Groningen vs Breda Prediction 10 January 2026
📢 Groningen host NAC Breda in the upcoming Eredivisie round. Both clubs have their ambitions: the home side are fighting for a spot in the upper half of the table, while the visitors are desperately trying to escape the relegation zone. Groningen have shown decent form with two wins in their last five matches and display solid performances at home. How will their encounter end? Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - NAC Breda):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 9.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Groningen and NAC Breda:
- 32 matches played;
- home wins: 14, away wins: 7, draws: 11;
- goals scored: 61 for Groningen, 46 for NAC Breda;
- average first-half total: 1.03, second-half: 2.31;
- average total goals per match: 3.34.
Head-to-head statistics Groningen - Breda

Groningen Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Club Friendly Games, with Groningen playing at home against Bodø/Glimt. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-4.
Here are the game statistics (Groningen vs Bodø/Glimt):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Groningen sit fifth in the league standings, aiming to solidify their position among the championship frontrunners. The team boasts a consistent attacking front, averaging 1.3 goals per game, though their defense occasionally falters under pressure, conceding 1.6 goals in recent matches. In their current form, Groningen have secured two wins and one loss from their last five games, making them fairly confident at home. Their most recent head-to-head ended with a 2-1 victory for NAC Breda.
Match Results: Groningen

NAC Breda Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors was in the Eredivisie, with NAC Breda hosting Telstar. The game concluded with a score of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (NAC Breda vs Telstar):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
NAC Breda are enduring a tough spell, currently sitting at the bottom of the league table with a streak of four consecutive losses. Despite this, Breda have the potential to turn things around with their solid counter-attacking play and strong wing runs. Their Achilles' heel is their defense; the team frequently makes mistakes, leading to a high number of goals conceded, averaging 1.53 per match. The team's nickname, 'The Rats', reflects their tenacity and determination to fight until the end.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 7, draws - 11.
Statistics: Groningen vs NAC Breda
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 8 vs 3;
- win percentage: 47% vs 18%;
- losses: 6 vs 10;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- NAC Breda won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 19 games against Groningen.
- NAC Breda won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 games (Eredivisie).
- NAC Breda won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.91, the guests - 1.44;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.34;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Groningen vs NAC Breda
- average total in the tournament: 2.76 vs 2.47;
- average total goals scored: 1.47 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.65 vs 0.41;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.82 vs 0.53;
- Groningen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- NAC Breda: average total away in the tournament - 0.88;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Groningen have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games against NAC Breda.
- Groningen have conceded in 9 of last 10 games against NAC Breda.
Prediction on corners
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.35; at home field - 8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.9; at home field - 11.25.
NAC Breda: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47, away - 5.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; away - 7.75.
- Groningen have taken over 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs NAC Breda
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for NAC Breda away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for NAC Breda away - 2 (50%).
- Groningen have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against NAC Breda.
- Groningen have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
- Groningen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (17/152, 11.2%);
- Groningen at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 4:0 (1/8, 12.5%);
- NAC Breda away most often play: 1:0 , 2:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.88% (odds 7)
1:1 - 11.36% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 10.28% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The tactical showdown between Groningen and Breda is set to be tense but low-scoring. The home side will aim to capitalize on their favorite status and seek redemption after their previous defeat to this opponent. However, current team metrics suggest a lean towards the under. Recent match statistics for both clubs confirm a consistent trend towards a total under 2.5. It's likely that the cost of mistakes in this match will be too high, resulting in a scarcity of goals. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.