Nijmegen vs Utrecht Prediction 11 February 2026
🔊 Will NEC Nijmegen aim for the second spot in the Eredivisie after displacing Ajax from third place last round? In the 20th round, former Europa League participants Utrecht, who are languishing in the lower half of the league table, will visit the "De Goffert" stadium. Meanwhile, the hosts are in impressive form, riding a four-game winning streak, with their last defeat dating back to early December last year. Will their successful run continue? We'll assess their chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Utrecht):
- ball possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams NEC Nijmegen and Utrecht:
- played 12 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 6, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 9 against 14;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.83, in the 2nd half - 1.08;
- average total goals in the match - 1.92.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away team - Heracles Almelo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo):
- ball possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
NEC Nijmegen are in phenomenal form this season, particularly shining on home turf. The "Green-Reds" have secured eight wins and drawn twice in their last ten matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game. Their defense has been solid too, conceding just 1.4 goals on average over this stretch. Recently, the team climbed to third place in the Eredivisie, overtaking Ajax, and are just one point behind second-placed Feyenoord. This puts them in a strong position to seriously contend for direct qualification to the Champions League.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Utrecht, away - Feyenoord Rotterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Utrecht vs Feyenoord Rotterdam):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Utrecht are facing significant challenges: with just one win and seven losses in their last ten matches, the team's current form is under scrutiny. The Reds sit 13th in the Eredivisie, comfortably away from the relegation zone for now, but their position doesn't allow for complacency. They are focused on improving their results, especially since there are reasons for optimism: Utrecht are the only team in the bottom half of the table with a positive goal difference (30:28).
Match Results: Utrecht
Latest news
NEC Nijmegen
🎙 NEC Nijmegen investor Marcel Boekhoorn isn't holding back with his statements amidst the team's successful performances this season: "Next year, we'll be playing against Real Madrid at 'De Goffert'! We have a very strong chance of competing in European competitions next season. Ajax and Feyenoord aren't as formidable as they have been in previous years. We're playing brilliantly ourselves. So, we're just pushing forward and aiming for European competition."
❌ This season, it's not just the coaching staff at Nijmegen doing an excellent job; the medical team is also performing admirably. The only player in the team's injury list is reserve goalkeeper Frick Entius, who has yet to make an appearance for the first team.
Utrecht
🎙 Feyenoord have responded to the incidents at the "Galgenwaard" stadium and demanded explanations from Utrecht authorities following their recent Eredivisie head-to-head (0-1). After the final whistle, chaos erupted in the parking area: eyewitnesses reported that Utrecht fans attempted to approach Feyenoord's buses, prompting the police to use batons, pepper spray, and tear gas.
❌ Utrecht's disappointing results are largely due to a lengthy injury list. Currently sidelined are David Min, Victor Jensen, and Mike Eerdhuijzen. Additionally, Sébastien Haller has confirmed a rib injury. Moreover, after the heated clash with Feyenoord, Miguel Rodriguez faces a suspension following his red card.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 6, draws - 3.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 12 vs 6;
- win percentage: 57% vs 29%;
- losses: 4 vs 9;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 1;
- losses: 0 vs 7;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Utrecht won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games against NEC Nijmegen.
- Utrecht won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games (Eredivisie).
- Utrecht won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 18 games.
- Utrecht won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games (Eredivisie).
- Utrecht won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.75, the guests - 1.17;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.92;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht
- average total in the tournament: 4.33 vs 2.76;
- average total goals scored: 2.67 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.67 vs 0.9;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament - 2.9;
- Utrecht: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.6 (home - 2.25) vs 0.9 (away - 1.4).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored under 2.5 goals in 11 of last 12 games against Utrecht.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored under 2.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.24; at home field - 5.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 4.75.
Utrecht: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.24, away - 5.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 6.8.
- NEC Nijmegen have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Utrecht away - 8 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Utrecht away - 4 (80%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 9 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Eredivisie).
- Utrecht have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
- Utrecht have scored and conceded in last 7 away games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/196, 12.8%);
- NEC Nijmegen at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/10, 20%);
- Utrecht away most often play: 1:1 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.15% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.76% (odds 7.5)
2:0 - 7.24% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
NEC Nijmegen are delivering phenomenal performances, remaining unbeaten since early December last year, and now they can seriously aim for a direct spot in the Champions League. Meanwhile, Utrecht sit in 13th place in the Eredivisie, struggling with roster issues and securing just one win in their last 10 matches. It's hard to imagine the visitors, in such disarray, posing any real threat to the hosts, who are in peak form and free from injuries among their main squad. Our prediction: NEC Nijmegen win. We anticipate a modest scoreline of 2-1, considering that Utrecht, despite their low position in the standings, maintain a positive goal difference.
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Betting Tips: NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht
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