PAOK vs PAE PS Kalamata Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 October 2026
🔊 PAOK come into this match on the back of a confident run, having won four of their last five games and sitting among the league's leading sides. Kalamata are closer to the lower end of the table but remain motivated to close the gap on those above them. The two sides have shown differing levels of output and consistency, which could be a key factor in how this match plays out.
PAOK have been the only side to come out on top in their head-to-head encounters.
PAOK won the last meeting between the two sides against Kalamata in the Greek Cup - 2-0. Both goals had been scored by half-time; PAOK also led on corners, 4-2.
📊 PAOK have won both official meetings with Kalamata - one at home and one away. The aggregate score is 4-0, and PAOK were leading at half-time in both matches.
Head-to-head statistics PAOK - PAE PS Kalamata
PAOK: impressive attacking display
PAOK's previous Super League match saw them beat Panetolikos away from home 3-1. They had 16 shots to their opponents' two, despite having less of the ball - 44% possession against 56%.
PAOK have been highly effective in attack - their average over the last ten matches is 1.8 goals per game, and that figure rises to 2.4 per game across the current season. They have had a strong run of five matches, winning four and losing one, including three consecutive wins during that spell. Defensively they also look solid: conceding an average of just one goal per game this season and 1.2 over the last ten matches underlines the reliability of their backline. PAOK's league objective is to challenge at the top, and despite the early stage of the season the club remains motivated to stay among the frontrunners.
Match Results: PAOK Thessaloniki
Kalamata: struggling for results
At home against Panathinaikos, Kalamata lost 0-1 in their last Super League match. They were close to matching their opponents in shots - 13 to 14 - but were well behind in possession: 35% to 65%.
Kalamata's numbers are less impressive, both in terms of points and performances: just one win and three defeats in their last five league rounds point to inconsistent results. Their attack still carries a threat, though - the team are averaging 1.4 goals per match over their last ten games, and slightly fewer, 1.2, across the season as a whole. The defence has been more of a problem, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in the current league campaign and 1.3 over a longer stretch. Despite sitting outside the top half of the table, Kalamata still have something to play for, with a six-point gap to fourth place to close.
Match Results: PAE PS Kalamata
Total Goals Prediction
PAOK have scored fewer than 3.5 goals at home in 7 of their last 8 matches, pointing to a tendency for moderate home scoring. Their average home goals per game this season is also 3, which is close to the selected line. A further supporting factor is their average of 1.75 goals per home match over their last 10 home games. Taking these factors into account, the pick here is PAOK Team Total - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.32*.
Corners Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 league matches, PAOK have taken fewer than 6.5 corners, pointing to a consistently low level in this area. Given such a long and stable run, the bet on PAOK Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 at odds of 1.83* looks justified.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1:0 (16.33%), 2:0 (15.31%) and 3:0 (9.57%). A narrow 1:0 win for PAOK is considered the most probable result, though a more emphatic home victory also carries a notable probability.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The trend data clearly highlights Kalamata's attacking output even against stronger opposition: the side have scored regularly away from home, doing so in sixteen of their previous eighteen away matches regardless of other statistical indicators or their current overall form. That consistency in front of goal leads the editorial team to back the Kalamata team total, given that PAOK, despite their home strength, have conceded in virtually every match this season - averaging one goal per game. The bet is Kalamata Team Total - Over 0.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: PAOK Thessaloniki - PAE PS Kalamata
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