Quilmes vs San Martin de Tucuman Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Both sides come into this match with plenty at stake: Quilmes are fighting to keep their place in the league, while San Martín Tucumán remain in the race for the play-offs. In recent rounds, the hosts have been struggling to pick up points and find the net, whereas the visitors have shown more consistent form, though they too cannot afford any slip-ups as the season draws to a close. That gives the match added importance for both teams.
Head-to-head history: Deadlock with no clear favourite
San Martín Tucumán and Quilmes played out a 0-0 draw in the Primera B Nacional 07 June 2026. The hosts had seven shots to the visitors' two, but the only shot on target in the entire match failed to find the net.
In 13 official meetings between Quilmes and San Martín Tucumán, each side has won three times, with seven draws. In six away matches at Quilmes, San Martín Tucumán have won three times, while in six home matches against them they have not won once.
Head-to-head statistics Quilmes - San Martin de Tucuman
Quilmes consistently struggle to pick up points, even on home turf.
In their last Primera Nacional match, Quilmes lost 0-1 away to Atlético Rafaela 17 October 2026. The visitors had more possession and attempted seven shots to their opponents' two, but failed to register a single shot on target.
Quilmes are close to the relegation zone and fully focused on the result - only three points separate them from the drop with two rounds remaining. Their recent form is a concern: one win and four defeats in their last five matches, and just three wins from their last ten league rounds, with six losses. Their attacking output has been very low - an average of 0.6 goals per game across their last ten matches, which explains their regular struggles to pick up points even at home. Defensively they have been more organised, conceding 0.8 goals per game over that same ten-match stretch, and low-scoring outcomes have been a consistent pattern: the Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed in seven of their last eight matches.
Match Results: Quilmes
What can we expect from San Martin de Tucuman going forward?
Trailing Midland 0-1 at half-time, San Martín Tucumán came back to win 3-2 at home in their most recent Primera Nacional match 18 October 2026. The hosts had 11 shots on target compared to seven for their opponents.
San Martín Tucumán go into this match needing to close a two-point gap to the play-off places - with the table so tight heading into the final rounds, their motivation remains high. Over their last five matches they have won three, drawn one and lost one, which points to good current form. Their record over the last ten matches is less consistent, though: four wins, three defeats and three draws, with an average of 1.6 goals scored against 1.5 conceded over that same period, suggesting a tendency towards open play. However, the importance of this fixture may make both sides more cautious.
Match Results: San Martin Tucuman
Total Goals Prediction
The low-scoring trend is holding up: Total Goals - Under 2.5 has landed in 7 of Quilmes's last 8 matches. At home, Quilmes average 1.12 goals scored per game this season and 1.2 over their last 10 home matches, while conceding just 0.41 per game this season and 0.4 over their last 10 home fixtures. San Martín Tucumán away from home are similarly low-scoring - 0.82 goals per game this season and 1.2 over their last 10 away matches, while conceding an average of 1.29. All of this points towards a low-scoring game. The pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.57*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines in this match are 1-0 (14.57%), 1-1 (11.91%) and 0-0 (10.8%). All three reflect the generally low-scoring nature of the game and a roughly even distribution of chances between a narrow home win and a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, though the gap between the top three is small.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The high cost of a mistake for both sides points to a very cautious game: Quilmes need every point to survive, while San Martín Tucumán are playing under pressure to keep their play-off hopes alive until the final round of the season's closing stage. The hosts' weak attack is combined with a solid defence and a clear trend towards low-scoring results - Total Goals Under 2.5 comes in regularly for Quilmes across different match scenarios. The last head-to-head meeting between these two sides also ended goalless (0:0). Taking into account the statistics of both teams and the high stakes for each side, our selection is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Quilmes - San Martin Tucuman
in 7 of last 8 Quilmes games (Primera B Nacional)..svg)
in 15 of last 17 games.in 9 of last 10 San Martin Tucuman games (Primera B Nacional).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
