Southampton vs Swansea Prediction 12 January 2025

🔊 Will the team from Wales make it through the 1/32 finals of the FA Cup? Swansea has drawn a tough opponent. Southampton plays in the Premier League, although it is likely to leave by the end of the season. Nonetheless, there is a class difference. The match will take place at St Mary's Stadium, but Swansea should not be written off. Therefore, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

In a stretch of 17 head-to-head matches, Southampton has the advantage with 59% wins. Last season, when they also played in the Championship, the 'Saints' scored five unanswered goals against Swansea at home. They also earned three points away (3:1). The Welsh team has not been able to score more than one goal in seven consecutive away head-to-head matches. Therefore, we highlight as a potential bet Swansea's total goals under 1.5.

🔴 Southampton

Southampton is in last place in the Premier League. The club's management clearly delayed changing the coach and frankly missed with the candidate. Under Ivan Juric, there is not a single victory, and the gap from the nearest competitor has only increased. Therefore, the first team to be relegated to the Championship is likely determined. Notably, in the last round, Southampton suffered a catastrophe at St Mary's, conceding five goals from Brentford without response. However, the team performed quite successfully in the League Cup, losing to Liverpool only in the quarterfinals. Interestingly, along the way, they met another representative of Wales in English football - Cardiff. The game was extremely high-scoring, with Southampton securing victory in added time (5:3).

⚪ Swansea

Swansea is a mid-table team in the Championship, occupying 12th place. This status is confirmed by statistics, according to which the team has scored and conceded 30 goals each. However, they perform much better at home. The last away victory was achieved a month ago against Plymouth (1:2). In the League Cup, Swansea played all matches at home but only made it through two rounds. In the first of them, they managed to relatively easily beat Gillingham (3:1), although a red card for the opponent early in the second half helped. In the 1/32 finals, Wycombe Wanderers surprisingly proved insurmountable (0:1). Moreover, Swansea did not make a single shot on target. It is worth noting that in this FA Cup edition, the team will play its first match.

🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards

This season, Southampton receives far more yellow cards - 2.7 compared to 1.7. Meanwhile, Swansea's opponents are warned by the referee on average 2.4 times. In such a situation, a promising bet looks like - Southampton will not lose on yellow cards.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

Southampton scores the least in the Premier League - 12 goals in 20 matches. At the same time, they do not face opponents who can play defensively. And Swansea might choose exactly such a tactic. Therefore, the hosts may have problems in attack. In this regard, it's important to note the option - Southampton's total goals under 1.5. Moreover, this has played out in nine consecutive matches.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

The advantage in corners this season goes to Swansea - 5.3 compared to 4.4. However, matches involving them average 9.9 corners. There are several individual trends indicating a low-scoring nature of the upcoming match regarding this indicator. Therefore, it's worth choosing a bet on total corners under 10.5.

📝 Match Prediction

Southampton is the favorite for the upcoming match. However, they have forgotten how to win throughout the season. The last time the team succeeded was more than two months ago under their old coach. Therefore, it's not certain that they will manage to win in regular time in the upcoming match. 1:1 is the most likely score, in our opinion.

There are trends indicating a low-scoring nature for the upcoming match. For example, it is highly likely that neither team will score more than one goal. Moreover, total goals under 3.5 have played out in 12 of Swansea's last 13 away games. Therefore, we risk nothing if we choose as our main bet total goals under 3.