Estrela vs Nacional Prediction 9 November 2025

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Estrela and Nacional promises to be an exciting encounter. Both teams have shown inconsistent results in recent matches, adding an element of intrigue. Estrela sit in 13th place in the standings, but their form leaves much to be desired, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, the visitors hold a higher position, sitting 9th, and boast a run of three victories in their last five games. Both teams favor defensive tactics, which could lead to a low-scoring affair.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 06 April 2025 and ended with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Nacional de Madeira):

    • possession: 61% vs 39%;
    • corners: 7 vs 5;
    • fouls: 15 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Estrela and Nacional:

    • 6 matches played;
    • home wins - 3, away wins - 2, draws - 1;
    • goals scored - 5 each;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.5, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
    • average total goals per match - 1.67.

    Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Nacional

    38%
    3 Wins
    25%
    2 Draws
    38%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    1.75
    Both teams scored
    25%
    0.75
    Total average
    1
    6.75
    Corner
    5.25
    3
    Yellow cards
    3
    Last matches
    23.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    04.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.18
    0.58
    5
    6
    14
    8
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.18
    0.58
    5
    6
    14
    8
    4
    3
    09.11.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.16
    1.65
    2
    6
    12
    15
    3
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.16
    1.65
    2
    6
    12
    15
    3
    4
    06.04.25
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.57
    0.98
    7
    5
    15
    14
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.57
    0.98
    7
    5
    15
    14
    1
    2
    10.11.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.92
    0.52
    10
    4
    11
    11
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.92
    0.52
    10
    4
    11
    11
    1
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Estrela Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Casa Pia hosting Estrela. The game ended with a scoreline of 3-5.

    Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Casa Pia):

    • possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
    • fouls: 21 vs 20;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    Estrela, known for their resilience at home, are not in the best form. The club has secured only two victories in their last ten matches and is currently mid-table. Their attack averages around 1.2 goals per game, but a frail defense concedes nearly the same-1.3 goals per match. On home turf, the team struggles with results, having failed to win in 12 of their last 14 games, making them vulnerable ahead of the upcoming challenge against Nacional.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Nacional de Madeir Team Overview

    The visitors last took to the field on in a Primeira Liga fixture where Nacional de Madeira hosted Famalicão. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Famalicão):

    • possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 3 vs 10;
    • fouls: 15 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Nacional de Madeira are in solid form. The club is known for their well-organized play and discipline on the field, maintaining an average of about 1 goal per match while their defense concedes roughly the same. However, their head-to-head record doesn't favor Nacional: Estrela have won three of the last four encounters, conceding almost nothing. It's time for Nacional to turn things around, especially since they have all the tools to do so.

    Match Results: Nacional de Madeir

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    W
    10.08.26
    liga portugal
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.5
    1.25
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1.5
    1.25
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    23.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Nacional de Madeir

    • matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • wins: 2 vs 3;
    • win percentage: 20% vs 30%;
    • losses: 4 vs 5;
    • draws: 4 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 5 vs 4;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Estrela have not won in 12 of last 14 home games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Nacional de Madeir will not lose(odds: 1.47)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.83, the guests - 0.83;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Nacional de Madeir

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.4;
    • average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.7 vs 0.6;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.4;
    • Estrela: average total at home in the tournament -  1.2;
    • Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.3 (away - 1.33).
    Trends
    • Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Estrela.
    • Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Nacional de Madeir Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 12.84 (7.67 - for home team and 5.17 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.34 (8.67 - for home team and 2.67 - for away team).

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.9; at home field - 4.8;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.8.

    Nacional de Madeir: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.7, away - 4.4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.83.
    Trends
    • Estrela have taken over 4.5 corners in last 6 games against Nacional de Madeir.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Estrela Total Over (4,5)(odds: 1.78)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6 (3 for home team and 3 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.33 (2.33 for home team and 3 for away team).

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.6; at home - 2.8;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home - 2.8.

    Nacional de Madeir: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.9, away - 3.4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 3.33.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (5,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Estrela vs Nacional de Madeir

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
    • number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 2 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 2 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 3 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.88)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Taking into account the current form of the teams and statistical trends, we can anticipate a low-scoring affair in the upcoming match between Estrela and Nacional de Madeira. The total has been under 2.5 goals in their last five head-to-head meetings consecutively, and this trend persists due to both clubs' emphasis on defensive play, minimizing risks to avoid unnecessary turnovers or counterattacks from opponents. Considering all factors, a well-founded prediction is: total under 2.5 goals. We also allow for the possibility that Nacional might edge the match with a 1-0 victory.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 07/11/2025, 07:58

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Estrela - Nacional de Madeir

    Estrela have not won:
    cf-estrelain 12 of last 14 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Nacional de Madeir will not lose
    Everygame
    -169
    Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals:
    cf-estrelacd-nacionalin last 5 games against Estrela.
    cd-nacionalin 10 of last 11 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Nacional de Madeir Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    cf-estrelacd-nacionalin last 5 Estrela games against Nacional de Madeir.
    cd-nacionalin 8 of last 9 Nacional de Madeir away games (Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -167
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    cf-estrelain last 5 Estrela games.
    in 6 of last 7 Fabio Varissimo games (in the Primeira Liga).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Estrela - Nacional Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    12.
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    348121435-5736
    13.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    34991632-4136
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730
    17.
    Tondela
    Tondela
    346101827-5528

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    4 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    +3
    12 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    5
    4
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    12
    15
    Conceded
    9
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    2
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats