Independiente vs Union Santa Fe Prediction

    📢 What to expect from the clash between Independiente and Unión Santa Fe in the 10th round of the Primera División? Both teams are in strong form, as shown by their recent performances. Independiente have been consistent at home, while Unión Santa Fe are picking up points on the road. Both sides are eager to solidify their positions at the top of the table, promising an action-packed match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 November 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 3:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente):

    • ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
    • fouls: 10 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 0.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente and Union de Santa Fe:

    • played 17 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 1, draws - 8;
    • number of goals - 19 against 10;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.82, in the 2nd half - 0.88;
    • average total goals in the match - 1.71.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    47%
    9 Wins
    47%
    9 Draws
    5%
    1 Win
    Total games
    19
    Total Goals Avg
    2.05
    Both teams scored
    37%
    1.32
    Total average
    0.74
    1.89
    Yellow cards
    1.58
    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Football Cup
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    10.03.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1.63
    2.21
    7
    3
    12
    10
    2
    0
    4
    4
    1
    3
    3
    1
    1.63
    2.21
    7
    3
    12
    10
    2
    0
    06.11.24
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1
    2.04
    0.14
    3
    1
    10
    8
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.04
    0.14
    3
    1
    10
    8
    1
    1
    24.06.23
    Primera Division
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    18
    12
    3
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    18
    12
    3
    4
    19.09.22
    Primera Division
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    16
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    16
    2
    2
    Empty
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    Independiente Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Independiente, away team - Central Cordoba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Independiente vs Central Cordoba):

    • ball possession: 74% vs 26%;
    • corner kicks: 11 vs 2;
    • fouls: 7 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 2.

    Independiente are putting on an impressive display at home. In their last five matches, they have secured two victories and suffered just one defeat. They average 1.38 goals per game, while their defense remains solid, conceding only 0.88 goals per match. This performance places them fourth in the standings, with promising prospects for climbing even higher.

    Match Results: Independiente

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Football Cup
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    2
    3
    11
    14
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    11
    14
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    2.77
    1.76
    7
    4
    13
    19
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.77
    1.76
    7
    4
    13
    19
    2
    4
    W
    24.04.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Riestra
    Deportivo Riestra
    Independiente
    Independiente
    0.72
    0.5
    1
    0
    16
    13
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.72
    0.5
    1
    0
    16
    13
    1
    1
    L
    18.04.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Defensa y Justicia
    Defensa y Justicia
    1.58
    1.15
    6
    5
    7
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.58
    1.15
    6
    5
    7
    12
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Union de Santa Fe Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Instituto AC Cordoba, away - Union de Santa Fe). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Union de Santa Fe vs Instituto AC Cordoba):

    • ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • fouls: 11 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    Unión Santa Fe are also in top form, especially considering their last five matches, where they've secured three wins, suffered one loss, and drawn once. The team sits third in the standings, thanks to a balanced performance both in attack, averaging 1.38 goals per match, and in defense, conceding just 0.63 goals. Their results indicate a readiness to challenge for the top spot.

    Match Results: Union de Santa Fe

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Football Cup
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    L
    12.05.26
    Primera Division
    Belgrano
    Belgrano
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    0.97
    0.64
    4
    7
    4
    8
    0
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0.97
    0.64
    4
    7
    4
    8
    0
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente Rivadavia
    Independiente Rivadavia
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    -
    -
    5
    6
    6
    15
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    6
    15
    1
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1.82
    0.58
    8
    0
    14
    12
    5
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.82
    0.58
    8
    0
    14
    12
    5
    3
    D
    27.04.26
    Primera Division
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    2.68
    1.42
    2
    4
    8
    9
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2.68
    1.42
    2
    4
    8
    9
    4
    4
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • home team wins - 8, away team wins - 1, draws - 8.

    Statistics: Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe

    • matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 38% vs 50%;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 4;
    • losses: 1 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Independiente have not lost in 16 of last 17 games against Union de Santa Fe.
    • Independiente have not lost in 14 of last 15 games against Union de Santa Fe (Primera Division).
    • Independiente have not lost in last 7 home games against Union de Santa Fe.
    • Independiente have not lost in last 6 home games against Union de Santa Fe (Primera Division).
    • Independiente have not lost in 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    • Independiente have not lost in last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Independiente will not lose(odds: 1.3)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.12, the guests - 0.59;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.71;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe

    • average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 2;
    • average total goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.38;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.63;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 0.75;
    • Independiente: average total at home in the tournament -  1.5;
    • Union de Santa Fe: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 1.2 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Independiente home games (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Independiente games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.49)

    Prediction on corners

    Independiente: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 7.75;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 7.

    Union de Santa Fe: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.25, away - 3.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.2.
    Trends
    • Union de Santa Fe have taken under 3.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    • Union de Santa Fe have taken under 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Union de Santa Fe Total Under (3.5)(odds: 2)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Independiente at home - 2 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Union de Santa Fe away - 3 (75%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Independiente at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Union de Santa Fe away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.61)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/118, 16.1%);
    • Independiente at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (2/4, 50%);
    • Union de Santa Fe away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:1 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 14.89% (odds 5.1)
    1:1 - 12.85% (odds 5.9)
    0:0 - 11.41% (odds 6.45)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 5.1)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Both teams have kicked off the season confidently and are sitting near the top of the standings, promising a highly competitive match. Independiente hold the home-field advantage and are thus viewed as favorites. However, Unión Santa Fe also appear formidable and are unlikely to settle for just a draw. Moreover, at least two goals have been scored in 8 of Independiente's last 9 home games. Given these circumstances, a bet on over 1.5 goals seems more reasonable.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -189*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 March 2026, 15:47)

    Betting Tips: Independiente - Union de Santa Fe

    Independiente have not lost
    ca-independienteunion-de-santa-fein 16 of last 17 games against Union de Santa Fe.
    ca-independienteunion-de-santa-fein 14 of last 15 games against Union de Santa Fe (Primera Division).
    ca-independienteunion-de-santa-fein last 7 home games against Union de Santa Fe.
    ca-independienteunion-de-santa-fein last 6 home games against Union de Santa Fe (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    Independiente will not lose
    Everygame
    -400
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    ca-independientein 9 of last 10 Independiente games (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein last 5 Independiente home games (Primera Division).
    in 22 of last 23 Andres Merlos games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -182
    Union de Santa Fe have scored under 1.5 goals
    ca-independienteunion-de-santa-fein last 7 away games against Independiente.
    Union de Santa Fe Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Independiente have scored
    ca-independientein last 12 games (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    Independiente will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Independiente - Union Santa Fe Table position

    Apertura Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1675417-1326
    5.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1666424-2024
    6.
    Atletico Lanus
    Atletico Lanus
    1666418-1524
    7.
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1657414-1422
    8.
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1656524-2021
    9.
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    1663717-1721

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 14
    +2
    -3
    12 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    12
    14
    Conceded
    15
    3
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats