Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 April 2026

    🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Nairobi United and Mara Sugar FC. The confrontation of the Premier League tournament is scheduled for 11:00 on 1 April. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 01 October 2025 and ended with a score of 0:1. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Mara Sugar FC):

    • ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1.

    📊The teams Nairobi United and Mara Sugar FC have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 01 October 2025 at the home ground of Mara Sugar FC and ended with a score of 0:1.

    Head-to-head statistics Nairobi United - Mara Sugar FC

    67%
    2 Wins
    33%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    3
    Avg. total goals
    1.67
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1
    Average total
    0.67
    6.33
    Corners
    5.67
    0.33
    Yellow cards
    0
    Last matches
    01.04.26
    Premier League
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    6
    8
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    8
    -
    -
    1
    0
    01.10.25
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    -
    -
    8
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    01.06.25
    KEN Cup
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    3
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Nairobi United Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 8 February 2026 as part of the CAF Confederations Cup tournament (home team - Nairobi United, away team - Wydad Casablanca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Nairobi United vs Wydad Casablanca):

    • ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 10;
    • fouls: 13 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Nairobi United has engaged in 17 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 7 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 4 draws.

    📈Currently, Nairobi United stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 38% and a loss percentage of 38%.

    ⚽️Nairobi United has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end, Nairobi United has allowed 19 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Nairobi United

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    Premier League
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    Kenya Commercial Bank
    Kenya Commercial Bank
    -
    -
    4
    4
    19
    9
    1
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    19
    9
    1
    0
    D
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Vipers
    Vipers
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    L
    31.05.26
    Premier League
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    24
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    24
    1
    4
    W
    24.05.26
    Premier League
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    Kenya Police
    Kenya Police
    -
    -
    5
    2
    14
    21
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    14
    21
    2
    4
    D
    16.05.26
    Premier League
    Nairobi United
    Nairobi United
    1
    Posta Rangers
    Posta Rangers
    -
    -
    2
    2
    18
    16
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    18
    16
    2
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mara Sugar FC Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 31 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kakamega Homeboyz, away - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.

    Here are the match stats (Mara Sugar FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz):

    • ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 8.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Mara Sugar FC has engaged in 19 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 4 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 9 draws.

    📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 24% and a loss percentage of 29%.

    ⚽Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 18 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Mara Sugar FC

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    Premier League
    3K FC
    3K FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    9
    2
    13
    11
    2
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    13
    11
    2
    1
    D
    31.05.26
    Premier League
    Muranga Seal
    Muranga Seal
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mathare United
    Mathare United
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    17
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    17
    2
    1
    L
    13.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Shabana
    Shabana
    -
    -
    1
    4
    20
    11
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    20
    11
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 2;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC

    • matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 19;
    • wins: 6 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 38% vs 24%;
    • losses: 6 vs 5;
    • draws: 4 vs 8.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 2;
    • losses: 4 vs 4;
    • draws: 3 vs 4.
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 2.9)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.5;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC

    • average total in the tournament: 2.44 vs 2;
    • average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 0.94;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.29;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.65;
    • Nairobi United: average total at home in the tournament -  1.25;
    • Mara Sugar FC: average total away in the tournament - 1.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Nairobi United home games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.47)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 2;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 19;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Nairobi United at home - 5 (63%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 6 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Nairobi United at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 3 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 2.25)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/181, 16.6%);
    • Nairobi United at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/8, 25%);
    • Mara Sugar FC away most often play: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.95% (odds 7)
    1:0 - 11.17% (odds 5.5)
    0:0 - 9.81% (odds 6)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Nairobi United home games (Premier League).

    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 08/02/2026, 06:24

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    Betting Tips: Nairobi United - Mara Sugar FC

    Nairobi United have drawn in the 2nd half:
    lm-nairobi-unitedin last 6 games (Premier League).
    2nd Half Draw
    +109
    Mara Sugar FC have not won:
    mara-sugar-fcin last 8 away games (Premier League).
    Nairobi United will not lose
    -217
    Nairobi United have not won:
    lm-nairobi-unitedin 9 of last 10 home games.
    lm-nairobi-unitedin 7 of last 8 home games (Premier League).
    Mara Sugar FC will not lose
    -256
    Nairobi United have conceded:
    lm-nairobi-unitedin 12 of last 13 home games.
    lm-nairobi-unitedin 10 of last 11 home games (Premier League).
    Mara Sugar FC will score goal
    -256
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 10
    +4
    +1
    9 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    2
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    9
    10
    Conceded
    8
    2.4
    Average total per match
    1.7
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats