Al-Ahli vs Al Nassr Prediction & H2H Stats 20 November 2026
📢 The standout fixture of matchday nine in the Saudi Pro League is the meeting between Al-Ahli and Al-Nassr. Both clubs are among the contenders for the top positions and have shown impressive scoring numbers at the start of the season. The hosts sit sixth and are averaging 2.5 goals per game, while the visitors are third with an average of 2.38. Al-Nassr are pushing for the top of the table, and Al-Ahli are looking to close the gap on the top three, so this head-to-head carries particular significance for both clubs.
Head-to-Head
Al-Nassr beat Al-Ahli 2-0 at home in a Pro League match on 29 April 2026. After a goalless first half, the hosts scored twice; both teams created an equal number of dangerous attacks - 32 apiece.
Across 33 official meetings, the head-to-head record is almost level: Al-Nassr have won 13, Al-Ahli 12, with eight draws. Both teams scored in 24 of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Al-Ahli - Al Nassr
Al-Ahli are unbeaten in their last 23 home matches and boast a formidable attacking line-up.
In their most recent AFC Champions League match on 12 October 2026, Al-Ahli won away at Al-Wasl 3-1. Despite having just 37% possession against 63%, the visitors managed twice as many shots on target - 4 to 2.
Al-Ahli sit sixth in the table with 15 points, gradually picking up momentum after an inconsistent start to the season. They have won three of their last five matches, showing an ability to bounce back from the occasional setback. Across their last ten matches, Al-Ahli have won five, drawn one and lost four, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their biggest strength, however, remains their home form - they have gone 23 consecutive matches without defeat on their own ground. That run speaks to the confidence they carry in front of their own supporters, even if defensive problems have surfaced from time to time.
Match Results: Al Ahli Jeddah
Al-Nassr: seven wins in their last ten matches and impressive scoring form on the road
Al-Nassr's home AFC Champions League match on 12 October 2026 ended in a 3-1 win over Neftchi. They had 65% possession and attempted 16 shots to their opponents' nine, though the margin in shots on target was minimal at 3-2.
Al-Nassr sit third in the table with 19 points and remain in contention at the top of the league. They go into this match in good form, with seven wins, one draw and two defeats from their last ten games. Their attack has been particularly effective, averaging 2.3 goals per game, though the defence has not always been reliable and concedes 1.3 per match. Away from home, Al-Nassr have regularly been involved in high-scoring affairs - both teams scored in six of their previous seven away matches.
Match Results: Al Nasr Riyadh
Match Result Prediction
Al-Ahli have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Al-Nassr, which supports the trend. Al-Ahli have also lost at home in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head meetings between these two sides. These figures point to Al-Nassr's advantage in head-to-head encounters, particularly away from home. The optimal selection appears to be the Double Chance in favour of Al-Nassr at odds of 1.33*.
Total Goals Prediction
In Al-Ahli's last 9 consecutive home matches, the total has gone over 2.5 goals, which supports the trend. Al-Ahli average 4 goals scored per home game this season and 2.5 over their last 10 home matches, while conceding just 0.33, pointing to high scoring output on their part. Al-Nasr average 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away from home, which also contributes to a higher overall total. We're backing Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.58*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (9.68%), 1-2 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.62%). Our correct score pick is 1-2.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Al-Nassr are considered slight favourites, but Al-Ahli are not far behind in terms of squad quality and will be looking to win with the backing of their home supporters. Both teams have powerful attacks and regularly create chances, which is reflected in their high average scoring rates. On top of that, Al-Ahli's home matches frequently go over 2.5 goals, and Al-Nassr's attacking threat only increases the likelihood of that trend continuing. Our pick is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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