Bastia vs Caen Prediction 10 May 2025
πThe match between Bastia and Caen is a local affair with no significant stakes involved. The hosts sit in ninth place in the table, showcasing decent form with four wins in their last ten matches. Meanwhile, Caen have already been relegated to a lower division, languishing in 18th position with just one win in their last ten outings. Both teams favor an attacking style of play: Bastia almost always find the net at home, while Caen frequently concede. Both teams will field their main squads, adding an element of intrigue to this clash.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 November 2024 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (Caen were the home side):
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
πStatistical preview of official encounters between Bastia and Caen:
- 11 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 7, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 11 by Bastia, 18 by Caen;
- average total in the first half - 0.91, second half - 1.73;
- average total goals per match - 2.64.
Head-to-head statistics Bastia - Caen
Bastia Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Ligue 2 tournament, featuring Guingamp at home against Bastia. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Bastia vs. Guingamp):
- possession: 37% vs. 63%;
- corners: 6 vs. 12;
- fouls: 20 vs. 7;
- yellow cards: 5 vs. 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs. 10.
Bastia have been solid at home, remaining unbeaten in 18 of their last 20 matches on their own turf. They average 1.24 goals per game, though their defense can be shaky, conceding approximately 1.09 goals per match. In their most recent head-to-head with Caen, Bastia fell 0-2, but they are now determined to reclaim lost ground. The team plays with energy and aims to dominate possession for the majority of the match.
Match Results: Bastia
Caen Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in Ligue 2, with Caen hosting Red Star. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the game statistics (Caen vs Red Star):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Caen are struggling significantly this season, with just five wins in 34 matches leading to a well-deserved relegation. They average less than one goal per game (0.88) and concede nearly two (1.71). The team rarely triumphs over Bastia, especially away from home. However, it's worth noting a trend: their last six head-to-head visits have ended in narrow defeats or draws.
Match Results: Caen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 7, draws - 2.
Statistics: Bastia vs Caen
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 10 vs 5;
- win percentage: 30% vs 15%;
- losses: 8 vs 22;
- draws: 15 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- Caen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games against Bastia.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.64;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.64;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Bastia vs Caen
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.59;
- average total goals scored: 1.24 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.21;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.68;
- Bastia: average total at home in the tournament - 1.69;
- Caen: average total away in the tournament - 0.88;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2.2) vs 1.1 (away - 1.2).
- Bastia have conceded in 10 of last 11 games against Caen.
Prediction on corners
Bastia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.79; at home field - 5.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 4.4.
Caen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.71, away - 4.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.2.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Bastia games against Caen.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Bastia games against Caen (Ligue 2).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.82 (1.91 for home team and 1.91 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.5 (1.67 for home team and 1.83 for away team).
Bastia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.24; at home - 2.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; at home - 2.4.
Caen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.88, away - 1.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 5 times.
Statistics: Bastia vs Caen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Bastia at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Caen away - 8 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Bastia at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Caen away - 3 (60%).
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have their weaknesses-Bastia often falter in defense even at home, while Caen have struggled to find their form all season, consistently making defensive errors. This match doesn't hold much significance as the season is effectively over for both sides. The fans might play a crucial role here, with Bastia needing to bid farewell to their supporters with a win over the underdogs. Our pick is a Bastia victory.
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Betting Tips: Bastia - Caen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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