Botafogo vs Ceara Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 October 2026
🔊 Botafogo São Paulo come into this match fighting to stay in the league, sitting close to the relegation zone. With the season in its final stages and only a five-point cushion above the drop zone, they cannot afford a run of poor results. Ceará sit a little higher in the table and have no pressing objective to play for, which takes the pressure off the visitors. The main talking point is the contrast between the hosts' motivation and the recent form of both sides.
Head-to-Head
Botafogo São Paulo beat Ceará away from home 1-0 ({20 June 2026}, Série B). Despite having less possession, the visitors had more shots on target: 5-2.
In five head-to-head meetings, Ceará have won three, Botafogo São Paulo one, with one match ending in a draw. The goal difference also favours Ceará - 13-5.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Ceara
Botafogo San Paulo Team Overview
Botafogo São Paulo won their last Série B match away at Operário 2-1 (7 October 2026). Despite having less possession, the visitors registered more shots on target - 6-3.
Botafogo São Paulo are struggling both in terms of results and attacking output, with just 2 wins and 6 defeats in their last ten matches. During that same period, they averaged just 0.9 goals per game, and the seasonal trend backs this up - they have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in nine of their last ten Série B matches. The pressure of the relegation battle appears to be making them cautious in attack, which is reflected in poor finishing even at home.
Match Results: Botafogo San Paulo
Ceara Team Overview
In their most recent Serie B home match, Ceará beat Criciúma 1-0 ({8 October 2026}). Possession was even, but the hosts had the better of the shots on target - 3-1 - and the only goal came after the break.
Ceará are having a steady season: five wins and two draws from their last ten matches, alongside three defeats, points to a reasonable level of consistency. On average, the visitors score 1.2 goals per game and concede roughly the same - figures that keep them clear of the relegation battle but offer no realistic prospect of joining the title race in the final stretch of the season. Motivation is not particularly high, though the team remain capable of taking advantage of opponents' mistakes.
Match Results: Ceara
Total Goals Prediction
In 9 of their last 10 matches, Botafogo São Paulo have scored no more than one goal, which supports the trend for their team total to stay under 1.5. Their average across the last 10 matches is just 0.9 goals, and at home it is 1 goal per game. This consistently points to difficulties in front of goal for the hosts. We are backing Botafogo São Paulo Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.57*.
Corners Prediction
In each of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo São Paulo have taken fewer than 5.5 corners against Ceará. Despite a generally high corner count in other matches, the head-to-head record shows a consistent tendency towards fewer corners for the hosts in this fixture. We're backing Botafogo São Paulo Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 2.06*.
Risky Bet
In Botafogo São Paulo's last nine home matches, Total Goals - Over 1.5 landed in eight of them, and the average scoring and conceding figures for both sides point to a potentially high-scoring game. However, both teams are generally low-scoring overall, so a bet on Total Goals - Over 2.5 carries elevated risk. We're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 2.30*.
Reliable Bet
Botafogo São Paulo are a productive side at home, having scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 9 home matches. Their average goals scored at home this season is 1.56, and 1 goal per game across their last 10 home fixtures. We're backing Botafogo São Paulo to Score at least one goal at odds of 1.29*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1-0 (12.43%), 1-1 (12.39%) and 0-0 (9.4%). All three options have similar probabilities, with a narrow home win of 1-0 rated as the most likely.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Botafogo São Paulo's form remains a weak point as the season approaches its final stages - low scoring has persisted as a long-term trend for the club across all competitions in the current Série B season. Their league position means the hosts need to be cautious, but the statistics show that the team rarely manages even one goal, whether at home or against sides at a similar level in the table. In our view, the best option here is Botafogo São Paulo Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Botafogo San Paulo - Ceara
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