Lorient vs Paris Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 Last summer, Lorient sold Pablo Pagis - who scored ten goals in the previous Ligue 1 season - to Paris. On Saturday, the midfielder could make his first appearance at the Moustoir in opposition colours. And he will arrive with a side that, under Liam Rosenior, are yet to lose in the league.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season Lorient and Paris met three times, and the away side never won. In October, Paris were the stronger team at home and kept a clean sheet. In February, Lorient got their revenge in the Round of 16 of the Coupe de France, going through with a 2-0 win. The April Ligue 1 meeting at the Moustoir ended in a draw, though it was Lorient who scored first.
Head-to-head statistics Lorient - Paris
Lorient have not managed a home win since April.
After five rounds, Lorient sit 12th with five points under Alexandre Dujeux. Their main problem is their own ground. In Ligue 1, Lorient have not won at the Moustoir since 18 April - four matches in a row without a home victory. In the new season they have lost to Troyes and drawn with Toulouse at home, conceding twice in both games.
Away from home, Lorient started reasonably well. They kept clean sheets in Nice and Lens, and their only win of the season came from a goal by young Mamadou Koné - the second of his senior career. Before the international break, that run came to an end too. In Le Mans, goalkeeper Yvon Mvogo made an error as early as the fourth minute, and Lorient lost 1-2. It was Le Mans's first Ligue 1 win since 2010.
Match Results: Lorient
Paris: Solid at the back in a tense night against Strasbourg
After five rounds, Paris sit third with 11 points, two behind leaders Monaco. Liam Rosenior's side have conceded just three times. At home, Kevin Trapp has not been beaten: the only goal at the Jean-Bouin came when Moustapha Mboup turned the ball into his own net late on against Strasbourg.
That match against Strasbourg was a tense affair. Rosenior was taking on the club he had managed until January, and the away supporters greeted him with abusive chants - play even had to be stopped in the second half. Goals from Ilyan Kebbal and Pablo Pagis gave the Parisians their third win of the season, and after the final whistle it was his own players who had to escort the manager away from the away end.
Match Results: Paris
Latest news
Lorient
❓ Dujeux's main concerns are on the right flank and in central midfield. Panos Retsos was substituted as early as the 17th minute in Le Mans and is now a doubt with a hamstring problem. Noah Mbamba did not feature in Le Mans and is dealing with a muscle injury. Bandiougou Fadiga has also been out with a hamstring issue since the end of the summer. If Retsos is not fit in time, the right flank will most likely go to Théo Le Bri, who replaced him in Le Mans. In the centre alongside Noah Kadio, Arthur Akom - who started in Le Mans - is expected to remain.
Paris
❓ Rosenior's injury list is almost empty. The only doubt is 18-year-old defender Emmanuel Mbemba, who had a leg problem in September. Otávio and Nhoa Sangi, who missed the Strasbourg match through injury, are no longer listed as unavailable. Rosenior named the same starting XI in each of the two rounds before the break.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted Lorient starting XI: Mvogo - Sylla, Talbi, Adjei - Le Bris, Cadiou, Avom, Kouassi - Bernardeau, Makengo - Balde.
📋 Predicted Paris starting XI: Trapp - Traore, Coppola, Mbow, Camara - Lees-Melou, Lopez - Kebbal, Pagis, Koleosho - Sinayoko.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Lorient have scored in 22 of their last 24 home matches across all competitions. Against Paris at the Moustoir, the hosts have found the net in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings. PSG do keep clean sheets away from home, but in Marseille they conceded twice. This season, Lorient have not been held scoreless at home on a single occasion. The pick is Lorient to Score: Yes.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Lorient have taken more than four corners in none of their last five matches. At Lens they won none at all, and at Le Mans they managed three. The picture at home is similar: against Troyes and Toulouse, the hosts took two and four corners respectively. Paris do not allow opponents much access to the corner flag: over their last ten official matches they have taken 41 corners, while Lorient have taken 33 over the same span. The pick is Lorient Team Total Corners - Under 4.5.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The referee is Jérôme Brisard, and he has worked with Paris very recently - in September he took charge of their goalless draw with Lyon and showed two yellow cards to PSG players. Paris rarely get through a match without a booking, having received at least one yellow card in 10 of their last 11 Ligue 1 matches. It usually goes beyond just one: they have picked up two or more in 8 of their last 10 official matches. Across that same period, Paris players have accumulated 20 yellow cards, while Lorient's opponents have received 16. The pick is Paris Team Total - Over 1.5 Yellow Cards.
📌 Editorial Prediction
At the Moustoir, Paris have not won in seven consecutive head-to-head matches. In Lorient, they have also failed to score more than one goal in any of those seven meetings. Lorient themselves find the net against this opponent almost every time - in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches. If the visitors manage just one goal, one in reply will be enough for the hosts to take a point. We do not expect Paris to end the run here in Brittany. Our bet is Lorient not to lose. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Lorient - Paris
in 6 of last 7 away games against Lorient.in 6 of last 7 away games (Ligue 1)..svg)
in 6 of last 7 home games against Paris.
in last 7 home games against Paris.Comparison of Teams Stats
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