Legia vs Chelsea Prediction 10 April 2025
🔊 A captivating clash looms between Legia and Chelsea in the quarter-finals of the Conference League. This matchup features a clear favorite, yet the motivation is less straightforward. For the London side, this is a secondary competition, with victory granting only a spot in the Europa League. Their priority lies in securing a Champions League berth in the Premier League, where competition is fierce. On the other hand, Enzo Maresca would likely welcome a trophy in his first season at the helm. Meanwhile, Legia are unlikely to aim for ultimate glory in the Conference League given the list of contenders, but they will strive to challenge the favorites on home turf.
Head-to-Head
These teams have not faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Legia - Chelsea

Legia Team Overview
🟢 For Legia, the battle in the Polish championship is essentially over, with just seven rounds left and an eight-point gap from the fourth European competition spot. Therefore, their most crucial matches are the Polish Cup final in May (against Pogoń Szczecin) and the remaining games in the Conference League. In the Round of 16, they edged out Molde in a hard-fought contest (losing the first leg 3-2 and winning the return leg 2-0), even requiring extra time. This achievement marks their first quarter-final appearance in a European competition since the 1990/91 season. Back then, Legia were knocked out of the Cup Winners' Cup in the semi-finals by eventual champions Manchester United.
🔗 This current European campaign is the longest in the club's history in terms of matches played in a single season. The upcoming game, including qualifiers, will be the Polish club’s 15th match.
❌ The match will see the absence of 37-year-old central defender Artur Jędrzejczyk due to a red card received after his substitution in the return leg against Molde. Also missing due to suspension is 19-year-old central defender Jan Ciołkowski. Injuries sideline the team’s top scorer in the Conference League, Marc Gual (7 goals, 3 assists), and captain Bartosz Kapustka. However, left winger Luquinhas returns from suspension, having scored five goals in the Conference League.
Match Results: Legia

Chelsea Team Overview
🔵 The Londoners have made it clear throughout their Conference League campaign that this tournament isn't their top priority, as players with limited Premier League minutes take to the field. Yet, this hasn't stopped them from progressing confidently; even the efforts of their reserves might be enough to reach the final. For instance, team leader Cole Palmer has only played 169 minutes in the Conference League, 117 of which came in the Round of 16 against Copenhagen (2-1; 1-0). Chelsea haven't advanced beyond the quarter-finals in European competitions for three seasons, although those previous runs were in the Champions League.
🔗 Chelsea's top scorer in the Conference League, Christopher Nkunku (5 goals, 3 assists), has struggled to make an impact in the Premier League. The second top scorer, João Félix (4 goals), has been loaned to Milan, while the third, Mykhailo Mudryk (3 goals, 3 assists), has been long suspended due to doping.
❌ Besides Mudryk, defensive midfielder Romeo Lavia will miss the match due to injury. A group of players has recovered from illnesses and injuries and is back on the pitch. This includes Malo Gusto, Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke, and Nicolas Jackson.
Match Results: Chelsea
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Legia vs Chelsea
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of wins: 10 vs 9;
- win percentage: 71% vs 90%;
- number of losses: 3 vs 1;
- number of draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- number of draws: 2 vs 1.
- Legia won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 22 home games.
- Legia won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
- Legia won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 9 games.
- Legia won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 7 home games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Legia vs Chelsea
- average total in the tournament: 3.29 vs 4;
- average total goals scored: 2.5 vs 3.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 1.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.79 vs 1.6;
- Legia: average total at home in the tournament - 2.43;
- Chelsea: average total away in the tournament - 2.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.67).
- Legia have scored in their last 14 games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
- Legia have scored in 12 of last 13 home games.
- Legia have scored in 10 of last 11 games.
- Legia have scored in their last 7 home games (UEFA Europa Conference League).
- Chelsea have conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on corners
Legia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.57; at home field - 4.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.25.
Chelsea: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.8, away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 4.17.
Prediction on cards
Legia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.71; at home - 1.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.
Chelsea: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 1.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.33.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Legia vs Chelsea
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- number of BTS matches for Legia at home - 2 (29%);
- number of BTS matches for Chelsea away - 4 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Legia at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Chelsea away - 3 (50%).
Editorial Prediction
Both teams boast strong attacking skills and aim for high-scoring football, as evidenced by recent matches with plenty of goals. An open game is likely, with both sides having a high probability of scoring. A well-founded prediction would be to bet on over 2.5 goals, considering the teams' trends towards high-scoring encounters.