Monaco vs Lyon Prediction 10 May 2025
🔊 In the highlight match of Ligue 1's 33rd round, an enraged Lyon will head to the Louis II Stadium in Monaco, aiming to unleash their fury on the Monegasques and simultaneously keep them out of next season's Champions League. Meanwhile, Monaco are desperate for victories in their final two matches, which would secure them a spot in the Champions League without the need for additional qualification. We are undoubtedly in for a thrilling encounter filled with plenty of intense moments.
Head-to-Head
📊 This is one of the most uncompromising rivalries. The teams last drew in October 2015, or 19 head-to-head matches ago. In their last 10 Ligue 1 encounters, Lyon have established a significant edge with a 7-0-3 record. However, the first-leg match in Lyon saw the "Monegasques" come out on top with a 2-0 victory. Monaco have scored 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 4 home head-to-head meetings. Considering this and Lyon's recent defensive struggles, we suggest betting on Monaco's individual total goals over 1.5.
Head-to-head statistics Monaco - Lyon
Monaco Team Overview
🔴 With just two rounds left in the season, Monaco hold the coveted third spot, but they can't afford any slip-ups. They're only a point ahead of sixth place, and if they give their rivals an opening, someone will surely capitalize. The Monegasques have been formidable at home recently, with six wins and a draw in their last seven Ligue 1 home matches. They need to maintain this form against Lyon and then secure a victory away at Lens in the final round. It's a tough but achievable challenge for Monaco.
🔝 Two Monaco players made it into the team of the week following Matchday 32. Right winger Manes Akliouche, who scored and assisted against Saint-Étienne, and defensive midfielder Denis Zakaria, who provided an assist, were both recognized for their standout performances.
Match Results: Monaco
Olympique Lyon Team Overview
⚪ Lyon's hopes of clinching a top-four finish took a severe hit after their home defeat to Lens (1-2). Now, their chances are purely mathematical, requiring three out of five rivals to falter in their remaining fixtures. While the odds are slim, they aren't impossible, especially when facing a direct competitor. Paulo Fonseca's squad are poised to put up a fight away at Monaco. Following that, they must secure a victory against Angers at home and hope for slip-ups from others.
📣 Lyon's center-back Moussa Niakhaté shared his thoughts on the 1-2 loss to Lens: “It's a huge disappointment. Our fate is no longer in our hands. They were efficient, that's all there is to it. We gave it our all. Two games remain. We'll regroup and quickly move past this.”
🔗 Lyon dominated the match against Lens, registering 18 shots with only four on target. This dominance is further highlighted by another statistic: Paulo Fonseca's team touched the ball 75 times in the opponent's penalty area, the highest figure for any team in a Ligue 1 match since Opta began collecting such data in the 2006/07 season. Yet, even with such a performance, they ended up on the losing side.
Match Results: Olympique Lyon
Latest news
Monaco
❌ Midfielder Lamine Camara, who returns after suspension, has contributed 2 goals and 6 assists in 27 matches. Moatasem Al-Musrati, the defensive midfielder who scored the second goal for Monaco against Saint-Étienne (3-1), sustained an injury in stoppage time but is likely to be fit for the clash with Lyon. However, there is still no definite update on Mika Biereth, who suffered a hip injury and was substituted in the 14th minute. Midfielder Aleksandr Golovin, with 3 goals in 19 appearances, is confirmed to miss the match.
Olympique Lyon
❌ Team captain and forward Alexandre Lacazette returns after suspension. The injured backup striker Ernest Nuamah will not be available to assist the team. Otherwise, Paulo Fonseca has no squad issues.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Benoît Bastien, who averages 4.2 yellow cards per game this season (2.3 for the home side and 1.9 for the visitors).
The last head-to-head between Lyon and Monaco ended with a 2-2 draw in yellow cards and a 0-1 red card tally favoring the Monégasques. At home, Monaco average 3.9 yellow cards per game (1.7 for them and 2.2 for their opponents). On the road, Lyon see an average of 3.8 yellow cards (2.1 for the hosts and 1.7 for themselves). Considering these numbers and Lyon's trend of exceeding 3.5 total bookings in 8 of their last 9 matches, a bet on over 3.5 yellow cards appears reasonable.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Monaco have scored in the second half in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches. Meanwhile, Lyon have both scored and conceded in the second half in their last 4 Ligue 1 games. Given that both teams need a win in this upcoming match, expect an end-to-end battle in the second half regardless of the scoreline. Thus, we recommend betting on over 1.5 goals in the second half.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Considering the trend of over 7.5 corners in 8 of Monaco's last 9 Ligue 1 matches and over 8.5 corners in Lyon's last 7 away games across all competitions, combined with the intensity of the contest and likely end-to-end play, a bet on over 8.5 corners in the match is advisable.
Editor's Prediction
We are in for a thrilling clash between two offensively sharp teams. Lyon's defense has been shaky lately, conceding in their last nine matches across all competitions, with six of those games seeing them let in two or more goals. Meanwhile, Monaco have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games. Considering the current standings and these patterns, a reasonable bet would be on Monaco's individual total goals over (1.5).
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Betting Tips: Monaco - Olympique Lyon
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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