Alaves vs Getafe Prediction 9 February 2025

🔊 Will the "City" team succeed at the "Mendizorrotza" for the first time since 2005? The Sunday matchday program in La Liga will open with the clash between Alaves and Getafe. Both clubs are positioned in the lower half of the standings and continue to fight to maintain their place in the elite. The home status of the match for the "Glorious" was a key factor for bookmakers when forming preliminary predictions: a victory for the hosts - 2.3, a victory for the guests - 3.7.

📊 H2H

In the last 8 home head-to-head matches, the "Glorious" have not lost to the "City" team. The previous victory for Getafe at "Mendizorrotza" dates back to the 2005/06 season - 4:3. In the first round of the current championship, Jose Bordalas' team was stronger than the "Bean Destroyers" on the pitch of "Coliseum Alfonso Perez" - 2:0.

🔵 ALAVES

The saddest news for Alaves fans at the end of the last round was the serious injury to Tomas Konechny. The Argentine forward suffered a skull fracture after a horrific collision with Gavi. Now Eduardo Coudet is forced to resort to "Plan B," which involves maintaining the viability of his tactical model in the absence of one of the key players. Joan Jordan is also still recovering from a muscle injury. The Argentine specialist cannot be called pragmatic. During attacking phases, the "Glorious" employ a tactical formation of 4-2-3-1, while during defensive actions, they shift to a more comfortable 4-4-2. There's nothing particularly "innovative" about this, but given the resources of the "Bean Destroyers," this tactical move is quite effective. The coach of Alaves is often compared to his compatriot Diego Simeone. Both coaches are characterized by a certain fieriness, activity on the sidelines, and the ability to motivate players.

⚪ GETAFE

During the week, the "City" team was defeated by Atletico Madrid in the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey - 0:5. A rather unexpected result, considering that Jose Bordalas and company almost never concede more than two goals per game. The culprit was Getafe's tactical plan, which involved high pressing on the opponent's half of the field. The "Mattress Makers" skillfully exploited this by finding many open spaces and delivering long diagonal passes. After a couple of scoring shots, Simeone's men allowed the "Dark Blues" to take possession. However, as is well known, positional attack development is one of Bordalas' team's weakest points. In La Liga, only Valladolid (0.68) scores less frequently than Getafe (0.77). In the upcoming league round, we will surely see the familiar 4-4-2 formation from the "City" team, which will potentially allow them not only to neutralize the "Glorious" in attack but also to act effectively in transition phases. Among unavailable players are Luis Milla, Allan Nyom, and David Soria (all due to injuries).

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

In 8 out of the last 9 head-to-head matches, there were no more than two goals scored. Let's also note that both clubs are experiencing significant difficulties with their own scoring this season: Alaves - 1.1 goals per game, Getafe - 0.8. Both need points at this stage of the season to increase their chances of staying in Spain's top division. Based on these points, we do not consider a high-scoring match likely. Our choice is total under 2 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

In each of Getafe's last 6 matches this season, there have been a maximum of 10 corners. Both teams often use a 4-4-2 tactical formation, which significantly narrows attacking variability and directly affects wing play sharpness. In head-to-head encounters between the "Glorious" and "City" team, about 6.2 corners per match are recorded. We settle on total corners under 9.

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

The absence of Luis Milla and David Soria could have a significant impact on the outcome of the upcoming clash. Moreover, historically, the "City" team performs poorly in away matches against the "Bean Destroyers." Eduardo Coudet's men at this stage of the season look at least as strong as their opponents. We predict a final success for the "Glorious" with a score of 1:0. The key bet is Alaves win with a handicap (0).