Monaco vs Lille Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Monaco join the race for a Champions League spot? This Sunday, the Monegasques host Lille, a team that hasn't tasted defeat in Ligue 1 for over three and a half months. This promises to be an incredible clash between two top-six sides, eagerly anticipated by football fans. We've broken down this matchup and below you'll find our prediction for the outcome of this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Lille have been performing well against Monaco recently, regardless of the venue. The “Dogs” have won their last two head-to-head encounters and drew with the “Monegasques” before that.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    36%
    14 Wins
    26%
    10 Draws
    38%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    39
    Total Goals Avg
    2.36
    Both teams scored
    41%
    1.15
    Total average
    1.21
    1.79
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    24.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Monaco
    Monaco
    2.41
    1.52
    8
    3
    7
    14
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.41
    1.52
    8
    3
    7
    14
    1
    2
    22.02.25
    LI1
    Lille OSC
    Lille OSC
    AS Monaco
    AS Monaco
    1.1
    2.32
    1
    6
    11
    18
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.1
    2.32
    1
    6
    11
    18
    4
    2
    18.10.24
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    14
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    14
    1
    5
    24.04.24
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    -
    -
    7
    5
    9
    9
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    9
    9
    1
    2
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    Monaco Team Overview

    🔴 Monaco are experiencing a turbulent season. The change of head coach at the start of the campaign hasn't yielded positive results-leading to their exit from the Champions League and raising significant doubts about whether Sébastien Pocognoli's side will secure a spot in European competitions. Currently, the Monegasques sit sixth in the standings, six points adrift of third place.

    ⚪ In their last match, Monaco narrowly defeated the league's bottom side, Metz, with a 2-1 victory, clinching the winning goal in the 90+1 minute. Prior to that, Sébastien Pocognoli's team recorded two draws against lower-table teams: Toulouse (2-2) and Auxerre (2-2). These results have contributed to a precarious situation in their league campaign.

    Match Results: Monaco

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    5
    4
    1
    3
    4
    1
    1.9
    1.5
    4
    6
    7
    11
    1
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.25
    0.81
    11
    3
    19
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Lille Team Overview

    🔵 Lille have gone three and a half months unbeaten in Ligue 1. However, during this period, they've been knocked out of the Europa League and the Coupe de France. Still, Bruno Génésio's side consistently maintains a high level of performance, contending for third place, just two points away. Meanwhile, Rennes are close behind, within the same range.

    🔴 In their previous match, Lille drew with Le Havre (1-1). Considering their standings in the league, this was a frustrating loss of points that could have been avoided. In that game, Lille controlled possession 67% of the time and significantly outperformed their opponent in expected goals (xG) with 1.71 compared to 0.15. Yet, there are matches where the ball just doesn't find the back of the net, and that's something they must endure.

    Match Results: Lille

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    1.64
    0.39
    4
    2
    9
    16
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.64
    0.39
    4
    2
    9
    16
    3
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Monaco
    Monaco
    Lille
    Lille
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.42
    5
    2
    13
    10
    1
    3
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Havre
    Havre
    1.71
    0.15
    14
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.71
    0.15
    14
    5
    9
    15
    2
    3
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    1
    Lille
    Lille
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    1.69
    7
    3
    12
    10
    4
    3
    W
    18.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Lille
    Lille
    Nice
    Nice
    0.56
    0.17
    5
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.56
    0.17
    5
    3
    9
    10
    3
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Monaco

    ❌ Monaco face a significant injury crisis, which spells trouble for the coaching staff ahead of two crucial season-defining matches. Here is the list of players who are confirmed to be unavailable: Caio Henrique, Vanderson, Mohammed Salisu, and Takumi Minamino-these players are sidelined for the remainder of the campaign.

    Lille

    ❌ Lille have two players in a doubtful state due to injuries - forward Marius Broholm and midfielder Nabil Bentaleb. Hamza Igaman and Ousmane Touré are still recovering from serious injuries and will not be included in the squad for the upcoming match.

    🟨 Prediction for Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Clément Turpin. Over the course of 100 matches, he averages 3.41 yellow cards per game with 23 fouls. In Ligue 1, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Monaco averages 2.2 per game, while Lille averages 2.3. Given that both teams frequently receive bookings this season, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 3.5 at odds of 1.60*.

    ⚽️ Prediction for Goals

    Monaco's individual goal total in Ligue 1 averages 1.8 goals per match, with Lille at 1.6. The goal-scoring rate in matches involving these teams is high: the hosts average 3.3 goals per game, while the visitors average 2.7. Considering this data, we recommend a bet on total goals over 2.5 at odds of 1.62*.

    🚩 Prediction for Corners

    In recent Ligue 1 matches, Monaco averages 5 corners per game, and Lille averages 5.9. Both teams frequently earn corner kicks and have above-average league stats in this area, so we suggest a bet on total corners over 9.5 at odds of 1.93*.

    *The odds provided are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editor's Prediction

    Both teams are highly motivated, which is understandable given their standings in the league and their ambitions to qualify for the Champions League spots. However, Monaco's recent form has been significantly worse than Lille's, as well as the quality of their play. The "Dogs" have gone unbeaten in the league for the past three and a half months, making this trend worth highlighting. We suggest betting on the visitors not to lose. The predicted scoreline is a 2-1 victory for Lille.

    Our choice
    Lille will not lose at odds of -182*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 May 2026, 12:53)

    Betting Tips: Monaco - Lille

    Lille have won
    lille-oscin 6 of last 7 away games.
    lille-oscin last 5 away games (Ligue 1).
    Lille Win
    Bovada
    +150
    Lille have not lost
    lille-oscin last 12 games (Ligue 1).
    lille-oscin 7 of last 8 away games.
    lille-oscin last 6 games.
    Lille will not lose
    Everygame
    -213
    Monaco have not lost
    as-monaco-1in 13 of last 14 games (Ligue 1).
    as-monaco-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    as-monaco-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    as-monaco-1in last 6 home games (Ligue 1).
    Monaco will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Over 2.5 goals scored
    as-monaco-1in last 6 Monaco games (Ligue 1).
    in last 5 Clement Turpin games (in the Ligue 1).
    Total goals Over (2.5)
    Everygame
    -154
    View more facts

    Monaco - Lille Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    7.
    Monaco
    Monaco
    341661260-5454
    8.
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    341581158-4753

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 18
    +2
    +7
    14 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    14
    18
    Conceded
    7
    3.8
    Match goals average
    2.1
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    8
    Both teams scored
    3
    45'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats