbed to 7th place in the Eredivisie and showcase an impressive attack, averaging around two goals per game. However, their defense remains vulnerable: they concede a significant number of goals, particularly on the road (two or more in 5 out of 6 away matches), which could pose a problem against AZ's attacking style.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- home team wins - 22, away team wins - 14, draws - 8.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen
- matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- wins: 13 vs 12;
- win percentage: 45% vs 41%;
- losses: 10 vs 9;
- draws: 6 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
- Heerenveen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.16, the guests - 1.66;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.82;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen
- average total in the tournament: 3.24 vs 3.45;
- average total goals scored: 1.69 vs 1.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.9 vs 0.79;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 1.03;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 2.21;
- Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.57;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.8) vs 2.2 (away - 1.5).
- Over 3.5 goals scored in last 5 AZ Alkmaar games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.72; at home field - 5.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; at home field - 7.2.
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.52, away - 5.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.
- AZ Alkmaar have taken over 5.5 corners in last 7 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 11 (79%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 9 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 5 (83%).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
- Heerenveen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/262, 10.7%), 2:1 (28/262, 10.7%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:2 , 4:1 (2/14, 14.3%);
- Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 , 2:2 (2/14, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.6% (odds 8.6)
1:1 - 9.2% (odds 8.7)
3:1 - 6.97% (odds 11.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the statistics and current form, the clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen promises to be high-scoring. AZ have been impressive at home, consistently netting over 1.5 goals, including in their head-to-heads with Heerenveen. Meanwhile, Heerenveen are in good form but often concede two or more goals on the road. While not downplaying the visitors' recent achievements, it's hard to see them triumphing in Alkmaar given historical results. However, they are certainly capable of finding the back of the net against an AZ side that might be feeling the effects of their Conference League exploits. We anticipate that both teams will combine to surpass a total goals over 3.5.No comments
Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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