Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction

🔊 Which Premier League representative will exit the FA Cup at the 1/16 final stage? Bookmakers make Aston Villa the favorite. This is due to Tottenham suffering from an injury crisis. However, the "Villans" also have many defensive losses. Therefore, both teams face similar problems. In such a situation, it is worth considering different options to make the prediction optimal. Note that the match will take place in Birmingham at Villa Park stadium.

📊 Head-to-Head

In a stretch of 13 head-to-head matches, Tottenham holds the advantage with 69 percent victories. The opponents have never drawn. In the first round of the Premier League, the "Spurs" left no chance for their opponent in London (4:1). Aston Villa led in the first half. After the break, Postecoglou's team improved their finishing, scoring four goals, two of which were by Dominic Solanke. Note that Tottenham has not lost by more than one goal in six away head-to-head matches. Therefore, a potential bet is victory for the guests with a handicap (+1.5).

🦁 Aston Villa

Aston Villa has not won in the Premier League for three rounds. However, after draws with Arsenal (2:2) and West Ham (1:1), they lost to Wolverhampton (0:2). As a result, the team dropped to eighth place in the standings. One of the main reasons was the workload on the players this season. Moreover, defenders are constantly sidelined. Currently, Torres, Mings, and Cash are injured, and Diego Carlos has moved to Fenerbahce. Andres Garcia (Levante) and Axel Disasi (Chelsea), who joined on loan, should somehow solve this problem. Note that the club profitably sold Jhon Duran to Al-Nassr but lost a quality goalscorer who could have increased pressure on the opponent's goal after coming off the bench. Loaned Marcus Rashford (Manchester United) and Marco Asensio (PSG) will add variety in attack but won't be a direct replacement for the Colombian. Note that Aston Villa secured eighth place in the Champions League, so they will skip the first playoff round, which starts next week. Therefore, Emery has no obstacles to playing his main squad in the FA Cup, where they spoiled Potter's debut as West Ham's head coach (2:1).

⚪ Tottenham

Not long ago, Tottenham had a seven-match winless streak in the Premier League. They managed to break it in the last round by defeating Brentford away (2:0). With Davies and Gray as central defenders, it was surprising that the team didn't concede any goals. The "Spurs" are forced to experiment in defense as their main pair of central defenders are injured, as is their closest replacement (Romero, Van de Ven, Dragusin). In total, at least 10 players are in the infirmary. Therefore, reinforcements were needed in January. The club signed Antonin Kinsky directly into the main squad. At the last moment, they loaned Kevin Danso (Lens) and Mathys Tel (Bayern). Nevertheless, Tottenham could have salvaged their season by reaching the League Cup final. In the first semifinal, they sensationally defeated Liverpool (1:0), but recently failed to maintain their advantage in the return game at Anfield (0:4).

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Both teams have serious defensive issues, yet their attacks are relatively fine. Therefore, in 7 out of 8 recent matches involving Tottenham, at least three goals were scored. The same pattern is observed in head-to-head encounters. Therefore, we suggest betting on total goals over 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

In matches involving Tottenham, there is an average of 12.8 corners. Aston Villa's similar statistic is slightly lower (10.2). However, in five head-to-head meetings at Villa Park, there were at least 10 corners. Therefore, it makes sense to bet on total corners over 9.5.

📝 Match Prediction

Aston Villa is the favorite for the upcoming match. Perhaps newcomers will debut in the upcoming game, affecting team cohesion. Tottenham is in a more challenging situation due to injuries. Moreover, they recently had a tough match against Liverpool, which might not allow them enough recovery time. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 3:2.

There is no doubt that Tottenham will concede. However, they are third in goals scored in the Premier League. Aston Villa also lacks reliability, especially with a new pair of central defenders. Emiliano Martinez has also somewhat declined; at least he rescues less often. In the first round of the Premier League, both teams collectively scored five goals. Something similar can be expected in the upcoming match; therefore, as a key bet, we choose total goals over 3.