Libertad vs Trinidense Prediction 10 August 2026

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The main thing

    📣 Trinidense have never started a tournament this high. Three matches, three wins: against Cerro Porteño, Luqueño and San Lorenzo. On Monday, the leaders travel to La Huerta to take on Libertad, who are three points behind.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Libertad):

    • ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
    • fouls: 1 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Libertad and Sportivo Trinidense:

    • played 23 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 5, draws - 9;
    • number of goals - 34 against 22;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.78, in the 2nd half - 1.65;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.43.

    Head-to-head statistics Libertad - Trinidense

    42%
    10 Wins
    38%
    9 Draws
    21%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Total Goals Avg
    2.46
    Both teams scored
    63%
    1.5
    Total average
    0.96
    1.29
    Yellow cards
    2.38
    Last matches
    10.08.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    1
    -
    -
    3
    0
    7
    16
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    0
    7
    16
    3
    3
    12.04.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    2
    6
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    6
    1
    3
    1
    2
    15.02.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    2
    6
    8
    12
    7
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    6
    8
    12
    7
    4
    05.10.25
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    1
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    3
    4
    11
    18
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    11
    18
    1
    2
    26.07.25
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    7
    5
    6
    10
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    6
    10
    1
    2
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    Libertad Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Guarani, away team - Libertad). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Libertad vs Guarani):

    • ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 8 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Libertad's manager has three matches under his belt. That's exactly as many as he has ever managed professionally: Nelson Aedo Valdez took charge of the club on 25 May, and made his debut on 26 July. Before that, the 42-year-old former Paraguay striker had played for Borussia Dortmund, Valencia and Rubin, and his only coaching experience was as an assistant in Germany.

    The three matches were telling. A win over reigning champions Olimpia thanks to a Rodrigo Villalba goal (1:0), a thrashing of Recoleta on the club's 121st anniversary (4:1), and a defeat to Guaraní with ten men (1:2). Aedo Valdez names the problem himself: the team lacks a centre-forward, and without one, goals have to come from wherever they can.

    Match Results: Libertad

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    17
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    17
    1
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    6
    9
    7
    13
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    9
    7
    13
    1
    1
    D
    24.08.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    -
    -
    9
    3
    9
    9
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    9
    9
    0
    2
    W
    20.08.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Tacuary
    Tacuary
    1
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    1
    5
    7
    12
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    7
    12
    1
    1
    W
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    8
    7
    8
    11
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    8
    11
    2
    2
    W
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    Sportivo Trinidense Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Sportivo Trinidense, away - Sp. San Lorenzo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here are the match stats (Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. San Lorenzo):

    • ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
    • fouls: 8 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 0.

    The visitors have impressed: nine points from three rounds with a goal difference of 9:2. In their first match, José Gabriel Arrúa's side started from behind - they were losing to Cerro Porteño, but pulled it back thanks to goals from Luis Abreu and Axel Cañete (2:1). In the second, they took apart Luqueño away from home (4:1).

    There is one nuance, though. Centre-back Bruno Amílcar Valdez received a red card in the match against San Lorenzo and picked up a ban - he misses this match. For a defence that has conceded just two goals in three rounds, the replacement is a significant one.

    Match Results: Sportivo Trinidense

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    1
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    6
    5
    13
    16
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    6
    5
    13
    16
    0
    3
    W
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    2 de Mayo
    2 de Mayo
    -
    -
    8
    5
    15
    12
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    15
    12
    2
    2
    L
    25.08.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Sol de America
    Sol de America
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    0
    6
    9
    14
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    0
    6
    9
    14
    2
    3
    L
    21.08.26
    Primera Division
    Rubio Nu
    Rubio Nu
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    4
    5
    10
    10
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    10
    10
    3
    4
    D
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    10
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    10
    15
    3
    2
    D
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    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.48, the guests - 0.96;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
    • both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 5.

    Statistics: Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense

    • average total in the tournament: 2.76 vs 2.6;
    • average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.56;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.6;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.96 vs 0.96;
    • Libertad: average total at home in the tournament -  1.92;
    • Sportivo Trinidense: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.25) vs 2 (away - 1.83).
    Trends
    • Libertad have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Sportivo Trinidense (Primera Division).
    • Libertad have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Libertad Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Libertad: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.68; at home field - 4.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.

    Sportivo Trinidense: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.12, away - 3.92;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.67.
    Trends
    • Sportivo Trinidense have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 away games against Libertad (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sportivo Trinidense Total Over (3,5) (odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 23;
    • both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 5 times.
    Trends
    • Sportivo Trinidense have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    • Sportivo Trinidense have scored and conceded in last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/152, 16.4%);
    • Libertad at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/12, 25%);
    • Sportivo Trinidense away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 (3/12, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.01% (odds 6)
    1:0 - 10.02% (odds 6.5)
    0:0 - 8.39% (odds 7.5)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Libertad have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Sportivo Trinidense (Primera Division).
    • Libertad have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 09/08/2026, 20:09
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Dmitry Kochergin
    Football expert
    4
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    7 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Libertad - Sportivo Trinidense

    Libertad have drawn:
    club-libertad-asuncionsportivo-trinidensein last 4 home games against Sportivo Trinidense (Primera Division).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +215
    Sportivo Trinidense have won:
    sportivo-trinidensein last 5 games (Primera Division).
    Sportivo Trinidense Win
    Everygame
    +300
    Libertad have not won:
    club-libertad-asuncionsportivo-trinidensein 7 of last 8 games against Sportivo Trinidense (Primera Division).
    Sportivo Trinidense will not lose
    Everygame
    -133
    Libertad have not lost:
    club-libertad-asuncionin last 6 home games (Primera Division).
    Libertad will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    View more facts

    Libertad - Trinidense Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    22115630-2238
    4.
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    2289527-2133
    5.
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    2288630-2432
    6.
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2294934-2631
    7.
    Guarani
    Guarani
    2278727-2329
    8.
    Cd Recoleta
    Cd Recoleta
    22841035-3228

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 10
    +2
    +8
    17 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    17
    10
    Conceded
    9
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    78'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats