Tigre vs Sarmiento Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
📢 Tigre head into the final round of the Clausura in 11th place in their group, with no chance of reaching the play-offs. The hosts are in poor form and have been losing regularly. Sarmiento, by contrast, sit eighth and are fighting to hold on to their play-off spot. The visitors have been inconsistent too, adding to the pressure ahead of this decisive clash.
Head-to-Head
Sarmiento beat Tigre 1-0 in the Premier Division on 25 April 2026. Tigre had more shots, 15 to 10, but put only two on target compared with Sarmiento’s four.
Five of the nine head-to-head meetings have ended in draws. Sarmiento have won three and Tigre have won one, but all three of Sarmiento’s victories came at home. They failed to score in either of their two away meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Tigre - Sarmiento
A disappointing end to the season
Tigre won 2-0 away to Huracán in their most recent Premier Division match on 30 October 2026. After a goalless first half, they scored twice despite being outshot 17-12 and trailing 68-25 in dangerous attacks.
Tigre are heading into the end of the season with little left to play for. They have won one of their last five matches, drawing one and losing three. Across their last ten, Tigre have recorded two wins, two draws and six defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. They have been inconsistent defensively, while their attack has struggled to make an impact.
Match Results: Tigre
Play-off spot under threat
In their previous Primera División match on 31 October 2026, Sarmiento lost 2-1 at home to Rosario Central. The visitors outshot them 17-7 and led 2.21-1.13 on expected goals; Sarmiento finished the match with nine players after two red cards.
Sarmiento head into the final round needing to hold on to their place in the playoff spots. They have won one of their last five matches, drawn two and lost two. Across their last ten games, they have recorded three wins, three draws and four defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. They have found the net regularly, even in tough fixtures, but their defence have not always coped with opposition pressure.
Match Results: Sarmiento Junin
Total Goals Prediction
There have been over 1.5 goals in each of Sarmiento’s last 16 matches. In their last ten away games, they have scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 2 per match, while Tigre have averaged 0.6 goals across their last ten home games. There is one caveat: eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings have produced no more than two goals. Even so, that trend leaves room for two goals, so our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.42*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (13.28%), 1-1 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.38%). Our predicted score is 1-2.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Bookmakers make Tigre clear favourites, but that assessment is hard to justify. The hosts are in poor form, have been losing regularly and have little left to play for. Sarmiento have also been inconsistent, but unlike their opponents, they still have plenty at stake. The visitors need to stay in the top eight, and a defeat could cost them a play-off spot. Our main prediction: Sarmiento to avoid defeat.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Tigre - Sarmiento Junin
in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 games against Sarmiento Junin.in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
in 8 of last 9 games against Sarmiento Junin.in 10 of last 11 home games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 home games.in 8 of last 9 Tigre games against Sarmiento Junin.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
