Almirante Brown vs Dep Moron Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026

Deportivo Morón edged Almirante Brown 1-0 in their Primera B Nacional clash on 07 June 2026. Almirante Brown enjoyed 60% possession but were outshot on target, managing just 2 attempts to Morón’s 10.

Across 13 official head-to-head clashes, Deportivo Morón have claimed five victories, while Almirante Brown have managed just one win. Seven encounters have ended in a draw. Notably, Almirante Brown tend to find the net more often after the break-11 of their 13 goals have come in the second half-whereas Deportivo Morón are more prolific before halftime, scoring 12 of their 18 goals in the opening 45 minutes.

The under 2.5 goals bet has landed in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides, highlighting a consistent trend of low-scoring encounters. Almirante Brown average just 0.94 goals per game at home this season, and that figure drops to only 0.5 goals across their last 10 home fixtures. Deportivo Morón, meanwhile, register an average of 1.18 goals per away match, further underlining the likelihood of a tight contest. Based on these stats, backing under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.30* looks like a well-founded prediction.

In 6 of Deportivo Morón’s last 7 matches, the total number of corners has stayed under 8.5, highlighting a clear trend towards fewer set-piece opportunities in their games. There’s no statistical evidence to suggest this pattern is likely to change. As a result, backing under 8.5 corners at odds of 1.74* looks like a well-founded prediction.

Both teams have found the net in six of the last seven head-to-head clashes at Almirante Brown’s ground. However, Almirante Brown have struggled to score at home this season, which slightly undermines the reliability of this bet. Still, the strength of the head-to-head trend makes both teams to score (yes) at 2.46* a risky yet potentially worthwhile option.

Deportivo Morón have lost just 2 of their 17 away matches this season, while Almirante Brown have drawn frequently both at home and in recent head-to-head clashes between these sides. The trend is further underlined by the fact that Almirante Brown have failed to win in 12 of their last 13 meetings with Deportivo Morón. That’s why the Deportivo Morón (+1) handicap at odds of 1.53* looks like a solid pick.

Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm highlights three most likely scorelines: 0-0 (16.26%), 1-0 (15.13%), and 1-1 (14.16%). A goalless draw stands out as the most probable outcome, but the chances of other low-scoring results remain high. All three scenarios point towards a generally low-scoring affair.

*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

⭐ Editorial Prediction

The stats make it clear: Deportivo Morón consistently struggle at the back when playing away, having conceded at least once in nearly every road fixture this season, regardless of the opponent’s quality or the stage of the campaign. This trend remains evident in recent matches - the visitors have been prone to defensive lapses even against sides with modest attacking records, such as Almirante Brown, who rarely score more than once per game but look well-positioned to exploit Morón’s vulnerabilities right now. The main prediction: Almirante Brown to score.