Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔉 Avispa Fukuoka come into this match under serious pressure - they are in the relegation zone, just two points from safety. Fagiano Okayama, by contrast, sit in mid-table in J1 League and remain in touch with the AFC Champions League places. The hosts have been unable to shake off a prolonged run of poor results early in the season, while the visitors have shown more consistent form. The difference in recent results and each side's current objectives are the key factors here.
Head-to-Head
Fagiano Okayama won the most recent head-to-head meeting in J1 League - on 25 April 2026 they beat Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 at home. Fukuoka had more of the ball (61%) and won more corners (7-3), while shots on target were level at 2-2.
📊 A draw is the most common result between Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama: 13 of their 27 official meetings have ended level. Avispa have a slight edge in wins and goals - 8-6 and 29-28 respectively.
Head-to-head statistics Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano
Avispa Fukuoka Team Overview
Avispa Fukuoka's last match was a Kup Imperatora home defeat to Yokohama on 7 October 2026, losing 1-0 despite having three times as many shots - 12 to 4. They also had a clear advantage in shots on target, with 6 to Yokohama's 2.
Avispa Fukuoka are going through a difficult spell: just one win and six defeats from their last eight matches points to real problems for the side. Their last five games have brought three defeats, one draw and only one win, which suggests a lack of consistency even against opponents at a similar level. Their scoring rate is modest - 1.13 goals per game - while they are conceding 1.5, which is weighing on their overall balance. Their motivation is high, driven by the battle to stay in the league, where every point could already prove decisive.
Match Results: Avispa Fukuoka
Fagiano Okayama Team Overview
In their most recent Emperor's Cup match on 7 October 2026, Fagiano Okayama beat Chiba 1-0 at home. The winning goal came after the break; the hosts outshot their opponents 13-10, including 5-3 on target.
Fagiano Okayama sit towards the top of the table and have been in good form over their last ten matches, winning seven and losing two. They are confident in attack, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game, while their defence has been reasonably solid at 0.9 conceded. Their away matches have also tended to be productive for the visitors, with a run of trends confirming their regular involvement in games with a total of over 1.5 goals.
Match Results: Fagiano Okayama
Match Result Prediction
Avispa Fukuoka have gone unbeaten at home in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings against Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama, meanwhile, have won just 2 away matches this season. These figures support the case for the hosts not to lose. Our pick is the Double Chance - Avispa Fukuoka not to lose at 1.57*.
Reliable Bet
Avispa Fukuoka with a +1.5 handicap have gone unbeaten in 21 of their last 22 J1 League matches, which points to an extremely high level of reliability for this line. This bet fits well with the overall picture of a cautious, low-scoring match. The odds on the home side's handicap (+1.5) are 1.13*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12.81%), 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability of the three, though the gap between the first and second most likely outcomes is not particularly large. This reflects an overall scenario of low-scoring, cautious play between the two sides.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The current picture is shaped by Fagiano Okayama's strong attacking output away from home and Avispa Fukuoka's high motivation to pick up points at home, given that they are already in the relegation zone at the start of the season. The key trend is that Total Goals - Over 1.5 has consistently landed in all of Okayama's recent away matches, which is backed up by their overall productivity in attack and Fukuoka's lack of defensive reliability at home (conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game). The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama
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