CA Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 August 2025

    🔥 In the upcoming Uruguayan championship clash, Progreso face Cerro Largo. The hosts are on the hunt for consistency, having shown mixed results in recent outings. Meanwhile, the visitors aim to solidify their mid-table position, yet they too have struggled to deliver convincing performances. Both teams will be vying for victory to secure crucial points in pursuit of their respective goals. This match promises to be a tense affair. Who will fortune favor? Read our prediction!

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place in February, with Cerro Largo claiming a 4-1 victory. Here's a comparison of the stats from that encounter (Cerro Largo were the home side):

    • possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corners: 5 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 11 vs 3.

    📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Progreso and Cerro Largo:

    • A total of 19 matches played;
    • Home wins - 2, Away wins - 11, Draws - 6;
    • Goals scored (Home/Away) - 12 to 22;
    • Average total goals per match - 1.79.

    Head-to-head statistics CA Progreso - Cerro Largo

    10%
    2 Wins
    29%
    6 Draws
    62%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Avg. total goals
    1.81
    Both teams scored
    43%
    0.62
    Average total
    1.19
    1.62
    Yellow cards
    1.29
    Last matches
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    09.08.25
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    4
    3
    07.02.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    0
    0
    5
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    30.11.24
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    04.06.24
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    CA Progreso Team Overview

    The team's last official match was in the Primera against Peñarol, where they suffered a 1-2 defeat.

    Here are the match statistics (Progreso vs Peñarol):

    • possession percentage: 32% vs 68%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 7.

    Progreso are fighting to retain their spot in the league, currently sitting at 11th place in the standings. Recently, the team has faced challenges, losing four out of their last five matches and struggling with a low scoring rate of just 0.96 goals per game. While they prefer a defensive style of play, their goals conceded remain high at 1.7 per game. 

    Match Results: CA Progreso

    Last matches
    01.11.26
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    10
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    10
    3
    4
    L
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    10
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    13
    10
    3
    2
    W
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    W
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol
    Penarol
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    D
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Cerro Largo FC Team Overview

    The visitors played their most recent official match in the Uruguay Cup against Rincon, which ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Cerro Largo vs Rincon):

    • possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • corners: 6 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Cerro Largo sit in eighth place on the table and have a decent chance to climb higher with successful results in the remaining games of the season. Over their last ten matches, they have secured two wins and drawn four times, averaging 0.8 goals per game while maintaining a relatively solid defense with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. While their attack may not be prolific, their defense helps offset the lack of scoring.

    Match Results: Cerro Largo FC

    Last matches
    31.10.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    20
    11
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    20
    11
    4
    3
    L
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    2
    2
    12
    7
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    12
    7
    1
    3
    W
    21.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    14
    12
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    14
    12
    3
    3
    L
    16.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    5
    2
    D
    11.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo FC
    Cerro Largo FC
    Albion Fc
    Albion Fc
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • Home team wins - 2, away team wins - 11, draws - 6.
    Trends
    • Cerro Largo have failed to win in 15 of their last 17 away matches (Primera).
    • Cerro Largo have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 matches.
    • Cerro Largo have failed to win in 8 of their last 9 matches (Primera).
    👉 Prediction: CA Progreso will not lose (odds: 1.36)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • The home team today averages - 0.63 goals, the away team - 1.16;
    • Average total goals in head-to-heads - 1.79;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 8 times; at the home team's ground - 3 times.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Cerro Largo

    • Average tournament total: 2.65 vs 2.23;
    • Average goals scored: 0.96 vs 1.05;
    • Average first-half total: 0.26 vs 0.32;
    • Average second-half total: 0.7 vs 0.73;
    • Progreso: average home tournament total - 1;
    • Cerro Largo: average away tournament total - 0.82;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Progreso's last 5 matches (Primera).
    • Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Cerro Largo's last 6 of 7 away matches.
    👉 Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.38)

    Corners Prediction

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.74; at home - 6.27;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 5.5.

    Cerro Largo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 4.77, away - 4.64;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; away - 4.2.
    👉 Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10,5)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-heads - 2.84 (1.42 for the home team and 1.42 for the guests);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.88 (2.25 for the home team and 1.63 for the guests).

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.74; at home - 2.91;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.5.

    Cerro Largo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.64, away - 2.27;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.
    👉 Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • Both teams scored overall - 8 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 3 times.
    👉 Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.72)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are struggling to find the back of the net: Progreso scores less than 1 goal per match, while Cerro Largo also faces challenges in their attacking efficiency. Considering the recent trends for the hosts (with under 2.5 goals occurring in many of their home games), a low-scoring encounter seems the most likely outcome. 

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Odds-213
    Published: 07/08/2025, 09:59

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    Betting Tips: CA Progreso - Cerro Largo FC

    Cerro Largo FC have not won:
    cerro-largo-fcin 15 of last 17 away games (Primera Division).
    cerro-largo-fcin 9 of last 10 games.
    cerro-largo-fcin 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    CA Progreso will not lose
    Everygame
    -270
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    ca-progresoin 6 of last 7 CA Progreso home games (Primera Division).
    in 9 of last 10 Gustavo Tejera games.
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -182
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    ca-progresoin last 5 CA Progreso games (Primera Division).
    cerro-largo-fcin 6 of last 7 Cerro Largo FC away games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    CA Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals:
    ca-progresoin 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin 6 of last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    CA Progreso Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 12
    0
    -6
    6 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    2
    4
    Losses
    6
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    6
    12
    Conceded
    12
    2.4
    Average total per match
    1.8
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats