San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 August 2025
📢 What to expect from the clash between San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield in the 4th round of the Argentine Primera? Both teams are in decent form, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this encounter. San Lorenzo, currently sitting in fourth place on the table, will aim to solidify their position. Meanwhile, Velez Sarsfield have delivered impressive performances recently, avoiding defeat in seven of their last eight matches. Both sides will be playing solely for the win.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Velez Sarsfield):
- ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield:
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 11, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 29 against 34;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.75, in the 2nd half - 1.22;
- average total goals in the match - 1.97.
Head-to-head statistics San Lorenzo - Velez Sarsfield

San Lorenzo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Argentina tournament (home team - San Lorenzo, away team - Tigre). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (San Lorenzo vs Tigre):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 20 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
San Lorenzo confidently holds their position at the top of the table, thanks to their solid defensive play, conceding just 0.64 goals per game. The team favors ball control and builds attacks down the flanks, utilizing the high speed of their full-backs. Recent results have been unpredictable: four wins, three losses, and three draws in their last ten matches. Notably, the club has shown a knack for scoring at home against Velez Sarsfield, finding the net in 8 of their last 9 encounters with this opponent.
Match Results: San Lorenzo

Velez Sarsfield Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Velez Sarsfield, away - Instituto AC Cordoba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto AC Cordoba):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Vélez Sarsfield sit in 13th place and are striving to climb out of mid-table. The team favors a defensive style but effectively utilizes swift counterattacks. This approach has seen them concede just 0.8 goals per game on average over their last ten matches. While their offensive output could improve, with just 0.47 goals per game, the team has hit a good run of form, securing four wins and four draws in their last ten outings.
Match Results: Velez Sarsfield
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 32;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.75;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.25, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: San Lorenzo (home) vs Velez Sarsfield (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 9;
- wins: 1 (9.09%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- draws: 10 (90.91%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 0.64 vs 1.33;
- Average goals conceded: 0.27 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 7 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5).
- San Lorenzo have drawn in the 1st half in 13 of last 14 home games.
- San Lorenzo have drawn in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 home games (Primera Division).
- San Lorenzo have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
- San Lorenzo have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 11.
- Velez Sarsfield have not lost in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.91, the guests - 1.06;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.97;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
- average total in the tournament: 1.5 vs 1.68;
- average total goals scored: 0.86 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 0.26;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 0.21;
- San Lorenzo: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Velez Sarsfield: average total away in the tournament - 0.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.33) vs 1 (away - 0.6).
- Under 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 San Lorenzo games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
San Lorenzo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.32; at home field - 4.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 4.17.
Velez Sarsfield: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.21, away - 2.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.4.
- San Lorenzo have taken over 3.5 corners in last 7 games against Velez Sarsfield.
- San Lorenzo have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 games against Velez Sarsfield (Primera Division).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.62 (1.81 for home team and 1.81 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.75 (1.75 for home team and 2 for away team).
San Lorenzo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.95; at home - 2.91;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 3.17.
Velez Sarsfield: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.95, away - 3.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 4.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have kicked off the season with a cautious approach: across the first three rounds involving both San Lorenzo and Vélez Sarsfield, the average number of goals scored was just one per match. Their play is built on strong defensive foundations, emphasizing discipline and reliability at the back. Head-to-head encounters between these sides rarely deliver high-scoring affairs-only one of their last seven meetings saw more than a single goal scored. Given these trends, a bet on under 1.5 goals seems well-founded.