Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 October 2026
🔉 Arsenal Tula go into this match on a poor run in the First League, having gone five rounds without a win. Spartak Kostroma, by contrast, are showing consistent results and sit in the upper part of the table. The difference in form between the two sides is clear: the hosts are struggling while the visitors have been defensively solid. The league standings are also a factor - Arsenal Tula are well off the automatic promotion places, while Spartak Kostroma still have a chance to close in on first place.
Head-to-Head
Spartak Kostroma and Arsenal Tula drew 1-1 in the Pari First League 25 April 2026. After a goalless first half, both sides managed three shots on target each, though Spartak had a clear edge in corners - 6-1.
In two official meetings, Spartak Kostroma have not lost to Arsenal Tula: one win and one draw. Both teams scored in both matches, and all five goals came in the second halves.
Head-to-head statistics Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula Team Overview
Arsenal Tula lost their last Pari League match away to Yenisey, going down 3-1 16 September 2026. The score was level at half-time, but over the course of the game Tula managed only four shots to their opponents' 11 and had a man sent off.
Arsenal Tula have won just three of their twelve league rounds and have taken one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. During that same spell, they have been scoring one goal per game but conceding noticeably more - 1.6 goals per match over their last ten fixtures. Their seasonal average is even higher, at 1.83 conceded per game. The team currently have no clear promotion motivation, as they already trail the automatic promotion places by 12 points at this stage of the season.
Match Results: Arsenal Tula
Spartak Kostroma Team Overview
At home against Ural, Spartak Kostroma lost 1-2 in their last Liga PARI match 26 September 2026. Despite having just 31% possession, the hosts had more shots - 10 to 8 - though both sides put five on target.
Spartak Kostroma have hit excellent form: four consecutive wins, very few goals conceded, and only one defeat in their last five matches. Over their last ten games they have won six, and the averages point to good organisation - 1.3 goals scored against just 0.9 conceded per game across those ten matches, while their defensive record over the season is even better at 0.83 goals conceded per game. They are still in contention for first place, though their motivation is rated as low for this stage of the season.
Match Results: Spartak Kostroma
Outcome Prediction
Arsenal Tula have failed to win in 7 of their last 8 matches, which points to their difficulties in picking up points. Spartak Kostroma have lost only 2 matches all season and have been picking up points consistently away from home. The Double Chance - Spartak Kostroma at 1.48* therefore looks justified.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (13.42%), 1-0 (11.11%) and 0-1 (10.01%). All three are fairly close in probability, though the 1-1 draw stands out as the most likely of the three. The probability distribution does not show a clear dominance for either team.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clear contrast in form makes the away side the favourites to at least avoid defeat: Arsenal Tula have been consistently dropping points even at home and have struggled defensively throughout the season, while Spartak Kostroma have shown a much higher level of play both in attack and at the back, which is reflected in the trend of Arsenal Tula failing to win at home in almost every recent league round. Taking into account the recent results of both sides and the direction of the trend for Arsenal Tula's results, the editorial selection is Double Chance - X2.
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Betting Tips: Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma
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