Stjarnan vs Keflavik Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊A few days before the round, a fight broke out at Keflavík's training session: Alfa Conte hit Muhamed Alghul and broke his nose. In their very next match after that, the club thrashed KA (3:0), scoring three times in nine minutes. Now Keflavík travel to Garðabær.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 17 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Keflavik):
- ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 7.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Stjarnan Gardabae and Keflavik:
- played 31 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 8, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 60 against 39;
- average total goals in the match - 3.19.
Head-to-head statistics Stjarnan - Keflavik

Stjarnan Gardabae Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Urvalsdeild tournament (home team - Valur Reykjavik, away team - Stjarnan Gardabae). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (Stjarnan Gardabae vs Valur Reykjavik):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Stjarnan are eighth with 18 points, and their main problem is home form: in front of their own fans, the team have won only 1 of their last 7 league matches. The reason lies in defence: it has been breached in ten matches in a row. What's more, the backline has been falling apart early - the hosts have conceded before half-time in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Last round, though, things went differently. In Reykjavik, Stjarnan were losing to Valur, but fought back and snatched a victory in the final minutes (3:2) - their first away win in a long time.
Match Results: Stjarnan Gardabae

Keflavik Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Urvalsdeild tournament (home team - Keflavik, away - Akureyri). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Keflavik vs Akureyri):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Keflavík are fifth with 22 points, although they were seventh before the round: the thrashing of KA moved them up two places at once. Captain Sindri Snær Magnússon, Dagur Ingi Valsson and Stefan Alexander Ljubičič were on the scoresheet. Guðmundsson's side have been scoring consistently: in 14 consecutive league matches, and in eight straight away from home.
The injury and suspension situation is serious, though. Eiður Orri Ragnarsson, on loan from Víkingur, is suspended after his red card against KA. Marín Brigić misses the match after accumulating bookings. And brothers Muhamed and Khalid Algoul were not included in the squad for the last match at all - which didn't stop the team.
Match Results: Keflavik
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.94, the guests - 1.26;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.19;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Stjarnan Gardabae vs Keflavik
- average total in the tournament: 4.41 vs 3.59;
- average total goals scored: 1.88 vs 1.65;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 0.94;
- Stjarnan Gardabae: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Keflavik: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.33) vs 1.8 (away - 1).
- Stjarnan Gardabae have scored under 2.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Keflavik (Urvalsdeild).
Prediction on corners
Stjarnan Gardabae: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.24; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.4; at home field - 9.67.
Keflavik: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.41, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 3.25.
- Over 10.5 corners in last 5 Keflavik games (Urvalsdeild).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Stjarnan Gardabae vs Keflavik
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Stjarnan Gardabae at home - 7 (88%);
- number of BTTS matches for Keflavik away - 8 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Stjarnan Gardabae at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Keflavik away - 4 (100%).
- Stjarnan Gardabae have scored and conceded in 12 of last 14 games.
- Stjarnan Gardabae have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (Urvalsdeild).
- Stjarnan Gardabae have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Urvalsdeild).
- Keflavik have scored and conceded in last 11 away games.
- Keflavik have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Urvalsdeild).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (9/102, 8.8%), 1:2 (9/102, 8.8%);
- Stjarnan Gardabae at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:3 , 2:4 , 3:1 , 3:2 , 4:4 (1/8, 12.5%);
- Keflavik away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:1 , 3:1 , 3:2 , 5:1 , 6:1 (1/8, 12.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 7.82% (odds 9.5)
1:1 - 7.44% (odds 9.5)
2:2 - 7.38% (odds 9.5)
Editor's Pick
Stjarnan have conceded in 27 of their last 28 matches, and Keflavik have scored in 29 of their last 30. There is no chance of a clean sheet for the hosts here, and in 8 of their last 9 rounds their matches have produced four goals or more.
Head-to-head meetings in Gardabaer back this up: more than two goals were scored in five consecutive matches, while five or more were scored just once in the last nine. The range is narrow, but the bet stands out - total over 3.5 goals. Predicted score: 2:2.
