Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 October 2026
In November 2013, Qingdao Zhongneng were relegated from the Super League after losing 1-0 to Beijing Guoan on the final matchday. The club did not return to the top flight until 2023. Now Guoan are once again deciding Qingdao's fate: the hosts need nothing less than a win, or they will drop out of the league with three rounds to go.
Head-to-Head
Qingdao Zhunneng and Beijing Guoan have met nine times. The hosts have won two of those meetings, while the visitors have won five, with two ending in draws. In terms of goals scored, Qingdao Zhunneng have 13 against Beijing Guoan's 28.
Head-to-head statistics Qingdao Jonoon - Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon Team Overview
In the spring, Qingdao set a club record in the Super League by winning four matches in a row, climbing to seventh place. That run was ended by Guoan: Qingdao lost 2-4 in Beijing. Since then, the team have won just once in 14 matches, and have taken nothing from their last nine league games. Qingdao are now bottom of the table, 11 points adrift of the safety of 14th place. Manager Milan Ristić said back in the summer that he never sets his team up to draw. Now he has no choice.
Match Results: Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan Team Overview
In May, Goan were as low as 11th, but they have since climbed to third, two points behind second-placed Dalian Yingbo. Nick Montgomery's side have gone 12 league matches without defeat, and ten without defeat away from home. For a single Super League season, that is the best away run in the club's history. Before the break, though, Beijing drew three matches in a row, and against Shanghai Port, Montgomery fielded just one foreign player - Fabio Abreu and Uroš Spajić were both recovering from injuries at the time. During the break, the squad began to return to full strength: on 2 October, in a friendly against Tianjin, Dawan scored - he had also missed the Port match.
Match Results: Beijing Guoan
Match Result Prediction
Qingdao have lost ten matches in a row across all competitions. Of their 26 Super League fixtures, they have taken nothing from 17 and won just six times. Guoan have almost twice as many wins - 11. We do not expect Qingdao to end their ten-match losing run against the third-placed side in the league. Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win.
The Reliable Bet
Qingdao have failed to score more than one goal in six consecutive Super League matches. Even at home against Wuhan, when the opposition scored five times, Qingdao managed just one in reply. Guoan's defence is no open door either, having conceded 33 goals in 26 rounds. The bet is Qingdao Zhunneng Team Total - Under 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct scores are: 1-2 (10.43%), 0-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The 1-2 scoreline has the highest probability.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Qingdao have the worst defence in the Super League: 53 goals conceded in 26 rounds. Each of the hosts' last four matches has produced at least three goals. Guoan's attack finds this kind of opponent comfortable: 49 goals scored puts them fourth in the league. Qingdao cannot afford to sit back - a draw means relegation for them. The head-to-head record also points to goals: three of the last five meetings between these two sides produced six goals each. We expect an open game in which Guoan score more than they concede. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score - 1:2.
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