Hamburger vs Freiburg Prediction
🔊 Sunday’s Bundesliga action kicks off with a clash between Hamburg and Freiburg at the Volksparkstadion. The hosts have already secured their spot in the top flight for next season, allowing them to bid farewell to their fans in a relaxed atmosphere with bold and attacking football. Freiburg come into this match following a draw against Wolfsburg in the league, but on Thursday, Julian Schuster's side made history by reaching the Europa League final after defeating Braga over two legs. The emotional high for the 'Brazilians of Breisgau' is at its peak. In the first round, Freiburg claimed victory as both teams found the back of the net. Will a similar scenario unfold in this Matchday 33 encounter?
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first-round match, Freiburg came from behind after conceding a goal and, with a numerical advantage, edged out Hamburg (2-1). Hamburg haven't beaten Freiburg since 2018 and have lost their last three encounters-one this season and two in the German Cup.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Hamburger Team Overview
🔵 In the last round, Hamburg managed to turn the tide against Eintracht (2-1), scoring twice in an eight-minute span during the second half. Albert Grönbek and Fábio Vieira secured crucial three points for the "Dinosaurs." This victory snapped a six-match winless streak and ensured the team’s place in the Bundesliga for next season. For Hamburg, this is a significant achievement, marking their return to the top flight after a seven-year absence.
🔴 This season, the "Dinosaurs" have only found themselves in the relegation zone once. After 32 rounds, they have accumulated 34 points-three more than in the 2017/18 season when they were relegated. This is their final home match of the season at the Volksparkstadion before heading to Leverkusen for a clash with Bayer. However, extending their positive streak will be challenging: they haven’t won at home in five consecutive matches (three losses and two draws).
Match Results: Hamburger
Freiburg Team Overview
⚪ Philipp Lienhart secured a draw for Freiburg against Wolfsburg (1-1) by leveling the score late in the match. The team has now come from behind to earn points ten times this season, setting a club record. After a congested fixture list, Freiburg have managed to stabilize their results and re-enter the race for European competition. They currently lead Eintracht by a single point.
🔴 With a victory over Hamburg and an Eintracht defeat, Freiburg will secure at least a spot in the Conference League. Meanwhile, they continue their Europa League campaign: on Thursday, they defeated Braga (3-1) and reached the tournament final for the first time in their history, where they will face Aston Villa on May 20 in Istanbul.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Hamburger
❌ Merlin Polzin's team approaches the match almost at full strength. Fábio Vieira missed training earlier in the week for rest but has since rejoined the squad and is set to play. Otto Stange sat out due to a cold, and his participation remains uncertain. Alexander Rössing-Lelesiit is sidelined with an ankle injury. Miro Muheim continues his recovery with a personalized program.
Freiburg
❌ Patrick Osterhage and Max Rosenfelder are still on the mend following their injuries. Additionally, Yuito Suzuki is a significant loss; he suffered a fractured collarbone in the match against Wolfsburg, underwent surgery, and will be sidelined for the remainder of the season.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Felix Zwayer will be the referee for this match. In his previous game, he handed out five yellow cards, with an average of 3.5 cards in his last ten matches. Hamburg typically receives around two yellow cards per game, while Freiburg averages less than 1.5. Given this context, it's reasonable to consider Hamburg's individual total over 1.5 yellow cards. This scenario has occurred in six of their last seven home games. The odds stand at 1.60*.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Hamburg have failed to win at home in five consecutive matches and haven't scored more than one goal in these games. Freiburg have also been inconsistent away from home. Therefore, it's logical to consider under 3.5 total goals at 1.48*. This bet has been successful in Hamburg's last five home matches and in 15 of the last 16 head-to-head encounters between these teams in the Bundesliga.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Hamburg have one of the lowest corner averages in the league at 3.8 per match. Freiburg are also near the bottom in this statistic with an average of 4.2 corners. Considering Freiburg's busy schedule and their involvement in European competitions, moderate attacking activity is expected. Thus, Freiburg's individual total under 4.5 corners is a viable option. This bet has been successful in their last six away games. The odds are 1.91*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Hamburg are free from any league pressure and can play with ease, aiming to end their home season on a high note. The team will be eager to avenge their first-round defeat. Freiburg are in high spirits after reaching the European final, but their packed schedule and fatigue might affect their performance quality. We anticipate a balanced match with chances for both sides. Our main prediction is both teams to score (yes), which has occurred in 6 of Hamburg's last 7 home matches and in 6 of Freiburg's last 7 games overall. The final prediction is a 1-1 draw.
Betting Tips: Hamburger - Freiburg
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
