Wolfsburg vs Bayern Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Will Wolfsburg face relegation to the 2. Bundesliga for the first time in their history? In Lower Saxony, neither the club nor the fans are prepared for such a scenario. To keep their survival hopes alive, Dieter Hecking's side need to defeat none other than Bayern on Saturday. There are only two factors that could work in the "Wolves'" favor. Firstly, with the Munich side having already secured the championship, they might lack full motivation. Secondly, Vincent Kompany is likely to rotate his squad following a grueling Champions League semi-final against PSG. However, there's another side to consider: Bayern could take the field with a vengeance after their European exit and look to replicate their first-round result. More details on the upcoming Bundesliga clash can be found in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round at the Allianz Arena, Bayern thrashed Wolfsburg 8-1. The Wolves have gone 24 matches without a win against the Munich side, managing only two draws in that stretch.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    5%
    2 Wins
    12%
    5 Draws
    83%
    35 Wins
    Total games
    42
    Total Goals Avg
    3.67
    Both teams scored
    57%
    0.9
    Total average
    2.76
    1.57
    Yellow cards
    1.38
    Last matches
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    11.01.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    2.61
    0.91
    6
    2
    7
    6
    0
    1
    8
    1
    2
    1
    6
    0
    2.61
    0.91
    6
    2
    7
    6
    0
    1
    18.01.25
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    3.23
    0.7
    6
    2
    10
    9
    2
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    3.23
    0.7
    6
    2
    10
    9
    2
    3
    25.08.24
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    11
    2
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    11
    2
    3
    12.05.24
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    -
    -
    4
    0
    7
    8
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    0
    7
    8
    0
    2
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    Wolfsburg Team Overview

    🟢 In the last round, Wolfsburg took the lead in Freiburg, but they couldn't hold onto their advantage, with the match ending in a 1-1 draw. The Wolves' only goal came from Konstantinos Koulierakis. This draw, combined with St. Pauli's defeat, lifted Dieter Hecking's side to 16th place, securing a spot in the Bundesliga relegation playoffs. Wolfsburg achieved a three-match unbeaten streak for the first time in 2026, and the draw in Freiburg allowed them to climb out of the automatic relegation zone for the first time in two months.

    ⚪ Currently, the Wolves edge out St. Pauli only on goal difference (-25 compared to -28). These teams will face each other at the Millerntor in the final round. If Wolfsburg manages to defeat Bayern and St. Pauli falls to Leipzig, even a loss in Hamburg in the last round could keep Lower Saxony's side above their rivals thanks to a superior goal difference.

    Match Results: Wolfsburg

    Last matches
    25.05.26
    BUN
    Paderborn 07
    Paderborn 07
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    1
    3.47
    0.43
    19
    2
    12
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    3.47
    0.43
    19
    2
    12
    9
    3
    4
    L
    21.05.26
    BUN
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Paderborn 07
    Paderborn 07
    1
    1.49
    0.10
    4
    1
    12
    16
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.49
    0.10
    4
    1
    12
    16
    1
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    1.61
    3.42
    8
    9
    6
    9
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.61
    3.42
    8
    9
    6
    9
    2
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    L
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    0.98
    0.98
    1
    7
    5
    11
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    0.98
    1
    7
    5
    11
    1
    1
    D
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    Bayern Munich Team Overview

    🔴 In the 32nd round, a Bayern Munich side with little at stake from a standings perspective managed to claw back from 0-2 and 2-3 deficits to draw against Heidenheim, finishing the match at 3-3. Michael Olise equalized in the dying minutes, while Leon Goretzka netted a brace. The defeat to Augsburg earlier this year remains Bayern's only loss in the Bundesliga this season. Previously, Munich have concluded the league with just one defeat only twice-in the 1986/87 and 2012/13 seasons. On both occasions, they went unbeaten in away matches, as is the case now.

    ⚪ However, Bayern will not be able to secure the treble this year. On Wednesday, Vincent Kompany's team drew with PSG (1-1) in the second leg of the Champions League semi-final, bowing out on aggregate 5-6. Harry Kane scored the only goal for Munich. Now, Bayern will focus on the German Cup final against Stuttgart, set for May 23. In the final Bundesliga round, Munich will host Cologne at home.

    Match Results: Bayern Munich

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    DFB Pokal
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.98
    0.5
    0
    3
    5
    13
    0
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Cologne
    Cologne
    2.98
    0.65
    5
    5
    6
    4
    1
    1
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2.98
    0.65
    5
    5
    6
    4
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    W
    06.05.26
    UCL
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.77
    1.31
    1
    8
    11
    12
    2
    3
    D
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    1.47
    2.18
    13
    5
    6
    7
    3
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.47
    2.18
    13
    5
    6
    7
    3
    2
    D
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    Latest news

    Wolfsburg

    ❌ The team still has a significant number of players in the injury list. Chief among them is captain Maximilian Arnold, who is continuing his recovery from a groin injury. Also sidelined are Bence Dardai, Kilian Fischer, Rogerio, Jens Selt, and Jonas Wind. Defender Clayton's inclusion in the squad is also in doubt, as he has yet to make an appearance for Wolfsburg since his transfer from Flamengo.

    Bayern Munich

    ❌ It's been known for some time that Serge Gnabry is sidelined until next season. The rest of the team's key players are fit, but Vincent Kompany is almost certain to implement significant squad rotation following the match against PSG. It's quite possible that several of the team's leaders will start the game at the Volkswagen Arena on the bench.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The match will be officiated by Matthias Jollenbeck. In his previous game, he only issued one yellow card, but his average over the last ten matches stands at 4.1 cards per game. Although both teams typically receive fewer than two cards per match, the history of their head-to-heads suggests a potentially intense clash. Therefore, it might be worth considering over 3.5 yellow cards. This outcome has occurred in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these sides. Bookmakers are offering decent odds of 2.05* for this scenario.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Even if Wolfsburg takes the lead, holding off the current Bayern side will be extremely challenging. This season, Bayern have already amassed 29 points in games where they were trailing, setting a new Bundesliga record. Moreover, they've scored 34 goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, another record-breaking stat. Additionally, their players coming off the bench have contributed 19 goals. Given this data, a bet on Bayern's individual total over one goal in the second half at odds of 1.59* seems logical.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Bayern lead the league in corners earned, averaging 6.5 per match. Wolfsburg are understandably further down with an average of 4.3 corners per game. However, the upcoming match will see motivation firmly on the side of the hosts. Considering possible Bayern rotations and Wolfsburg's need to attack aggressively, it makes sense to consider the home side's individual total over 3.5 corners. This outcome has occurred in Wolfsburg's last eight home games. Odds are set at 1.66*.

    🚀 Player Stats Bet

    In the first-round match against Wolfsburg, Michael Olise scored twice and provided an assist. This season, the Frenchman has racked up 33 goal involvements in the Bundesliga-14 goals and 19 assists. He is just two assists shy of Thomas Müller's record for most assists in a season. It's highly likely that Vincent Kompany will start him from the beginning. A promising bet would be on Michael Olise to provide at least one assist. The odds are 2.02*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    The main risky bet for this match is a victory for a motivated Wolfsburg against a Bayern side that has already achieved their objectives. While the "Wolves" lack the class compared to the Munich giants, they can make up for it with sheer determination and a desire to maintain their status as one of the few clubs never relegated from the Bundesliga. Additionally, this game presents an excellent opportunity to break their winless streak against Bayern, which dates back to 2015. For those who enjoy high odds, consider a Wolfsburg win at 4.33*.

    🎯 Safe Bet

    The match against PSG was one of the few this season where Bayern scored fewer than two goals. Therefore, it's reasonable to expect the Munich side to score at least twice again. Moreover, Wolfsburg remains one of the most conceding teams in the league. Regardless of Vincent Kompany's lineup choices, Bayern's player quality will be top-notch. A reliable option is Bayern's individual total over 1.5 goals. This bet has been successful in 16 of Bayern's last 17 matches and in 11 consecutive head-to-heads at Volkswagen Arena. Odds are 1.36*.

    👀 If The Match Doesn't Go As Planned

    Both teams would likely prefer a clean sheet, but against Bayern, such a scenario is nearly impossible. However, if Wolfsburg scores an early goal and fully focuses on defending their box, there's a chance for a low-scoring game. A risky but intriguing option in such a situation would be under 2.5 total goals at odds of 3.75*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editorial Prediction

    Wolfsburg urgently need a win. If St. Pauli pick up points in Leipzig, a draw in their final home game against the Wolves might be enough for the Pirates. Therefore, Dieter Hecking's squad will have to play boldly, despite the season's challenges: a shaky defense, personnel issues, and inconsistent performances.

    Predicting Bayern's current state is more challenging. On one hand, they could be highly motivated after their Champions League exit. On the other, the players have endured a grueling season, with the German Cup final ahead and many already thinking about the upcoming World Cup. Nevertheless, Munich's class remains exceptionally high. We anticipate a high-scoring match and suggest betting on over 3.5 goals, which has occurred in nine of Bayern's last ten Bundesliga games. Our predicted outcome is a Bayern victory with a score of 3-2.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (3.5) at odds of -143*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 May 2026, 12:41)

    Betting Tips: Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich

    Wolfsburg have lost
    vfl-wolfsburg-1bayern-munich-1in 15 of last 16 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    vfl-wolfsburg-1bayern-munich-1in 10 of last 11 home games against Bayern Munich.
    vfl-wolfsburg-1bayern-munich-1in 9 of last 10 home games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    vfl-wolfsburg-1in 5 of last 6 home games (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich have won
    bayern-munich-1in 5 of last 6 away games (Bundesliga).
    Bayern Munich Win
    Everygame
    -200
    Wolfsburg have lost the 1st half
    vfl-wolfsburg-1bayern-munich-1in last 10 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    vfl-wolfsburg-1bayern-munich-1in last 7 home games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    1st Half Bayern Munich Win
    MyBookie
    +110
    Wolfsburg have drawn in the 2nd half
    vfl-wolfsburg-1bayern-munich-1in 6 of last 7 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).
    2nd Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +255
    Bayern Munich have won the 2nd half
    bayern-munich-1in 10 of last 11 away games (Bundesliga).
    bayern-munich-1in 8 of last 9 games (Bundesliga).
    2nd Half Bayern Munich Win
    Everygame
    -143
    View more facts

    Wolfsburg - Bayern Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    342851122-3689
    2.
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    34227570-3473
    3.
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    34205966-4765
    15.
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    34881837-6032
    16.
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    34781945-6929
    17.
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    34682041-7226

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 15
    -4
    +13
    31 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    31
    15
    Conceded
    18
    2.6
    Match goals average
    4.9
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    3.1
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    85'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    29'
    View all stats