Lille vs Havre Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
π Le Havre have managed just one win in their last 17 Ligue 1 fixtures and sit at the bottom of the table. However, theyβve taken points from both of their last two trips to Lille. Lille, meanwhile, are fourth after their defeat in Nice, trailing leaders Monaco by just three points.
Head-to-Head
π The most recent clash between these sides took place in May at the βPierre-Mauroyβ. HΓ‘kon Arnar Haraldsson put Lille ahead, but Le Havre responded just four minutes later, with the match ultimately finishing 1-1. Haraldsson struck the woodwork twice, but Lille couldn't find a winner. Goals have been at a premium in this fixture: in each of their last six Ligue 1 head-to-head meetings, the teams have combined for fewer than four goals.
Head-to-head statistics Lille - Havre
Lille stumble in Nice with Arsenal looming on the horizon
Lille sit fourth in the table with 10 points. Before the international break, Davide Ancelotti's side suffered a defeat away to Nice, despite enjoying 59% possession and outshooting their opponents two to one. Nice took the lead through an own goal, and Lille only managed to pull one back out of the two they conceded.
Ancelottiβs main asset is his teamβs defensive solidity. In 2026, among clubs from Europeβs top five leagues, only Arsenal have conceded fewer goals than Lille-and, coincidentally, Lille will travel to face Arsenal just three days after their clash with Le Havre. In the Champions League, Lille are yet to pick up a point after their opening group stage match.
Match Results: Lille
Le Havre: winless on the road, but still finding the net
Havre sit at the bottom of the table with just two points and are still searching for their first win of the current Ligue 1 campaign. Didier Digardβs side last tasted victory in the French top flight at the end of last season, away to Lorient.
However, Havre have managed to find the net in every away match: they have scored in seven consecutive Ligue 1 games on the road. Their latest example came against Toulouse, where Havre suffered a 2-3 defeat but twice clawed their way back into the contest, refusing to let the hosts see out a comfortable finish.
Match Results: Havre
Latest news
Lille
β Ethan MbappΓ© is set to miss around three weeks after sustaining a ligament strain while on duty with Franceβs youth team during the international break. Hamza Igamane remains sidelined as he continues his recovery from the cruciate ligament tear he suffered back in January. Tanguy Nianzou is listed as doubtful; the defender picked up a knock prior to the trip to Nice, and the club has yet to confirm his return to full training. Nabil Bentaleb resumed training earlier this week. One storyline to watch is Maurits KjΓ¦rgaard: the Dane has registered assists in both of his Ligue 1 appearances, each time coming off the bench. According to Opta, no player has managed an assist in each of their first three Ligue 1 matches since the 2006/07 season.
Havre
β Didier Digard will have to cope without two key players, FΓ©lix Mambimbi and Lionel Mpasi, who are both sidelined with Achilles tendon ruptures. StΓ©phan Zagadou has returned to training after suffering an ACL tear, but according to the French media, Le Havre are unlikely to risk him in Lille. TimothΓ©e PembΓ©lΓ© remains a doubt due to a muscle injury sustained in mid-September. Ayumu Seko, Ahmed Touba, Rasoul Ndiaye, and Ryan Fofana have just returned from international duty.
Probable Lineups
π Lilleβs projected starting XI: Ozer - Tiago Santos, Ngoy, Alexsandro, Perraud - Andre, Bentaleb - Bakwa, Haraldsson, Onal - Ueda.
π Le Havreβs projected starting XI: Gallon - Sasso, Seko, Touba - Jelert, Ebonog, Ndiaye, Ouziad - Fofana - Samatta, Maja.
β½οΈ Goals Prediction
Lille have failed to score more than two goals in each of their last ten Ligue 1 matches. At home, they've managed three or more goals just once in their previous 17 outings across all competitions. Despite their struggles, Le Havre have not lost by more than a single goal in any of their last 14 games. With that record, it's reasonable to expect the hosts to score no more than twice. The pick: Lille individual goals under 2.5.
π© Corners Prediction
Lille have taken more than five corners in just one of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures, and at home, they've stayed under that mark in nine of their last ten matches in all competitions. Over their previous ten games, Les Dogues have earned a total of 42 corners. Le Havre, meanwhile, have conceded plenty-53 corners to their opponents over the same span. Still, matches at Stade Pierre-Mauroy rarely see many corners: in seven of the last eight Ligue 1 games here, both teams combined for fewer than ten. Expect Lille to win no more than five corners this time as well. The pick: Lille individual corners under 5.5.
π¨ Yellow Cards Prediction
Across Lilleβs last ten matches, referees have handed out 39 yellow cards; Le Havreβs games have seen 37 in the same stretch. Lille themselves picked up 18 bookings, while Le Havre collected 22. The match will be officiated by Romain Lissorgue, who has shown only seven yellows in three Ligue 1 matches this season. Given these stats, we donβt expect more than four bookings in total for this clash. The pick: under 4.5 total yellow cards.
π Editorial Prediction
Head-to-head encounters between Lille and Le Havre tend to be low-scoring affairs: in their last six Ligue 1 meetings, the teams have never combined for more than three goals. Lilleβs recent league form tells a similar story, with nine of their last ten matches featuring under four goals. Le Havre are even more consistent, with seven straight Ligue 1 games staying under that mark. We donβt expect a goal-fest at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy-both sides are unlikely to combine for more than three goals. Our pick: under 3.5 total goals. Predicted scoreline: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Lille - Havre
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