Austria Wien vs Sturm Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔉 Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz meet in a match where both sides retain motivation to compete for positions in the Champions League zone. The hosts are just one point behind sixth place but have been struggling for goals. The visitors are already among the leading group and are looking to stay there. At this stage of the season, consistency in attack matters as much as picking up points for both sides.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official matches between Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz, the two sides have met 56 times. The hosts have won 21, the visitors 20, with 15 draws. In terms of goals scored, Sturm hold a narrow edge - 77 against 76. The average number of goals per match is 2.73, with around 1.05 scored in the first half and approximately 1.68 in the second.
Head-to-head statistics Austria Wien - Sturm
Austria Vienna have failed to win at home in 7 of their last 10 league matches.
Austria Vienna have been inconsistent of late, winning two, drawing one and losing two of their last five matches. Their home scoring average is just one goal per game, with 1.86 conceded, which points to problems at both ends of the pitch. Over their last ten matches the average rises slightly to 1.4 goals scored, but the home trend remains negative: they have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in six of their last seven Bundesliga matches. Their league objective - closing the gap on the teams above them in the Champions League qualification places - means the result still matters.
Match Results: Austria Wien
Sturm Graz are aiming for an away win after back-to-back defeats.
Sturm Graz have had a more consistent season overall: three wins, two defeats and one draw from their last five matches reflects a degree of stability from the visitors. Their attacking output away from home this season is modest, averaging 1.14 goals per game, while they have conceded 1.29 per match on the road. The ten-match picture tells a similar story of balance without sharp swings in either direction - four wins, four defeats and two draws, with comparable figures for goals scored and conceded (around 1.1-1.2 in each case). Their aim is to maintain their position among the top sides in the table.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Under 3.5 has landed in 9 of Austria Vienna's last 10 Bundesliga matches, which is a long and consistent run. Neither side has been particularly prolific this season: Austria Vienna average 1 goal per match, while Sturm Graz average 1.14. The average number of goals conceded by both teams also stays below 2 per game. All of this points to a fairly tight encounter and supports the bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.37*.
Corners Prediction
Austria Vienna have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 home Bundesliga matches, pointing to a consistent trend in this area. That pattern supports a bet on Austria Vienna Team Corners - Over 4.5 at odds of 1.69*.
Reliable Bet
Sturm Graz have gone unbeaten in 18 of their last 19 Bundesliga matches, which speaks to how reliable this selection is. The team have also lost just 2 of their 7 matches this season, and away from home they have won or drawn in the majority of cases. The Double Chance on Sturm Graz not to lose is backed by both the statistics and the trend, and is priced at 1.31*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct score outcomes are 1:1 (12.21%), 0:1 (11.67%) and 1:2 (9.13%). The most probable result is a 1:1 draw, though the gap between first and second place is minimal. This points to a fairly even distribution of probability across low-scoring outcomes.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The match looks set to revolve around cautious play from Austria Vienna: the side need points in their push for a Champions League place, but poor finishing is limiting the hosts' attacking output at home - as illustrated by a recent run of six consecutive home Bundesliga matches in which they have scored under 1.5 goals. Average goals-per-game figures support this trend even allowing for some improvement across their last ten matches overall; the opposition are also not particularly prolific away from home, based on their season numbers and recent form. The main prediction is Austria Vienna Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Austria Wien - Sturm Graz
in 18 of last 19 games (Bundesliga).
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