Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction 12 January 2025

🔊 Which team will exit the FA Cup as early as the 1/32 finals? Undoubtedly, this clash will be the highlight of the current round. Manchester United is the reigning champion of the tournament. However, overcoming Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium will be extremely difficult. Nonetheless, Arteta is unlikely to prioritize this tournament, so we can expect rotation from the Londoners. For this reason, not everything is so obvious in this pairing. We will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

Over a span of 42 head-to-head matches, Manchester United holds the advantage with 45% wins. This season, the opponents have already met at the Emirates. A month ago, Arsenal was stronger in the Premier League (2:0). Both goals were scored by defenders - Timber and Saliba. The "Gunners" have been stronger in 6 out of the last 7 head-to-head matches at their home ground. Therefore, an Arsenal victory seems almost inevitable.

🔴 Arsenal

Arsenal has been in second place in the Premier League for three consecutive seasons. Previously they were chasing Manchester City, and in the current campaign - Liverpool. The team lags by six points, but Liverpool has a game in hand. The gap would be smaller if the Londoners hadn't stumbled, like in the last round when they couldn't beat Brighton (1:1). The mood isn't helped by the defeat to Newcastle in the first leg of the League Cup semi-final (0:2). Arsenal should have scored, and more than one goal (xG 3.09). This once again confirms the opinion that the team lacks a prominent central forward. Although if Bukayo Saka, who is currently injured, had played, the result might have been entirely different. Tomiyasu, White, and Nwaneri are also not expected to be on the field in the upcoming match.

😈 Manchester United

Manchester United won the FA Cup last season, defeating Manchester City in the final. This allowed Erik ten Hag to stay at the club. However, he was parted with in the autumn. His replacement was Ruben Amorim, who did an excellent job at Sporting. However, at Manchester United, he is currently setting negative records. The team lost in the League Cup quarter-final to Tottenham (3:4) and then went four Premier League matches without a win. However, in the last round, the "Red Devils" managed to take points from Liverpool (2:2). It is known that Ruben Amorim wants to part ways with Marcus Rashford. Arsenal is mentioned as one of the contenders for the player. Rash is unlikely to play in the upcoming match, as well as Mount, Shaw, and Lindelöf.

🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards

In matches involving these teams, there are on average four yellow cards. Exactly this number was shown by the referee in the only head-to-head match of this season. Moreover, in 10 out of the last 11 matches at the Emirates, there were no more than four warnings. Therefore, as a potential bet, we note total yellow cards under 4.5.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

In matches involving Manchester United, an average of 3.1 goals are scored. Arsenal's games fall short in this regard (2.8). However, in 6 of the last 7 games at the "Gunners'" field, more than three goals were not scored. The same can be said for 4 out of 5 head-to-head meetings. Therefore, it is worth considering a bet on total goals under 3.5.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

The advantage in corners this season belongs to Arsenal - 6.3 against 5.2. In matches involving these teams, there are slightly more than nine corners on average. We conclude - total corners under 10.5.

📝 Match Prediction

The favorite for the upcoming match is Arsenal. On one hand, Arteta needs to rotate to reduce the risk of injuries to key players, especially since there are already personnel losses. The same applies to Manchester United. On the other hand, Arsenal needs to redeem themselves after losing to Newcastle in the League Cup. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 2:1.

It cannot be said that Arsenal was bad in the match against Newcastle, but their finishing let them down. No one would have been surprised if the team had scored 2-3 goals then. Perhaps they will succeed in doing so in the upcoming match. Especially since Manchester United has conceded at least two goals in five consecutive matches. Meanwhile, the "Gunners" have scored at least twice in 6 out of their last 7 home head-to-head encounters. Therefore, our key bet is - Arsenal total goals over 1.5.