Breda vs Heerenveen Prediction 11 May 2026
🔊 Can Heerenveen make a push for the Eredivisie top four? With just two matches remaining, they trail the coveted 4th spot, and thus a Europa League place, by five points. Heerenveen face an away fixture against Breda, who are fighting for survival but have nearly lost hope of staying in the Dutch top flight, sitting six points adrift of even the playoff zone. So, who needs the win more in this head-to-head clash? Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction on each team's chances.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 24 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heerenveen):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NAC Breda and Heerenveen:
- played 32 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 20, draws - 7;
- number of goals - 34 against 62;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.34, in the 2nd half - 1.66;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Breda - Heerenveen
NAC Breda Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Utrecht, away team - NAC Breda). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (NAC Breda vs Utrecht):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 11.
NAC Breda are going through a rough patch. In their last five matches, they've managed to secure just two points from draws, and over a longer stretch, they've gone winless for eight Eredivisie rounds. Their attack is struggling significantly, averaging only 0.7 goals per game. Meanwhile, their defense is also faltering, conceding nearly two goals per match. Currently, Breda sit in the direct relegation zone, trailing by six points from even a playoff spot.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Heerenveen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Volendam, away - Heerenveen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the match stats (Heerenveen vs Volendam):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 14 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Heerenveen have been delivering solid performances over the past few months, suffering only two defeats in their last 10 matches. This consistency has secured them a spot in the European competition zone, and as the league season draws to a close, they can realistically aim for a Europa League berth, being just five points shy of the coveted fourth place. Heerenveen strike a good balance between attack and defense, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4 goals.
Match Results: Heerenveen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 20, draws - 7.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Heerenveen
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 5 vs 14;
- win percentage: 16% vs 44%;
- losses: 17 vs 10;
- draws: 10 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 7;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.06, the guests - 1.94;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Heerenveen
- average total in the tournament: 2.66 vs 3.38;
- average total goals scored: 0.94 vs 1.78;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.41 vs 0.78;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.53 vs 1;
- NAC Breda: average total at home in the tournament - 1.13;
- Heerenveen: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 1) vs 2.2 (away - 1.4).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: NAC Breda vs Heerenveen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for NAC Breda at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for NAC Breda at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/288, 11.1%);
- NAC Breda at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Heerenveen away most often play: 0:3 , 2:1 , 2:2 (2/16, 12.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.3% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 8.43% (odds 9.5)
1:2 - 8.22% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
NAC Breda find themselves in a tough spot. The team struggles both offensively and defensively, having failed to win in their last eight matches. In their previous five games, NAC managed only two draws, which certainly doesn't boost their confidence ahead of facing a stronger opponent. Heerenveen have not lost to Breda in their last five head-to-head encounters, regardless of the venue. Additionally, Heerenveen show consistent form in the league, securing seven victories in their last 10 fixtures. Their current position in the Conference League zone and ambition to qualify for the Europa League provide extra motivation. In the upcoming match, the visitors are considered underdogs. We suggest taking advantage of this by betting on Heerenveen not to lose.
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