Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
π Can Feyenoord secure the second spot in the Eredivisie and clinch a direct ticket to the Champions League group stage in the next round? To do so, they must defeat AZ Alkmaar at home. However, the visitors still have a shot at Europeβs premier competition, albeit through qualification. With two rounds remaining, Alkmaar trail the top three by five points. Which club needs the crucial three points more? Let's evaluate their chances of victory in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 11;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Feyenoord Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar:
- played 41 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 23, for the away team - 10, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 77 against 49;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.39, in the 2nd half - 1.68;
- average total goals in the match - 3.07.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Feyenoord Rotterdam Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Fortuna Sittard, away team - Feyenoord Rotterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Feyenoord are showing consistent form, suffering only one defeat in their last 10 Eredivisie matches. However, the Rotterdam side have often dropped points, drawing four times over the same stretch. Nonetheless, they have one more win to their name, and in their last two games, they have delivered 100% results. This has allowed them to solidify their lead over third place, extending it to five points. This season, Rotterdam averages 2.09 goals per match, making them one of the league's highest-scoring clubs, trailing only PSV and Nijmegen.
Match Results: Feyenoord Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away - Twente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (AZ Alkmaar vs Twente):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
AZ Alkmaar sit in 6th place on the league table and have been putting in solid performances recently, suffering only two defeats in their last 10 matches, both in the Conference League. However, AZ recently clinched the KNVB Cup, thrashing NEC Nijmegen 5-1. They trail NEC by five points in the league but still hold mathematical hopes for Champions League qualification with two matches remaining. The team boasts a fairly average scoring rate, averaging 1.69 goals per game, but they maintain a balance between defense and attack, conceding 1.47 goals per match.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 10, draws - 8.
Statistics: Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 18 vs 14;
- win percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- losses: 7 vs 10;
- draws: 7 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.88, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
- average total in the tournament: 3.44 vs 3.16;
- average total goals scored: 2.09 vs 1.69;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.91;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.09 vs 0.78;
- Feyenoord Rotterdam: average total at home in the tournament - 2.38;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.8) vs 2.2 (away - 1).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 13 times.
Statistics: Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 20;
- number of BTTS matches for Feyenoord Rotterdam at home - 12 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Feyenoord Rotterdam at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar away - 0 (0%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/288, 11.1%);
- Feyenoord Rotterdam at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 3:1 (2/16, 12.5%);
- AZ Alkmaar away most often play: 0:1 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.23% (odds 8.3)
2:1 - 9.82% (odds 8.4)
1:0 - 7.82% (odds 12.5)
β Editorial Prediction
Feyenoord, buoyed by their consistent form and impressive scoring ability, aim to secure the Eredivisie silver medals in the upcoming round. Their strong performances in recent months position them as favorites for this clash. Meanwhile, AZ Alkmaar have also been in decent form and hold a mathematical chance of qualifying for the Champions League. However, in terms of creativity, AZ appear noticeably weaker than their upcoming opponents. This is evident not only from their average scoring rate in the league but also in head-to-head encounters with Feyenoord: in 8 of the last 10 meetings, Alkmaar have scored no more than once. Naturally, achieving this away from home will be even more challenging, so we suggest considering a bet on AZ Alkmaar's total goals under 1.5.
Betting Tips: Feyenoord Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar
in 6 of last 7 home games.in last 7 games (Eredivisie).in last 6 home games (Eredivisie).in 12 of last 13 Feyenoord Rotterdam games.in 11 of last 12 Feyenoord Rotterdam games (Eredivisie).in last 5 Feyenoord Rotterdam home games (Eredivisie).in 23 of last 24 AZ Alkmaar games.in last 16 AZ Alkmaar games (Eredivisie).in last 10 AZ Alkmaar away games.in last 19 home games (Eredivisie).in last 17 home games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
