Lugano vs Basel Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 On August 10, Lugano will host Basel at the Cornaredo Stadium for the third round of the Swiss Super League. Basel arrive in high spirits after their impressive victory over Young Boys, while Lugano are navigating a challenging period with a defeat in the Conference League and setbacks in the opening rounds of the league. This match will serve as a test for the hosts, who will be eager to break their streak of poor results and secure their first points of the season.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 10 May 2025 and ended with a 5-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Lugano were the home side):

    • possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corners: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 19 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • red cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 7.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Lugano and Basel:

    • 41 matches played;
    • home wins - 10, away wins - 19, draws - 12;
    • goals scored - 48 for the hosts, 82 for the visitors;
    • average first-half total - 1.34, second-half - 1.83;
    • average total goals per match - 3.17.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    13 Wins
    29%
    13 Draws
    42%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    3.13
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.27
    Total average
    1.87
    2.04
    Yellow cards
    1.93
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    1.08
    1.36
    5
    5
    12
    8
    2
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.08
    1.36
    5
    5
    12
    8
    2
    2
    15.02.26
    Super League
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    Lugano
    Lugano
    2.64
    0.69
    5
    1
    11
    13
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.64
    0.69
    5
    1
    11
    13
    2
    3
    09.11.25
    Super League
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    Lugano
    Lugano
    2.47
    1.81
    10
    8
    13
    13
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.47
    1.81
    10
    8
    13
    13
    1
    3
    10.08.25
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    3.38
    2.01
    4
    6
    11
    12
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    3.38
    2.01
    4
    6
    11
    12
    2
    3
    10.05.25
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    1
    2.4
    1.27
    5
    3
    19
    7
    3
    1
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    4
    2.4
    1.27
    5
    3
    19
    7
    3
    1
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    Lugano Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on during the UEFA Conference League qualifiers' semifinals, with Lugano hosting Celje. The game ended in a 0-5 defeat.

    Here are the match statistics (Lugano vs Celje):

    • possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
    • fouls: 14 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 10.

    ⚫ Lugano have kicked off their Swiss Super League campaign with two defeats - a 0-4 loss to Sion and a 1-2 defeat to Thun. The team are struggling both defensively and offensively, a fact that was glaringly evident in their 0-5 thrashing by Celje in their opening match of the Conference League. Currently sitting at the bottom of the table, Lugano are in dire need of restructuring their gameplay to turn their fortunes around and avoid further setbacks.

    Match Results: Lugano

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    1.08
    1.36
    5
    5
    12
    8
    2
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.08
    1.36
    5
    5
    12
    8
    2
    2
    W
    14.05.26
    Super League
    Sion
    Sion
    Lugano
    Lugano
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    15
    4
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    15
    4
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    St. Gallen 1879
    St. Gallen 1879
    1.73
    2.84
    2
    6
    10
    15
    3
    5
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.73
    2.84
    2
    6
    10
    15
    3
    5
    L
    03.05.26
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    Young Boys
    Young Boys
    -
    -
    7
    2
    7
    13
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    7
    13
    1
    4
    W
    25.04.26
    Super League
    Thun
    Thun
    Lugano
    Lugano
    -
    -
    7
    5
    10
    14
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    5
    10
    14
    3
    4
    W
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    Basel 1893 Team Overview

    The most recent official match for the current visitors took place on during the 4th round of the Super League (home team - Basel, visitors - Young Boys). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4-1.

    Here's a look at the game statistics (Basel vs Young Boys):

    • possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corners: 13 vs 5;
    • fouls: 16 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
    • red cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 4.

    🔴 After a disappointing start with a loss to St. Gallen (1-2), Basel quickly bounced back by defeating Grasshopper (2-1) and making a statement with a commanding win over Young Boys (4-1) in their latest match. With an effective attack and solid defensive play, Basel currently sit in third place in the standings, poised to continue their push for top positions in the league.

    Match Results: Basel 1893

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Super League
    Lugano
    Lugano
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    1.08
    1.36
    5
    5
    12
    8
    2
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.08
    1.36
    5
    5
    12
    8
    2
    2
    L
    14.05.26
    Super League
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    St. Gallen 1879
    St. Gallen 1879
    1.55
    1.57
    10
    8
    12
    23
    4
    5
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3
    1.55
    1.57
    10
    8
    12
    23
    4
    5
    L
    10.05.26
    Super League
    Young Boys
    Young Boys
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    3.03
    1.44
    5
    6
    12
    10
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3.03
    1.44
    5
    6
    12
    10
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Super League
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    Thun
    Thun
    2
    1.64
    0.56
    5
    2
    9
    21
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1.64
    0.56
    5
    2
    9
    21
    1
    2
    W
    26.04.26
    Super League
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    Sion
    Sion
    1.42
    0.71
    3
    6
    13
    7
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.42
    0.71
    3
    6
    13
    7
    0
    1
    L
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 41;
    • Home wins - 10, Away wins - 19, Draws - 12.

    Statistics: Lugano vs Basel

    • Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
    • Victories: 0 vs 2;
    • Win percentage: 0% vs 67%;
    • Losses: 2 vs 1;
    • Draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 1 vs 8;
    • Losses: 6 vs 2;
    • Draws: 3 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Basel have won 13 of their last 15 matches.
    👉Prediction: Basel 1893 Win (odds: 1.91)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Home team average goals - 1.17, Away team average - 2;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.17;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 25 times; at the home ground - 13 times.
    Trends
    • Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 8 of Lugano's last 9 home matches (Super League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5) (odds: 1.67)

    Corners Prediction

    Lugano: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.5; at home - 5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; at home - 4.2.

    Basel: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 7.67, away - 5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 6.8; away - 5.4.
    Trends
    • Basel have delivered fewer than 6.5 corners in 11 of their last 12 away matches (Super League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Basel 1893 Total Under (6.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at home ground - 4.29 (2.24 for home team and 2.05 for away team).

    Lugano: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.1; at home - 2.

    Basel: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 3.33, away - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 1.2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 41;
    • Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
    • At the home ground - 13 times.

    Statistics: Lugano vs Basel

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 3;
    • Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 3;
    • Lugano's BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
    • Basel's BTTS away - 1 (100%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: 5 vs 9;
    • Lugano's BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
    • Basel's BTTS away - 5 (100%).
    Trends
    • Lugano have both scored and conceded at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
    • Basel have both scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
    • Basel have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches (Super League).
    • Basel have both scored and conceded in their last 5 away matches.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.44)

    Editorial Prediction

    Lugano head into their clash with Basel in a tough spot, having yet to secure a single point and struggling significantly in both defense and attack. Meanwhile, Basel are showcasing confident performances and sit comfortably in the upper part of the table, thanks to their previous victories and six points earned in the league so far. The head-to-head record also favors the visitors, who have often come out on top in past encounters. Considering all these factors, a bet on Basel to win seems like a logical choice.

    Our choice
    Basel 1893 Win at odds of -106*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 August 2025, 18:49)

    Betting Tips: Lugano - Basel 1893

    Basel 1893 have won
    fc-basel-1in 13 of last 15 games.
    Basel 1893 Win
    Bovada
    -102
    Lugano have not won
    fc-luganoin 9 of last 10 games (Super League).
    fc-luganoin last 5 home games (Super League).
    Basel 1893 will not lose
    Everygame
    -333
    Lugano have conceded
    fc-luganoin 13 of last 14 home games.
    fc-luganoin 12 of last 13 home games (Super League).
    fc-luganoin 9 of last 10 games (Super League).
    fc-luganoin 8 of last 9 games.
    Basel 1893 have scored
    fc-basel-1in last 26 games.
    fc-basel-1in last 23 games (Super League).
    fc-basel-1in last 17 away games.
    fc-basel-1in last 15 away games (Super League).
    Basel 1893 will score goal
    Everygame
    -714
    Lugano have scored
    fc-luganoin 19 of last 21 home games.
    Basel 1893 have conceded
    fc-basel-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    Lugano will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Lugano - Basel Table position

    League
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Thun
    Thun
    33242775-3774
    2.
    St. Gallen 1879
    St. Gallen 1879
    33179764-4060
    3.
    Lugano
    Lugano
    33169850-3857
    4.
    Basel 1893
    Basel 1893
    331581051-4553
    5.
    Sion
    Sion
    331313751-3552
    6.
    Young Boys
    Young Boys
    331391165-6048

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 9
    +5
    -10
    13 - Scored
    23 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    13
    9
    Conceded
    23
    2.3
    Match goals average
    3.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats