Queretaro vs Puebla Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 November 2026
🔊 Queretaro and Puebla meet in round 16 of the season with less-than-impressive records. The hosts are just 2 points outside the play-off places, while the visitors also remain in contention, though they are now 6 points adrift. Against this backdrop, every mistake could prove decisive, and the pressure to get a result is affecting their style of play. Both sides come into the match in poor form, adding to the tension and making them more cautious in their decisions on the pitch.
Every match is a close contest
Queretaro beat Puebla 2-1 away in a Liga MX match on 25 April 2026, despite trailing 1-0 at half-time. The visitors were well ahead in shots, 21-8, and expected goals, 2.57 to 0.47.
Across 45 official meetings, Puebla have a slight edge with 18 wins to Queretaro’s 14, while another 13 matches ended in draws. The goal difference is also small: 57-53 in Puebla’s favour.
Head-to-head statistics Queretaro - Puebla
Struggles in both departments
Queretaro lost 3-1 away to Juarez in their previous Liga MX match on 31 October 2026, despite leading 27-15 in shots and 2.51 to 1.38 in expected goals. They were 2-0 down at half-time.
Queretaro are going through a difficult spell, with one win and four defeats in their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have won four and lost five, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Despite this dip in form, their league position demands a disciplined performance from the hosts - the gap to the play-off places is minimal. At this stage, they are trying to minimise risks and pay more attention to defence so they do not lose their chance of reaching the decisive stage.
Match Results: Queretaro
Scoring kept to a minimum
Puebla's home match against UNAM Pumas on 31 October 2026 was their most recent in Liga MX and ended in a 2-1 defeat. Puebla had more shots - 17 to 13 - but trailed on expected goals: 1.20 to 2.57.
Puebla are also struggling for consistency: they have lost three and drawn two of their last five matches. Their ten-match run has been even less successful, with just one win, six defeats and three draws, while averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The visitors still have a chance of reaching the play-offs, but a six-point gap makes the task difficult. In this situation, Puebla must play cautiously to avoid another setback and keep even a theoretical chance alive.
Match Results: Puebla
Match Result Prediction
Puebla covered the (+1.5) handicap in 12 of their last 14 away head-to-head meetings. Queretaro have scored an average of 1.33 goals in home matches this season, while Puebla have conceded an average of 1.4 in their recent away matches. The head-to-head record is the main argument here, so we are backing Puebla - Handicap +1.5 at odds of 1.36*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches, the teams scored fewer than 3.5 goals. In their recent home matches, Queretaro have averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; in their recent away matches, Puebla have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Based on these figures, we pick Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.48*.
Corners Prediction
Queretaro have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in 14 of their last 16 head-to-head matches against Puebla. This run directly relates to the selected line and covers a fairly large number of matches. However, recent corner averages are unavailable, so we pick Queretaro Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 at odds of 1.71*, with the caveat that the prediction relies on head-to-head results.
Yellow Cards Prediction
In 6 of Puebla's last 7 matches, there were fewer than 3.5 yellow cards. Puebla received fewer than 1.5 yellow cards in 6 of their last 7 matches, while Queretaro received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in five consecutive matches. These runs support Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.91*.
Safer Bet
Queretaro have scored at home in 12 of their last 13 matches. In their recent home matches, they have averaged 1.25 goals, while Puebla have conceded an average of 1.4 in their recent away matches. We pick Queretaro Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.14*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1:0 (13.75%), 1:1 (11.03%) and 0:1 (9.38%). The 1:0 scoreline ranks first. The other two outcomes indicate either a draw or a one-goal win for Puebla.
*The odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams are struggling to score and go into the match with plenty at stake in the league table, which usually leads to more cautious football. Puebla have scored fewer than one goal per game in recent weeks, while Queretaro have also lacked efficiency in attack. Meetings between these sides often feature few goals. Given both teams' poor form and the pressure to get a result, the editors' pick is Total Goals - Under 3.
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Betting Tips: Queretaro - Puebla
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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