Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 October 2026
🔉 The opening fixture of round 13 in the First League is a meeting between two sides level on points in the table. Neftekhimik and Chelyabinsk go into this head-to-head with an identical points tally. Both clubs are fighting to stay in the league and remain highly motivated at the midpoint of the season. In that context, every mistake could affect their gap from the danger zone, and the pressure will be higher than is typical for this stage of the campaign. The hosts' low scoring contrasts with the visitors' less stable defence.
Head-to-Head
Chelyabinsk beat Neftekhimik 2-0 in their most recent First League Pari meeting on 02 May 2026. Neftekhimik had more shots overall - 11 to 8 - but were outshot on target 4 to 7.
Across 12 official meetings, Chelyabinsk have won four and Neftekhimik three, with five draws. In all six matches played at Neftekhimik's ground, both teams scored, while at Chelyabinsk's ground Neftekhimik failed to score in four of the six.
Head-to-head statistics Neftekhimik - Chelyabinsk
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Team Overview
In their last PARI League match on 18 September 2026, Neftekhimik lost at home to Ural 0-1. The hosts managed only four shots to their opponents' six, though they had the better of the shots on target, 3-2.
Neftekhimik are in poor form: just one win and four defeats in their last five matches, with a run of three consecutive losses highlighting their dip in form. Over their last ten games, they have managed only three wins against seven defeats, averaging just 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers point to difficulties at both ends of the pitch, compounded by the pressure of their league position - the club are close to the relegation zone and fighting for every point.
Match Results: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Chelyabinsk Team Overview
Having come back from behind at half-time, Chelyabinsk drew 1-1 at home with Yenisei in their last Liga PARI match on 26 September 2026. The hosts had eight corners to five and created more dangerous attacks - 52 to 35.
Chelyabinsk are also having a difficult season: they have won just one of their last five league matches, losing twice and drawing twice. Across their last ten matches, they have won three, lost four and drawn three; their average of goals scored is slightly higher at 1.1 per game, but they are conceding even more - 1.5 per match. Their league position leaves no room for complacency, as they sit close to the relegation zone and cannot afford to drop points.
Match Results: Chelyabinsk
Total Prediction
Neftekhimik have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 matches, which confirms a consistent trend. This season their average home goals scored stands at just 0.33, and 0.4 across their last 10 home matches. This points to a very low attacking output from the hosts. We're backing Neftekhimik Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.38*.
Risky Bet
Neftekhimik have lost four consecutive home matches, which points to poor home form. In addition, Chelyabinsk have avoided defeat in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, which supports a positive trend for the visitors in this fixture. However, the season statistics suggest roughly equal standing between the two sides, which creates a degree of conflict. As a risky bet, we are looking at a Chelyabinsk win at odds of 2.90*.
Reliable Bet
Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in in 11 of Neftekhimik's last 12 matches, which is backed up by a long, consistent run. Both teams' seasonal numbers also point to low scoring: Neftekhimik's home matches and Chelyabinsk's away matches rarely produce many goals. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.16*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:1 (14%), 1:0 (12.75%) and 0:0 (12.27%). The first option, 1:1, has the highest probability of all those listed, but the other two scorelines are close in likelihood. This points to an expectedly low-scoring match with a high probability of a draw.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides are fighting relegation and have picked up 12 points each so far in the tournament. However, the visitors are in better current form. In the First League, Chelyabinsk have gone three matches without defeat, while Neftekhimik have lost two in a row. Away from home, Chelyabinsk have been regularly troubling opponents, scoring in five consecutive away matches. The main bet is Chelyabinsk Team Total - Over 1.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chelyabinsk
in last 4 home games (Football National League)..svg)
in 9 of last 10 games against Chelyabinsk.in 6 of last 7 home games (Football National League).in 10 of last 11 away games (Football National League).in 7 of last 8 games (Football National League).in 9 of last 10 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk games against Chelyabinsk.in last 6 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk home games against Chelyabinsk.in 10 of last 11 Chelyabinsk games.in 9 of last 10 Chelyabinsk games (Football National League).in last 6 Chelyabinsk away games.in last 5 Chelyabinsk away games (Football National League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
