Mantova vs Palermo Prediction 11 January 2026
📢 How will the match between Mantova and Palermo end in the 19th round of Serie B? Mantova are positioned near the bottom of the table and aim to improve their home performance. Meanwhile, Palermo sit in fourth place, showcasing consistent play with a focus on attack. A tactical battle is anticipated, with the visitors expected to dominate possession.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Palermo):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 9;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Mantova and Palermo have officially faced off in just two matches.
Head-to-head statistics Mantova - Palermo
Mantova Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Carrarese Calcio, away team - Mantova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Mantova vs Carrarese Calcio):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 19 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Mantova are going through challenging times as they fight for survival, currently sitting in 19th place in the table. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one draw alongside four defeats, highlighting their poor form. Defensively, they are struggling, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game, while their attacking efforts yield modest returns with less than one goal per match.
Match Results: Mantova
Palermo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Palermo, away - Padova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Palermo vs Padova):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Palermo are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches without a single defeat. The team is on a roll and aims to solidify their position in Serie B's top four. The Eagles are showcasing impressive scoring prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while their defense stands strong, conceding less than one goal per game on average. This balance is a key factor in their success.
Match Results: Palermo
Latest news
Mantova
Mantova face the match with a few squad issues. Nicolo Radaelli is sidelined due to an accumulation of yellow cards, while Valerio Mantovani's participation remains uncertain. The defender is dealing with a calf issue, and a decision on his availability will be made closer to game time.
Palermo
Palermo face minimal squad issues. Michele Avella is doubtful, having missed recent training sessions due to illness, and his condition will be assessed right before the match.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
Statistics: Mantova vs Palermo
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 4 vs 9;
- win percentage: 22% vs 50%;
- losses: 11 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Palermo have not lost in last 6 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Mantova vs Palermo
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.28;
- average total goals scored: 0.83 vs 1.56;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.94;
- Mantova: average total at home in the tournament - 1.22;
- Palermo: average total away in the tournament - 1.38;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
- Mantova have scored under 1.5 goals in 14 of last 16 games (Serie B).
- Mantova have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 11.5 (6.5 - for home team and 5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8 (4 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Mantova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 6.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 7.8.
Palermo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.89, away - 4.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 5.6.
- Mantova have taken over 4.5 corners in last 7 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Mantova vs Palermo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Mantova at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Palermo away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Mantova at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Palermo away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (33/180, 18.3%);
- Mantova at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:3 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Palermo away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.92% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 11.4% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 8.74% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Palermo enter the match as favorites, which makes sense considering the disparity in the teams' standings and overall level of play. Mantova are also facing significant issues in attack, having failed to score more than one goal in 14 of their last 16 Serie B matches. Given this context, it will be challenging for the hosts to apply pressure and create enough chances. Therefore, betting on Mantova's total under 1.5 goals seems like the most reasonable prediction.
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Betting Tips: Mantova - Palermo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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