Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 April 2026
🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Nairobi United and Mara Sugar FC. The confrontation of the Premier League tournament is scheduled for 11:00 on 1 April. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 October 2025 and ended with a score of 0:1. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Mara Sugar FC):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
📊The teams Nairobi United and Mara Sugar FC have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 01 October 2025 at the home ground of Mara Sugar FC and ended with a score of 0:1.
Head-to-head statistics Nairobi United - Mara Sugar FC

Nairobi United Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 8 February 2026 as part of the CAF Confederations Cup tournament (home team - Nairobi United, away team - Wydad Casablanca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Nairobi United vs Wydad Casablanca):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 10;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
- 7 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Nairobi United stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 38% and a loss percentage of 38%.
⚽️Nairobi United has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end, Nairobi United has allowed 19 goals over the season.
Match Results: Nairobi United

Mara Sugar FC Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 31 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kakamega Homeboyz, away - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.
Here are the match stats (Mara Sugar FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
- 4 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 9 draws.
📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 24% and a loss percentage of 29%.
⚽Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 18 goals over the season.
Match Results: Mara Sugar FC
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 19;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 38% vs 24%;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC
- average total in the tournament: 2.44 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.65;
- Nairobi United: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Mara Sugar FC: average total away in the tournament - 1.22;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Nairobi United home games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Nairobi United at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Nairobi United at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/181, 16.6%);
- Nairobi United at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/8, 25%);
- Mara Sugar FC away most often play: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.95% (odds 7)
1:0 - 11.17% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 9.81% (odds 6)
Editorial Prediction
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Nairobi United home games (Premier League).