Monza vs Empoli Prediction 8 May 2026
📢 The upcoming clash between Monza and Empoli promises to be an intriguing encounter. Monza have been impressive on home turf, securing victory in 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie B. Empoli, on the other hand, are struggling to pick up points on the road and sit lower in the standings. The visitors' defensive style of play could be a crucial factor, especially given their recent trend towards low-scoring games.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Empoli):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Monza and Empoli:
- played 9 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 3, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 7 against 10;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.78, in the 2nd half - 1.11;
- average total goals in the match - 1.89.
Head-to-head statistics Monza - Empoli

Monza Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Mantova, away team - Monza). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Monza vs Mantova):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 7.
Monza hold third place in the standings, thanks to their consistent form and potent attack. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins, suffered one defeat, and drawn once. The team averages 1.59 goals per match while their defense concedes just 0.81 goals on average. Their home record is impressive, as they dominate on their own turf, making them the favorites for the upcoming clash.
Match Results: Monza

Empoli Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Empoli, away - Avellino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Empoli vs Avellino):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 21 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Empoli sit in 14th place on the table, showcasing inconsistent performances on the road. They've managed just two wins in their last ten away games, suffering five losses and drawing three times. The team struggles with offensive efficiency, averaging 1.22 goals per match while conceding 1.41 goals per game. Their last five matches have all ended with a total of under 2.5 goals, highlighting their defensive focus.
Match Results: Empoli
Latest news
Monza
Monza head into the match without any squad injuries.
Empoli
The visitors may be without Pietro Pellegri.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 9;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 0.78;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.44.
First-Half Stats: Monza (home) vs Empoli (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 (38.89%) vs 2 (11.11%);
- losses: 2 (11.11%) vs 3 (16.67%);
- draws: 9 (50%) vs 13 (72.22%);
- Average goals scored: 0.94 vs 0.94;
- Average goals conceded: 0.28 vs 0.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5).
- Empoli have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 3, draws - 4.
Statistics: Monza vs Empoli
- matches played in the tournament: 37 vs 37;
- wins: 22 vs 9;
- win percentage: 59% vs 24%;
- losses: 6 vs 15;
- draws: 9 vs 13.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Empoli won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games against Monza.
- Empoli won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Serie B).
- Empoli won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.78, the guests - 1.11;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.89;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Monza vs Empoli
- average total in the tournament: 2.41 vs 2.62;
- average total goals scored: 1.59 vs 1.22;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.65 vs 0.49;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.95 vs 0.73;
- Monza: average total at home in the tournament - 1.78;
- Empoli: average total away in the tournament - 0.94;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.75) vs 1.2 (away - 0.67).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Empoli games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Monza vs Empoli
- number of matches played in the tournament: 37 vs 37;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 22;
- number of BTTS matches for Monza at home - 8 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Empoli away - 8 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Monza at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Empoli away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (58/370, 15.7%);
- Monza at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (5/18, 27.8%);
- Empoli away most often play: 1:0 (3/18, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.85% (odds 7)
1:1 - 11.25% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.88% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Monza enter the match as the clear favorites, a status that makes sense given the current league standings. Empoli are aware of their opponent's strength and will likely opt for a cautious approach, especially since they are still at risk of slipping into the relegation playoff zone. Additionally, Empoli's recent matches have been low-scoring affairs, with no more than two goals scored in each of their last five games. Given this scenario, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable prediction.