Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Statistical Bets 9 November 2026
🔊 Independiente Valle del Cauca and Union Magdalena meet in the fourth round of the Primera B semi-final group stage. The hosts are bottom of the table with one point, while the visitors are third with three. Both teams need a win to keep their chances of reaching the final alive. Union Magdalena have not lost for some time, while Independiente Valle del Cauca regularly drop points. The contrast between the visitors’ low scoring rate and the high number of corners in the hosts’ home matches adds interest.
Union are unbeaten in head-to-head meetings
06 November 2026 Union Magdalena and Independiente Valle del Cauca drew 1-1 in Primera B. The home side had 63% possession and made 83 dangerous attacks to the visitors’ 38, but both teams had two shots on target.
📊 Union Magdalena are unbeaten in their three official matches against Independiente Valle del Cauca, with one win and two draws. They lead 4-2 on goals scored.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente Valle del Cauca - Union Magdalena
Independiente: inconsistent results
Independiente Valle del Cauca drew 1-1 away to Union Magdalena in their most recent Primera B match. Despite having 37% possession to the hosts’ 63%, they matched them for shots on target at 2-2, with the final score settled before half-time.
Independiente Valle del Cauca are going through a difficult spell, with one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. Over their last ten matches, they have recorded three wins, three draws and four defeats. Their season averages are 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Over their last ten matches, those figures have worsened to 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their home matches regularly feature a high number of corners: at least nine have been recorded in 10 of their last 11 home games.
Match Results: Independiente Valle del Cauca
Unión Magdalena: unbeaten run
At home in their previous Primera B match, Union Magdalena drew 1-1 with Independiente Valle del Cauca. The hosts managed only two shots on target from 11 attempts; the visitors also had two shots on target, from ten attempts.
Union Magdalena go into the match on a long unbeaten run. In their last ten matches, they have recorded three wins and seven draws. Over that period, they have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Their season averages are similar: 1.36 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. Union Magdalena have both scored and conceded in 12 of their last 14 matches, including cup games, although each of their previous six matches produced no more than two goals.
Match Results: Union Magdalena
Prediction for the 1st half
Union Magdalena were level at half-time in 6 of their last 7 away matches. In 5 of their previous 6 away matches, they had both scored and conceded before the break. These figures point to the sides frequently being level after the opening 45 minutes, though not necessarily at 0-0. Given the visitors' statistics, there is reason to expect the trend to continue. Bet: 1st Half - Draw at 1.95*.
Total Goals Prediction
Union Magdalena's last six matches have all ended with no more than two goals. Over the season, the visitors have conceded an average of 0.95 goals per away match, while Independiente Valle del Cauca have scored 1.25 per home match. Admittedly, in their recent home matches, the hosts have scored twice on average while conceding 1.8 goals per match. This adds some risk, but the visitors' prolonged run points towards a low-scoring match. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.53*.
Corners Prediction
In 10 of Independiente Valle del Cauca's last 11 home matches, the teams combined to take at least nine corners. This long run stands out among the hosts' other statistics. The figures confirm that their home matches regularly feature a high number of corners. There are also grounds to expect the trend to continue in the upcoming match. We are backing Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.72*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams scored in 12 of Union Magdalena's last 14 matches, including cup fixtures. The visitors have scored in 15 consecutive matches but regularly concede in reply. Independiente Valle del Cauca have also been scoring freely at home, averaging two goals over their recent run. However, Union Magdalena have conceded just 0.75 goals per game in their recent away matches, which somewhat reduces confidence. Bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.91*.
High-Risk Bet
Both teams scored before the break in 5 of Union Magdalena's last 6 away matches. That record suggests an active start to this match, despite the overall tendency towards few goals. Independiente Valle del Cauca are also regularly involved in high-scoring home matches. However, such runs do not guarantee a high-scoring first half, so the risk remains significant. Our pick: First-Half Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 3.15*.
Safer Bet
Unión Magdalena have scored in 15 consecutive matches. In their recent away games, they have averaged 1.5 goals per match. Independiente Valle del Cauca have conceded even more at home, averaging 1.8 goals over their recent run. Given the visitors’ consistent scoring and the hosts’ defensive problems, the likelihood of at least one goal is fairly high. We’re backing Unión Magdalena Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at 1.38*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm identified the three most likely scorelines: 1-1 at 13.55%, 1-0 at 10.43% and 0-0 at 9.85%. Of these, 1-1 has the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Independiente Valle del Cauca are inconsistent and regularly make defensive mistakes, while Union Magdalena continue their long unbeaten run. The visitors rarely score many goals, and each of the team's last six matches has ended with no more than two goals. Despite frequently exchanging goals with their opponents, Union Magdalena have recently tended towards low-scoring matches. Given the sides' current form, a closely contested match without many goals looks the most likely outcome. Correct score prediction: 1-1. Main bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Independiente Valle del Cauca - Union Magdalena
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