CA Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2026
🔊 The clash between Progreso and Cerro Largo promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Progreso have struggled to find their rhythm in recent matches, whereas Cerro Largo have shown more consistent performances. Both sides occupy the lower end of the standings, which adds extra motivation to improve their league position. Let's delve into the matchup and make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 August 2025 and ended with a score of 1:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Progreso):
- ball possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Progreso and Cerro Largo:
- played 20 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 12, draws - 6;
- number of goals (home/away) - 13 against 24;
- average total goals in the match - 1.85.
Head-to-head statistics CA Progreso - Cerro Largo
CA Progreso Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Defensor Sporting, away team - Progreso). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Defensor Sporting):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Progreso are having a tough season. In their last five matches, they've only managed one win, alongside four losses and a draw. Despite this, they favor an attacking style of play at home, with fans usually witnessing more than one and a half goals per game. This indicates the club's aggressive approach in offense. However, their defense is lacking, conceding an average of 1.54 goals per game, which is far from ideal.
In the recent round, one of the season's underdogs suffered a heartbreaking away defeat to Defensor Sporting (0-1), conceding in the eighth (!) minute of stoppage time. The match was evenly contested (Progreso matched their opponents in both shots on goal and quality of scoring chances). It's crucial now not to lose morale after such a setback; otherwise, climbing out of the bottom of the table will be extremely challenging.
Match Results: CA Progreso
Cerro Largo FC Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Cerro Largo, away - Racing Montevideo). The match ended with a score of 0:1.
Here are the game statistics (Cerro Largo vs Racing Montevideo):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Cerro Largo are gradually finding their form after a challenging run of setbacks. In their last five matches, the club have managed one win and two draws, indicating some positive changes. Despite struggles in attack, their defense has noticeably strengthened, conceding an average of just 1.25 goals per game-an important factor in their favor compared to their opponent.
Their most recent encounter ended with a 2-1 victory for Cerro Largo, boosting the confidence of both fans and the team itself. If the team continues to improve their performance, they have every chance of returning to a path of consistent success. It's worth noting that in the previous round, the club, like their current opponent, had an unsuccessful outing, losing 0-1 to Racing Montevideo.
Match Results: Cerro Largo FC
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 20;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 12, draws - 6.
Statistics: Progreso vs Cerro Largo
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- win percentage: 15% vs 25%;
- losses: 7 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Progreso have not won in 15 of last 17 games (Primera Division).
- Progreso have not won in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.65, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.85;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Progreso vs Cerro Largo
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.08;
- average total goals scored: 0.85 vs 0.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.46 vs 0.42;
- Progreso: average total at home in the tournament - 1.17;
- Cerro Largo: average total away in the tournament - 0.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Cerro Largo have conceded in 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Progreso: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.92; at home field - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 4.8.
Cerro Largo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83, away - 4.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 4.
- Cerro Largo have taken under 4.5 corners in last 6 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 20;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Progreso vs Cerro Largo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro Largo away - 2 (29%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Cerro Largo away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (16/97, 16.5%);
- Progreso at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:3 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:3 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Cerro Largo away most often play: 1:0 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.29% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.79% (odds 7)
0:1 - 9.61% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on current data, betting on both teams to score seems the most reasonable. Progreso showcase an attacking style at home, often finding the net at least once. Despite both teams having issues with consistency, their encounters frequently result in more than one goal. Cerro Largo also demonstrate offensive capabilities and have shown they can find a way past the opposition's defense. We expect the match to be rich in scoring opportunities, with both sides likely to hit the target. Our bet is on both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: CA Progreso - Cerro Largo FC
in 15 of last 17 games (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
in 7 of last 8 CA Progreso games (Primera Division).in 17 of last 19 Cerro Largo FC away games.in 14 of last 16 Cerro Largo FC away games (Primera Division).in 10 of last 11 CA Progreso home games (Primera Division).in 16 of last 17 games (Primera Division).in 14 of last 15 games.in last 8 home games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
