Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 May 2026
🔊 The match between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto promises to be intriguing. Both teams exhibit different playing styles, and their current form could significantly impact the outcome. Deportes Tolima have been delivering consistent performances in recent matches, while Deportivo Pasto are facing defensive challenges, conceding quite frequently.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Pasto):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tolima and Pasto:
- played 40 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 9, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 55 against 37;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.98, in the 2nd half - 1.33;
- average total goals in the match - 2.3.
Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto

Tolima Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Deportes Tolima hosting Nacional Montevideo. The match ended with a 3-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the game statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Nacional Montevideo):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 3;
- fouls: 3 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Deportes Tolima are showing solid form with three wins and a draw in their last five matches. The team boasts a reliable defense, conceding only 0.89 goals per game on average this season. Their attack is also impressive, averaging 1.42 goals per match. Consistent form and strong home results make them a formidable opponent for any team.
Match Results: Tolima

Pasto Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera A (home team - Atlético Junior, visitors - Deportivo Pasto). The match ended with a scoreline of 4-3.
Here are the match statistics (Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Junior):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Deportivo Pasto are showing a solid offensive performance, averaging 1.53 goals per match this season. However, their defense remains a weak point, conceding over a goal per game, leaving them vulnerable against attacking teams. In their last five matches, they've secured two wins, suffered two losses, and drawn once, highlighting their inconsistency.
Match Results: Pasto
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 40;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 8; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 0.98;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.55, while the visitors net 0.43.
First-Half Stats: Tolima (home) vs Pasto (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (40%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- losses: 1 (10%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 5 (50%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- Average goals scored: 0.9 vs 1.44;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 0.78.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5).
- Tolima scored in the 1st half in last 6 home games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 9, draws - 14.
Statistics: Tolima vs Pasto
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 8 vs 10;
- win percentage: 42% vs 53%;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Pasto won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games against Tolima (Liga Aguila).
- Pasto won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 games (Liga Aguila).
- Pasto won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.38, the guests - 0.93;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.3;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Tolima vs Pasto
- average total in the tournament: 2.32 vs 2.84;
- average total goals scored: 1.42 vs 1.53;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.74 vs 0.84;
- Tolima: average total at home in the tournament - 1.9;
- Pasto: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.14) vs 1.7 (away - 2).
- Pasto have scored under 1.5 goals in 18 of last 19 away games against Tolima.
Prediction on corners
Tolima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.68; at home field - 4.9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 4.86.
Pasto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.68, away - 3.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.6.
- Pasto have taken under 3.5 corners in last 5 games against Tolima (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Tolima vs Pasto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Tolima at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Pasto away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Tolima at home - 3 (43%);
- BTTS matches for Pasto away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (30/190, 15.8%);
- Tolima at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (3/10, 30%);
- Pasto away most often play: 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.59% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.21% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.27% (odds 9.5)