Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 In this international friendly, Ethiopia are set to face Malawi. Both teams find themselves in the lower reaches of the FIFA rankings, with the hosts sitting 144th and the visitors at 120th. Neither side is particularly renowned for their attacking prowess, and creativity in the final third often proves elusive. As a result, this contest is likely to be shaped by other factors: determination, physicality, and the energy from the stands. In these conditions, Ethiopia have a fair chance to push for a win on home soil.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These sides met just a few days ago, with Ethiopia securing a 1-0 home victory. Prior to that, the teams clashed twice in Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers: Malawi came out on top in the first encounter (2-1), while the second ended in a goalless draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    50%
    2 Draws
    50%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.75
    Total average
    1.25
    0
    Yellow cards
    0
    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    20.06.23
    CON
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    2
    4
    16
    15
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    16
    15
    1
    2
    05.06.22
    CON
    Malawi
    Malawi
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    19.11.14
    Other
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    0
    0
    10.09.14
    Other
    Malawi
    Malawi
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ethiopia Team Overview

    In this matchup, Ethiopia can't be considered clear favorites. However, they've posted some respectable results lately: while their recent opponents haven't been the toughest, winning four out of their last five matches is an impressive run that has boosted the squad's confidence. Additionally, the home crowd factor should not be underestimated-supporters often provide crucial motivation, especially in friendlies where there may be little at stake. Historically, Ethiopia have been solid at the back on home soil. Over their last five fixtures, they've conceded just 0.6 goals per game on average-a statistic that could once again prove vital here.

    Match Results: Ethiopia

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    W
    31.03.26
    CON
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Sao Tome and Principe
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    0
    W
    27.03.26
    CON
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    12.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Burkina Faso
    Burkina Faso
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    2.56
    0.81
    3
    1
    5
    4
    1
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.56
    0.81
    3
    1
    5
    4
    1
    3
    L
    08.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Guinea-Bissau
    Guinea-Bissau
    0.90
    1.05
    3
    4
    8
    9
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.90
    1.05
    3
    4
    8
    9
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Malawi Team Overview

    Malawi have suffered three straight defeats, continuing a disappointing run this year: twice losing 1-0 and once falling short in a penalty shootout. The team are clearly struggling in attack, having managed just a single goal in their last five matches-an average of 0.2 per game. It’s reasonable to expect that Malawi will again face major difficulties in creating chances here. Recent performances have followed a similar pattern, and there’s little reason to believe anything will change dramatically. The squad simply lacks players with the individual quality to make a difference at this level. Their approach remains basic: long balls, wing play, and set pieces. Away from home, that kind of football rarely brings results.

    Match Results: Malawi

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    L
    31.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Botswana
    Botswana
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    28.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Zambia U23
    Zambia U23
    Malawi
    Malawi
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    9
    8
    L
    18.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    W
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    This clash promises to be a gritty, hard-fought affair with little in the way of attacking flair. Expect plenty of physical battles, solid defensive work, and immense commitment from both sides-many players are coming off grueling seasons, but those on the pitch will be ready to run themselves into the ground and fight for every loose ball. Ethiopia’s biggest advantage could once again be the passionate backing from the stands, which may prove decisive here. Malawi, meanwhile, have shown little creativity in attack lately, and a sudden turnaround on the road seems unlikely. That’s why our editorial team recommends backing Ethiopia (0) on the handicap.
    Our choice
    Ethiopia Handicap (0) at odds of -132*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (8 June 2026, 05:52)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Ethiopia - Malawi

    Malawi have lost
    malawiin 6 of last 7 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Ethiopia Win
    Everygame
    +130
    Malawi have not won
    malawiin 15 of last 16 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    malawiin last 11 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Ethiopia will not lose
    Everygame
    -263
    Malawi have scored under 1.5 goals
    malawiin last 17 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    malawiin last 12 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Malawi Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Malawi have not scored
    malawiin 10 of last 12 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    malawiin last 8 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Malawi will not score goal
    Everygame
    +175
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 13
    +1
    -6
    5 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    0
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    5
    13
    Conceded
    11
    2.7
    Match goals average
    1.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.5
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    3
    Both teams scored
    2
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    180'
    View all stats