Estrela vs Famalicao Prediction 11 May 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 The match promises to be an intriguing clash between teams in contrasting form. Estrela are struggling, with five consecutive losses highlighting their current on-field issues. Meanwhile, Famalicão are showcasing consistent play, remaining unbeaten in their last ten matches. Their solid defense and effective attack make them the favorites for this encounter. The teams have different motivations in the standings: Estrela are fighting for survival, while Famalicão are still aiming to secure fourth place in the table.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between these teams took place on 27 December 2025 and ended with a 2-3 scoreline. Here's a breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (Famalicão were the home side):

    • possession: 61% vs 39%;
    • corners: 9 vs 4;
    • fouls: 18 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Estrela and Famalicão:

    • 5 matches played;
    • home victories - 2, away victories - 1, draws - 2;
    • goals scored - 4 for Estrela, 5 for Famalicão;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 0.8;
    • average total goals per match - 1.8.

    Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Famalicao

    33%
    2 Wins
    50%
    3 Draws
    17%
    1 Win
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    1.5
    Both teams scored
    17%
    0.67
    Total average
    0.83
    3.5
    Corner
    5.67
    3.5
    Yellow cards
    1.67
    15.67
    Fouls
    14.5
    Last matches
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    0.29
    2.2
    3
    10
    16
    9
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.29
    2.2
    3
    10
    16
    9
    3
    1
    27.12.25
    Primeira Liga
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Estrela
    Estrela
    2.69
    0.7
    9
    4
    18
    16
    3
    5
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2.69
    0.7
    9
    4
    18
    16
    3
    5
    25.01.25
    Primeira Liga
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.49
    0.1
    5
    2
    14
    15
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.49
    0.1
    5
    2
    14
    15
    1
    3
    19.08.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    -
    -
    2
    4
    10
    16
    3
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    10
    16
    3
    1
    16.03.24
    Примейра-лига
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Estrela
    Estrela
    -
    -
    4
    7
    15
    19
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    7
    15
    19
    1
    4
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    Estrela Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Moreirense at home and Estrela as the visitors. The game ended with a 3-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Moreirense):

    • possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
    • fouls: 18 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 5.

    Estrela are navigating a challenging period this season, currently sitting 15th in the standings. The team have lost their last five matches, highlighting their crisis in form and defensive frailties. Over the past ten games, Estrela have secured just one victory, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Despite occasional flashes of attacking promise, averaging about one goal per game, the squad suffer from a lack of stability and confidence on the pitch. Their primary focus remains on strengthening their defense and finding ways to emerge from this slump.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
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    Famalicao Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, where they faced Famalicão. The game concluded with a 2-2 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Famalicão vs Benfica):

    • possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corners: 6 vs 4;
    • fouls: 20 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    Famalicão sit in 5th place on the table, showcasing impressive form. They remain unbeaten in their last ten matches, highlighting their consistency and high level of play. Famalicão's defense is solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, while their attack is effective, averaging 1.4 goals per match. This makes them a formidable opponent for any club. In their last five games, they secured four draws and one victory, underscoring their confidence on the pitch and their ability to perform both at home and away.

    Match Results: Famalicao

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    1.64
    1.03
    2
    9
    16
    16
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.64
    1.03
    2
    9
    16
    16
    1
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    0.81
    1.25
    5
    1
    11
    16
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.81
    1.25
    5
    1
    11
    16
    1
    2
    L
    07.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    0.87
    1.29
    7
    6
    12
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.87
    1.29
    7
    6
    12
    13
    1
    2
    D
    31.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Como 1907
    Como 1907
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    2
    L
    28.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lens
    Lens
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    7
    8
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 5;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Famalicao

    • matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • wins: 6 vs 14;
    • win percentage: 19% vs 44%;
    • losses: 16 vs 8;
    • draws: 10 vs 10.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 5;
    • losses: 7 vs 0;
    • draws: 2 vs 5.
    Trends
    • Estrela have lost in last 5 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Famalicao Win (odds: 2.02)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.8, the guests - 1;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.8;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Famalicao

    • average total in the tournament: 2.81 vs 2.19;
    • average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.28;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.47;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.81;
    • Estrela: average total at home in the tournament -  1.31;
    • Famalicao: average total away in the tournament - 0.93;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.4) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Famalicao have scored in last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Famalicao will score goal (odds: 1.18)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.4 (3.6 - for home team and 4.8 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 5.5 (2.5 - for home team and 3 - for away team).

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.41; at home field - 3.63;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 3.

    Famalicao: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.34, away - 4.87;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 5.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Estrela home games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5) (odds: 1.88)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 5;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Famalicao

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 12;
    • number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 7 (44%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Famalicao away - 6 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Famalicao away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 2.01)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (29/288, 10.1%), 1:1 (29/288, 10.1%);
    • Estrela at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:2 , 2:2 (2/16, 12.5%);
    • Famalicao away most often play: 0:1 (4/15, 26.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.42% (odds 6.5)
    0:1 - 12.09% (odds 7.5)
    1:2 - 9.47% (odds 8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form of both teams, Famalicão emerge as clear favorites for the upcoming match. They showcase consistent performances with a solid defense and an effective attack, as evidenced by their unbeaten run in the last ten games. On the other hand, Estrela face significant challenges, having lost five consecutive matches and struggling defensively. The trend towards a Famalicão victory is supported by their current form and season statistics. Therefore, we predict a win for the visitors, who have every chance to extend their successful streak.

    Famalicao Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet+100
    Published: 09/05/2026, 08:43

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    Betting Tips: Estrela - Famalicao

    Famalicao have won the 2nd half:
    fc-famalicaoin 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    2nd Half Famalicao Win
    Everygame
    +135
    Estrela have lost:
    cf-estrelain last 5 games (Primeira Liga).
    Famalicao Win
    Bovada
    +101
    Estrela have not won:
    cf-estrelain 10 of last 11 games (Primeira Liga).
    Famalicao have not lost:
    fc-famalicaoin last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
    fc-famalicaoin last 5 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Famalicao will not lose
    Everygame
    -400
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    in 9 of last 10 Fabio Varissimo games.
    in 6 of last 7 Fabio Varissimo games (in the Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Estrela - Famalicao Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Braga
    Braga
    341611764-3659
    5.
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    341511842-2956
    6.
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    3413111047-3850
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    4 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 6
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    0
    11 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    2
    4
    Draws
    6
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    11
    15
    Conceded
    11
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats