Nice vs Strasbourg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Strasbourg have not managed to beat Nice on their turf for nearly five years. Their last away win came back in December 2021, and since then, four subsequent Ligue 1 visits have ended with two draws and two victories for the hosts. Now, this run carries extra weight: just two points separate the sides, and a win for Nice would see them leapfrog their rivals in the standings.
Head-to-Head
📊 This spring, the sides met twice within an 18-day span, with both fixtures taking place at the Stade de la Meinau. On April 4, Strasbourg cruised to a 3-1 Ligue 1 victory over Nice. But on April 22, in the Coupe de France semi-final on the same pitch, Nice got their revenge. Elye Wahi scored both goals for the visitors, including a late penalty, as Strasbourg fell 0-2. Wahi remains with Nice and has already found the net against Le Mans this season.
Head-to-head statistics Nice - Strasbourg
Nice Team Overview
Until September 20, Nice had gone 13 home league matches without a win. The arrival of Olivier Pantaloni as head coach in June did little to change that trend, with the new campaign only extending their winless streak. Home draws against Lorient and Le Mans, coupled with away defeats to Paris and Auxerre, left Nice at the foot of the table heading into Matchday 5. But they finally broke the drought against league leaders Lille. A low cross from Mohamed Amoura was turned into his own net by Nathan Ngoy, and after the break, Amoura found the target himself. That result lifted Nice to five points and 14th place.
Attacking remains their biggest concern: across five rounds, Nice have managed just three goals, one of which was an own goal. Defensively, however, they have looked more solid. Since the defeat in Paris, Nice have not conceded more than once in any match. From Matchday 2, Djibril Koulibaly and Axel Witsel have anchored the midfield, while 17-year-old Xavier Mandza-a former midfielder-made his debut as part of a back three against Lille.
Match Results: Nice
Strasbourg Alsace Team Overview
Hugo Oliveira, who joined from Portuguese side Famalicão in July, kicked off his tenure with a tough trip to Marseille, where Strasbourg conceded four unanswered goals. The team bounced back with back-to-back wins, coming from behind on both occasions. Against Lens, both goals were scored by Guessouma Yacine, while in Troyes, the visitors responded with an emphatic six-goal display. Substitute Samuel Amo-Ameyaw netted twice in the final three minutes. Strasbourg now sit eighth in the table with seven points.
However, their attack stalled heading into the international break. In a draw with leaders Monaco and a defeat to Paris, both of Strasbourg’s goals came from opposition own goals-courtesy of Sadio Sané and Moustapha Mbow. Defensively, Oliveira’s side have conceded in every match so far, with ten goals allowed-exactly matching their tally scored. Paris’ opening goal stemmed from a poor build-up by the visitors deep in their own half.
Match Results: Strasbourg Alsace
Latest news
Nice
❓ Pantaloni faces no major selection issues: at his October 9th press conference, he mentioned only three long-term injuries. Antoine Mendy and Laurent Abergel are both sidelined with ACL tears. Mendy picked up his injury against Le Mans on September 5th, and according to media reports, he isn’t expected back before March. Moïse Bombito underwent a second surgery on his tibia in September. On the positive side, two experienced midfielders have rejoined the squad after the break. Morgan Sanson, who had knee surgery at the end of last season, resumed training last week, but is listed as doubtful in the league’s official squad announcement. Hicham Boudaoui has fully recovered and, according to Pantaloni on October 8th, could even make the starting XI. The Algerian midfielder, whose contract expires in June, was unable to secure a move away from the club this summer. According to the league’s website, Salis Abdul Samed is also a doubt for this fixture.
Strasbourg Alsace
❓ Oliveira looks set to be without his captain. According to the Strasbourg press as of October 7, Ismaël Doukouré has not trained with the squad since last week and has declined his first call-up to the Ivory Coast national team. The club remains tight-lipped about the nature of his injury. The centre-back pairing is expected to be Jayland Mitchell and Karim Koulibaly, but both have had their international breaks disrupted by fitness concerns. Mitchell suffered a knee injury while on duty with Costa Rica, although he returned to action just three days later. Koulibaly left Germany’s U21 camp early due to illness. For similar reasons, right-back Genesis Antwi was forced to depart Sweden’s U21 squad ahead of schedule. There are also doubts over left-back Oso, who spent two days with the medical staff. On Wednesday, seven internationals were still missing from training, including Giovanni Reyna, who played a half against Canada in the early hours of Wednesday. Forward Martial Godo is working on an individual programme as he recovers from a muscle injury, with no timeline given for his return. Joaquin Panichelli is rehabilitating from a cruciate ligament tear and hopes to rejoin the group in December.
Probable Lineups
📋 Nice probable starting XI: Diouf - Abdelmonem, Ndayishimiye, Mandza - Clauss, D. Coulibaly, Witsel, Nkounkou - Hein, Amoura - Wahi.
📋 Strasbourg probable starting XI: Jorgensen - Antwi, Mitchell, K. Coulibaly, Oso - Sousa, El Mourabet - Yassine, Reyna, Nanasi - Ortega.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
In Ligue 1 head-to-head matches at Nice's ground, there have been no more than three goals in nine consecutive meetings. Nice themselves have not been involved in high-scoring games this season: none of their five Ligue 1 matches this term has featured more than three goals. The longer-term picture tells the same story: fewer than four goals in 12 of their last 14 matches. We expect this one to stay tight. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
🚩 Corners Prediction
More than eight corners were taken in 13 of Strasbourg's last 15 Ligue 1 matches. Nice will add their share: across their last 10 official matches they have taken 55 corners, with their opponents taking the same number. In Strasbourg's last 10 official matches there were 82 corners in total, 32 of them taken by Strasbourg themselves. The head-to-head record points even higher: the last five meetings between these two sides have all produced more than ten corners. We expect the teams to clear the eight-corner mark. The bet is Total Corners - Over 8.5.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Strasbourg have received more than two yellow cards in only one of their last 11 Ligue 1 matches. Across their last 10 official matches, Oliveira's players have picked up 15 bookings, while their opponents have received 18. Nice's opponents have collected 15 yellows over the same 10-match span. We do not expect Strasbourg to reach a third card. The bet is Strasbourg Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 2.5.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Both teams have scored in each of the last five Ligue 1 head-to-head meetings between Nice and Strasbourg. Nice have also scored in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings when the Coupe de France is included. Strasbourg have their own record to point to: they have scored in 8 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches, and they have not kept a clean sheet in 13 games in a row. We are therefore expecting goals at both ends, along with a draw. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: Nice - Strasbourg Alsace
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