Orenburg vs Kryliya Prediction
🔊 Can Orenburg catch up to Krylia Sovetov in the RPL standings and escape the relegation zone? Currently, just three points separate the teams, so a victory could drastically alter the league dynamics. However, Orenburg faces a tough challenge, even with home advantage, as Krylia have been securing maximum points for two consecutive matches. Will the visitors extend their winning streak? Let's assess their chances with a prediction from our editorial team.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over their last 10 encounters, the teams have been evenly matched with three victories each. They've also shared the spoils on four occasions. Notably, both sides have found the back of the net in 7 out of these 10 clashes.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Orenburg Team Overview
Under the guidance of Ildar Akhmetzyanov, Orenburg have made notable strides in their last five matches, climbing from second-to-last to a safer 12th place before dropping slightly back into the playoff zone. During this stretch, the team have secured seven points-a commendable achievement for a side fighting at the bottom of the table. They are now just a single point away from reclaiming their previous 12th position.
Before the last match, Orenburg were riding a two-game winning streak. This run was halted by the league's main underdog, Sochi, at their home ground, the “Fisht” Stadium. The teams nearly split possession evenly (51% to 49% in favor of the hosts) and matched each other in their attacking efforts. However, Orenburg actually created more quality chances (14 shots with an xG of 1.33 compared to Sochi's 14 shots with an xG of 0.73). Despite this, by the 67th minute, Sochi led 3-0. Orenburg managed to respond with just one goal, ending the match 3-1.
Match Results: Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov Team Overview
Krylya Sovetov made a bold move by changing their coaching staff just before the finish line, and it has finally paid off. Under the guidance of Sergey Bulatov, the Samara team have suffered only one defeat in their last five matches and are currently on a two-game winning streak. Remarkably, four out of these five opponents are from the upper half of the table.
As a result, Krylya Sovetov have climbed out of the relegation zone and now sit in 11th place, with a three-point cushion above the playoff area. Their recent home victories are truly impressive: against Lokomotiv (2-0) and Spartak (2-1). Although the latter result didn't quite align with the match dynamics, as the "Red-Whites" dominated possession (73% to 27%) and shots (17 to 4). However, in terms of expected goals, the Samara side were nearly on par with the Muscovites (1.14 xG to 1.4 xG).
Match Results: Krylya Sovetov
Latest news
Orenburg
❌ Orenburg's medical staff are doing an outstanding job: the team have no injured players. Discipline within the squad is also commendable, as evidenced by the absence of suspensions ahead of their next match.
Krylya Sovetov
❌ Krylia Sovetov are doing quite well even without their main striker, Geoffrey Chinedu, who has been sidelined since early April due to a hamstring injury. In the last round, Ilzat Akhmetov had an unfortunate substitute appearance, playing only 18 minutes before heading straight to the hospital with a head injury following a collision.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Despite Krylya Sovetov's impressive recent performances, their away form has been poor, with a streak of four consecutive losses. However, the Samara side hasn't been completely lackluster in these matches; they managed to score in each of their last two outings. Goal exchanges are quite common for them, occurring in 5 of their last 6 games. Additionally, 7 out of their last 10 head-to-head encounters with Orenburg followed a similar pattern. Therefore, a bet on both teams to score (yes) at odds of 1.72* seems quite reasonable here.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In their last three matches, Orenburg have experimented with various formations, ranging from a defensive 5-4-1 to an attacking 3-4-3. Most often, Ildar Akhmetzyanov opts for a balanced 4-2-3-1 setup. Regardless of the formation, Orenburg's pacey flanks, featuring skilled foreign players, allow them to maintain pressure near the opposition's box through set-pieces. Corners, in particular, stand out as Orenburg rank second in the RPL with an average of 5.54 corners over 28 rounds. We believe a bet on Orenburg's total corners over 4.5 at 1.5* is a solid choice.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Despite Krylya Sovetov's recent successes, bookmakers still have less faith in Sergey Bulatov's team, which isn't surprising given their away performances. However, we wouldn't be so quick to dismiss them, especially considering the head-to-head statistics between these clubs.
Let's focus on the current league standings of these upcoming opponents. They're only separated by one victory, making this battle to stay in the Russian Premier League extremely intense. In such scenarios, physical play often takes center stage. Our editorial team believes it's reasonable to consider over 4.5 total yellow cards. A fair result would likely be a high-scoring draw, with a scoreline of 1-1.
Betting Tips: Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov
in 9 of last 10 away games (Premier League).in 11 of last 12 away games.in last 10 away games (Premier League).in last 15 away games.in last 12 away games (Premier League).in 8 of last 9 games against Krylya Sovetov (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 games against Krylya Sovetov.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
