Barcelona vs Dortmund Prediction 9 April 2025
🔊 Up next is the Champions League quarter-final clash as Barcelona host Borussia Dortmund. Both sides are renowned for their attacking style, promising fans a thrilling display of football. The squads are near full strength, with both managers focused on securing the desired result. The odds highlight the hosts' advantage, yet let's not forget that during the group stage, Dortmund put up a strong fight against the Catalans, conceding the decisive goal only in the final minutes.
Head-to-Head
📊 Barcelona and Borussia Dortmund have faced off in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:
- Goals: 6 for the home team, 3 for the visitors;
- Average total goals per match: 3.
Their last encounter took place on 11 December 2024 at Borussia Dortmund's ground, ending in a 2-3 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Barcelona - Dortmund

Barcelona Team Overview
🔵 Barcelona last tasted defeat back in December, falling to Atletico (2-1). Since then, they've embarked on an impressive 22-match unbeaten streak. Recently, the Catalans exacted revenge on the Madrid side in the Copa del Rey (1-0), securing a spot in the final. Over the weekend, they extended their lead over Real Madrid in La Liga to four points after a draw with Betis (1-1), while Los Blancos suffered a loss to Valencia. In the Champions League, Barcelona advanced to the knockout stage as runners-up. They faced Benfica in the Round of 16 and managed a crucial away victory despite being down a man (1-0). Back at home, the Blaugrana extended their lead (3-1). In both legs, Raphinha emerged as the hero, climbing to the top of the Champions League scoring charts with 11 goals.
📣 Barcelona's head coach Hansi Flick indicated that the team is in good shape ahead of their clash with Borussia Dortmund: “We are paying close attention to recovery, and the intensity of our training sessions is at an optimal level. The team is ready both physically and mentally. Right now, complete focus from the players is paramount.”
❌ In the upcoming match, Marc-André ter Stegen will be absent as he is sidelined for the rest of the season. Marc Bernal, who has featured in three matches for Barcelona, has been injured for some time. Marc Casado and Dani Olmo have each missed 3-4 games, limiting Flick's options for rotation.
Match Results: Barcelona

Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 Borussia Dortmund have changed their head coach mid-season. Under Nuri Sahin, their results slipped, prompting the club to part ways with the legend. Nico Kovac, with a completely different tactical approach, was brought in to turn things around. Under his guidance, the team has delivered several impressive victories, including a commanding 4-1 win over Freiburg last weekend. Serhou Guirassy, who is second in the Champions League scoring chart with 10 goals, found the back of the net in that match. Dortmund finished the league stage in 10th place. In the playoffs, they overcame a resilient Sporting (3-0, 0-0) under Kovac. In the round of 16, the "Black and Yellows" edged past Lille (1-1, 2-1), one of the tournament's surprise packages.
📣 Ahead of the clash against Barcelona, Nico Kovac emphasizes focus: “We are on the right track. Our task is to maintain maximum concentration. I am convinced that the players will give their all against Barcelona.”
❌ Borussia Dortmund are dealing with several injuries, though not all affected players are key figures. A significant loss, however, is Marcel Sabitzer, who will miss two matches due to a knee injury. Pascal Gross, a positional rival to Sabitzer, is also out due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Nico Schlotterbeck is sidelined for the rest of the season with a meniscus tear, a major blow to the squad.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of wins: 8 vs 6;
- win percentage: 80% vs 55%;
- number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- number of draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 5;
- number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Barcelona have won in 8 of last 9 games (Champions League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund
- average total in the tournament: 4.6 vs 3.55;
- average total goals scored: 3.2 vs 2.27;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.4 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.8 vs 1.18;
- Barcelona: average total at home in the tournament - 3.4;
- Borussia Dortmund: average total away in the tournament - 2.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.5 (home - 3.17) vs 1.8 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Barcelona games (Champions League).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Barcelona home games (Champions League).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Borussia Dortmund away games (Champions League).
Prediction on corners
Barcelona: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.6; at home field - 5.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 8.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.55, away - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 5.6.
- Borussia Dortmund have taken over 3.5 corners in 18 of last 20 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.66 (2.33 for home team and 2.33 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (2 for home team and 1 for away team).
Barcelona: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; at home - 0.5.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.64, away - 1.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Barcelona at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Borussia Dortmund away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Barcelona at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Borussia Dortmund away - 2 (40%).
Editor's Prediction
Barcelona are on an impressive unbeaten streak and have the advantage of playing at home, but there are concerns about their current form. The team faces a hectic schedule, and while their physical condition seems fine, their creativity has started to wane, as seen in the recent match against Betis. We believe the upcoming clash won't be as high-scoring as the one in December, especially with Borussia likely to adopt a more cautious approach under Niko Kovac compared to Nuri Sahin's tenure. We're backing under 3.5 goals, a result seen in eight of Borussia's last nine away games.