Saint Etienne vs Rodez Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
Saint-Étienne top Ligue 2, though they have stalled in recent rounds. Rodez have lost three matches in a row and concede more than any other side in the division. At home, Saint-Étienne have taken nine points from nine so far. A win would guarantee the leaders first place after this round as well.
Head-to-Head
The last meeting between the two sides ended in a goalless draw. Saint-Étienne had 62% possession and won eight corners to three, but both teams were level on shots on target at 2-2.
Across nine official meetings, Rodez have won four and Saint-Étienne three, with two draws. All three of Saint-Étienne's wins came in home matches.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Etienne - Rodez
Saint Etienne Team Overview
In their previous Ligue 2 fixture, Saint-Étienne drew 2-2 away at Metz. Despite having less possession, the visitors had more shots on target - six to three - and generated more xG: 1.75 to 0.78.
Ian Cathro's Saint-Étienne lead the table with 16 points, two clear of Red Star. Their strength is in attack: 19 goals in seven rounds, the best return in Ligue 2. They won their first five matches of the season, then lost 1-2 away at Dunkerque before taking only a point from Metz. The Greens have scored in every match this season. Their top scorers are Irven Cardona, Thierno Ballo and Augustin Boakye, each with four goals.
Match Results: Saint Etienne
Rodez Team Overview
In their last match, Rodez lost at home to Nancy (3-4), and deservedly so. Over the 90 minutes, Nancy had 24 shots to Rodez's ten and created 3.60 xG against 1.25.
Rodez are 14th with seven points, just two points above bottom-placed Boulogne and Laval. Their slump has coincided with the departure of their top scorer: Ibrahima Baldé had managed five goals in four matches before being sent out on loan to Lorient at the start of September. Without him, Didier Santini's side have failed to pick up a single point. Rodez now have the worst defence in Ligue 2, having conceded 16 goals. The most recent example was a 4-3 home defeat to Nancy, despite Rodez themselves scoring three times. After that game, Santini admitted he was a little embarrassed.
Match Results: Rodez
Total Goals Prediction
At least three goals have been scored in 9 of Saint-Étienne's last 10 matches. The hosts are averaging 3.33 goals per home game this season, while Rodez are conceding 2.29 per match. We're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5.
Reliable Bet
Saint-Étienne have scored in the first half in six consecutive Ligue 2 matches. This run is backed up by the team's high scoring rate at home - an average of 3.33 goals per game. The bet on Saint-Étienne to Score in the First Half therefore looks reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct scores in this match are 2-1 (9.94%), 3-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.55%). All three reflect Saint-Étienne's advantage and suggest a reasonably high-scoring game.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Saint-Étienne are favourites, but big wins over Rodez don't come easily to them. In nine previous head-to-head meetings, the Greens have scored more than two goals against Rodez only once. In Ligue 2 specifically, Rodez have lost to them by more than one goal just once in seven meetings. The leaders have also hit a rough patch, picking up just one point from their last two rounds. And even during their current losing run, Rodez have scored in two of their three matches. We expect the leaders to win, but by no more than one goal. The bet is Rodez with Handicap +1.5. Predicted score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Saint Etienne - Rodez
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