Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Who will come out on top? Ethiopia and Malawi, both ranked outside the world’s top 100, are set to face off. As both sides continue their preparations for upcoming competitive fixtures, this friendly encounter takes on added significance. Here’s our prediction for the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 20 June 2023 and ended in a goalless draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture, with Ethiopia playing at home:

    • Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • Corners: 2 vs 4;
    • Shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    📊 Malawi have held the upper hand in head-to-head meetings in recent years.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    50%
    2 Draws
    50%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.75
    Total average
    1.25
    0
    Yellow cards
    0
    Last matches
    20.06.23
    CON
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    2
    4
    16
    15
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    16
    15
    1
    2
    05.06.22
    CON
    Malawi
    Malawi
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    19.11.14
    Other
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Malawi
    Malawi
    0
    0
    10.09.14
    Other
    Malawi
    Malawi
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    3
    2
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    Ethiopia Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, with Ethiopia hosting São Tomé and Príncipe. The hosts claimed a 1-0 victory.

    Here’s a look at the key match statistics (Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe):

    • Possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • Corners: 4 vs 2;
    • Yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 1.

    The team finished fifth in their World Cup qualifying group, with slim chances from the outset. Egypt promptly secured top spot. Ethiopia, meanwhile, haven’t wasted any time and have already played two official matches in the qualifiers for the next major tournament-the Africa Cup of Nations. In the preliminary round, they comfortably dispatched São Tomé and Príncipe. Next up is the group stage of qualifying, which kicks off only in September. This international window, therefore, offers a great opportunity for Ethiopia to test themselves.

    Match Results: Ethiopia

    Last matches
    31.03.26
    CON
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Sao Tome and Principe
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    1
    0
    W
    27.03.26
    CON
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    12.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Burkina Faso
    Burkina Faso
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    2.56
    0.81
    3
    1
    5
    4
    1
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.56
    0.81
    3
    1
    5
    4
    1
    3
    L
    08.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    Guinea-Bissau
    Guinea-Bissau
    0.90
    1.05
    3
    4
    8
    9
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.90
    1.05
    3
    4
    8
    9
    2
    1
    W
    09.09.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Sierra Leone
    Sierra Leone
    Ethiopia
    Ethiopia
    0.95
    0.45
    4
    2
    2
    8
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.95
    0.45
    4
    2
    2
    8
    0
    0
    L
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    Malawi Team Overview

    The visitors played their most recent match against Botswana, falling to a 0-1 defeat.

    The match stats (Malawi vs Botswana) were as follows:

    • Possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • Corners: 6 vs 4;
    • Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • Shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    Malawi finished fourth in their World Cup qualifying group, and their higher ranking spared them from the preliminary round of Africa Cup of Nations qualification. The team will therefore begin their campaign directly from the group stage. Malawi make the most of every international window and aren’t afraid to schedule plenty of friendlies-they played two matches both in November last year and in March. Notably, their defense stood out during these games, never conceding more than one goal in any match. On June 9, Malawi are set to play another fixture, this time against Ethiopia.

    Match Results: Malawi

    Last matches
    31.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Botswana
    Botswana
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    28.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Zambia U23
    Zambia U23
    Malawi
    Malawi
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    9
    8
    L
    18.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    9
    11
    2
    1
    W
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lesotho
    Lesotho
    Malawi
    Malawi
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    D
    13.10.25
    WC Qualification CAF
    Sao Tome and Principe
    Sao Tome and Principe
    1
    Malawi
    Malawi
    0.36
    1.08
    0
    8
    10
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.36
    1.08
    0
    8
    10
    5
    1
    1
    L
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 4;
    • Home wins - 0, Away wins - 2, Draws - 2.
    Trends
    • Malawi have failed to win in 14 of their last 15 matches (International Friendlies).
    • Malawi are winless in their last 10 away fixtures (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Ethiopia will not lose

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head (average goals):

    • Home side - 0.75, Away side - 1.25;
    • Overall head-to-head average - 2.0;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 2 times; on the home ground - never.
    Trends
    • Malawi have failed to score in 7 consecutive away matches (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Malawi will not score goal

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Malawi's defense has proven tough to break down in recent friendlies, limiting their opponents' chances. Ethiopia, meanwhile, lack the attacking quality to truly threaten. It's also worth noting that these sides will face each other twice during this international window, giving both teams a chance to adapt and adjust. Backing Malawi to win with a (0) handicap looks like a solid option. We aren't expecting a high-scoring affair-this one could easily finish 0-1. Malawi's edge in previous head-to-head encounters could well be the decisive factor here.

    Our choice
    Malawi Handicap (0) at odds of +102*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 June 2026, 09:59)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Ethiopia - Malawi

    Malawi have not won
    malawiin 14 of last 15 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    malawiin last 10 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Ethiopia will not lose
    Everygame
    -278
    Malawi have scored under 1.5 goals
    malawiin last 16 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    malawiin last 11 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Malawi Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Malawi have not scored
    malawiin last 7 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Malawi will not score goal
    Everygame
    +140
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    malawiin last 7 Malawi away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -227

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 13
    +1
    -6
    5 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    0
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    5
    13
    Conceded
    11
    2.7
    Match goals average
    1.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.5
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    3
    Both teams scored
    2
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    180'
    View all stats