Estrela vs Nacional Prediction 9 November 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Estrela and Nacional promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams have shown inconsistent results in recent matches, adding an element of intrigue. Estrela sit in 13th place in the standings, but their form leaves much to be desired, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, the visitors hold a higher position, sitting 9th, and boast a run of three victories in their last five games. Both teams favor defensive tactics, which could lead to a low-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 06 April 2025 and ended with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Nacional de Madeira):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Estrela and Nacional:
- 6 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 2, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 5 each;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.5, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 1.67.
Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Nacional

Estrela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Casa Pia hosting Estrela. The game ended with a scoreline of 3-5.
Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Casa Pia):
- possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 21 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Estrela, known for their resilience at home, are not in the best form. The club has secured only two victories in their last ten matches and is currently mid-table. Their attack averages around 1.2 goals per game, but a frail defense concedes nearly the same-1.3 goals per match. On home turf, the team struggles with results, having failed to win in 12 of their last 14 games, making them vulnerable ahead of the upcoming challenge against Nacional.
Match Results: Estrela

Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The visitors last took to the field on in a Primeira Liga fixture where Nacional de Madeira hosted Famalicão. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Famalicão):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 3 vs 10;
- fouls: 15 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Nacional de Madeira are in solid form. The club is known for their well-organized play and discipline on the field, maintaining an average of about 1 goal per match while their defense concedes roughly the same. However, their head-to-head record doesn't favor Nacional: Estrela have won three of the last four encounters, conceding almost nothing. It's time for Nacional to turn things around, especially since they have all the tools to do so.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Estrela vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- win percentage: 20% vs 30%;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Estrela have not won in 12 of last 14 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.83, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Estrela vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.4;
- Estrela: average total at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.3 (away - 1.33).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Estrela.
- Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 12.84 (7.67 - for home team and 5.17 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.34 (8.67 - for home team and 2.67 - for away team).
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.9; at home field - 4.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.8.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.7, away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.83.
- Estrela have taken over 4.5 corners in last 6 games against Nacional de Madeir.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6 (3 for home team and 3 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.33 (2.33 for home team and 3 for away team).
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.6; at home - 2.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.8.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.9, away - 3.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 3.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Estrela vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 2 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 3 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Taking into account the current form of the teams and statistical trends, we can anticipate a low-scoring affair in the upcoming match between Estrela and Nacional de Madeira. The total has been under 2.5 goals in their last five head-to-head meetings consecutively, and this trend persists due to both clubs' emphasis on defensive play, minimizing risks to avoid unnecessary turnovers or counterattacks from opponents. Considering all factors, a well-founded prediction is: total under 2.5 goals. We also allow for the possibility that Nacional might edge the match with a 1-0 victory.