Aris vs AEK Athens Prediction 11 January 2026
🔊 The match between Aris and AEK promises to be a spectacle. Both teams have their strengths, but they are in completely different forms and are chasing different objectives in the standings. The attacking prowess of the visitors allows them to lead the league, and Marco Nikolic's side have no intention of slowing down. The intrigue of this match lies in whether the hosts' shaky defense can withstand the onslaught of the "Double-Headed Eagles."
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AEK Athens):
- ball possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Aris Thessaloniki and AEK Athens:
- played 55 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 29, draws - 16;
- number of goals - 49 against 89;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.95, in the 2nd half - 1.56;
- average total goals in the match - 2.51.
Head-to-head statistics Aris - AEK Athens
Aris Thessaloniki Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Aris Thessaloniki, away team - Panaitolikos). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Aris Thessaloniki vs Panaitolikos):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Aris are showing solid performances at home, having lost just one of their last 18 home matches. However, their current form is inconsistent, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five games highlighting this. Over the past ten matches, the "Gods of War" have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game while conceding slightly less, at 0.9 goals per match.
Match Results: Aris Thessaloniki
AEK Athens Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Super League tournament (home team - AEK Athens, away - OFI). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (AEK Athens vs OFI):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 20 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
AEK Athens are in outstanding form, with ten consecutive victories underscoring their dominance. They top the league thanks to their high level of play both at home and on the road. Their style is built on aggressive attacking play, averaging 2.4 goals per game over the last ten matches while conceding just 0.7. This allows the Athenians to dictate terms against nearly every opponent they face.
Match Results: AEK Athens
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 55;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 29, draws - 16.
Statistics: Aris Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 5 vs 12;
- win percentage: 33% vs 80%;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 10;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 0.
- Aris Thessaloniki won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 home games.
- Aris Thessaloniki won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 home games (Super League).
- Aris Thessaloniki won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games.
- Aris Thessaloniki won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (Super League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.89, the guests - 1.62;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.51;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 18.
Statistics: Aris Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- average total in the tournament: 1.93 vs 2.47;
- average total goals scored: 0.87 vs 1.73;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.47 vs 1.13;
- Aris Thessaloniki: average total at home in the tournament - 0.86;
- AEK Athens: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 2.4 (away - 2.4).
- AEK Athens have scored over 1.5 goals in last 7 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.4 (2.2 for home team and 2.2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.12 (1.93 for home team and 3.19 for away team).
Aris Thessaloniki: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 2.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 3.
AEK Athens: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.87, away - 2.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 2.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 55;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 18 times.
Statistics: Aris Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Aris Thessaloniki at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for AEK Athens away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Aris Thessaloniki at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for AEK Athens away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (14/104, 13.5%);
- Aris Thessaloniki at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- AEK Athens away most often play: 0:1 , 2:3 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 15.53% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 12.21% (odds 6.5)
0:2 - 10.76% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Taking into account the current form of both teams, we anticipate an exciting match with plenty of chances. Given AEK's phenomenal form, we lean towards the "Double-Headed Eagles." We suggest betting on over 1.5 goals for the visitors, as they have surpassed this mark in their last seven matches across all competitions.
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Betting Tips: Aris Thessaloniki - AEK Athens
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in last 5 home games.in last 10 games.in last 7 games (Super League).in last 6 away games.in 17 of last 18 home games.in 13 of last 14 home games (Super League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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